1. NWP Activities at INM Bartolomé Orfila Estrada Area de Modelización - INM 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings Zürich, October 2005

2. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings2 Introduction Operational activities. Computer resources Hirlam as operational model. Wave model. Verification. Research in NWP: Hirlam project. Data Assimilation Dynamic in Hirlam Physical parameterizations SREPS

3. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings3 Computer resources Cray X1e 15 nodes, 8 MSP’s each node 4 SSP’s each MSP 320 Gb memory 2.3 TF peak performance Official acceptance: June 2005

4. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings4 Cray X1e MSP

5. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings5 Hirlam operational model ONR 0.16 deg latxlon, 40 levels 72 hours forecast, 4 times a day 3DVAR BC’s from ECMWF HNR and CNN 0.05 deg latxlon, 40 levels 36 hours forecast, 4 times a day 3DVAR BC’s from ONR

6. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings6 ONR integration area

7. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings7 HNR – CNN integration areas

8. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings8 Verification 2006 Standard verification against observations. Verification against Spanish High Resolution precipitation network. Monthly comparison ONR-HNR models for Spain.

9. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings9 Geopotential June-August 2006

10. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings10 MSLP June-August 2006

11. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings11 Precip. by thresholds POD-FAR

12. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings12 Wave operational model WAM 4 for Atlantic and Mediterranean High resolution shallow water model

13. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings13 Wave operational model

14. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings14 High Resolution Wave operational model

15. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings15 Hirlam Project – Data Assimilation 3DVAR in operational models. Assimilation of GPS data (TOUGH project). Test of Hirlam 4DVAR in the Cray X1e. Soil moisture analysis comparison between Hirlam reference system and 1DVAR version (ELDAS project). Mesoscale Rapid Update Cycle of analysis of surface parameters. Assimilation of VAD winds from INM radar network.

16. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings16 Spring period: 15 April-15 May 2004 Impact of introducing 31 new GPS sites ETS and TSS show that increasing the number of GPS sites improves model precipitation. Verification with INM Climate stations (upscaled to 22km). PP thresholds (0.1, 0.3, 1., 3., 10., 30., 100. mm in 24 hours)

17. 17 Hirlam Project – Dynamics HIRLAM contribution to ALADIN dynamics: Improvement of the treatment of the map factor in the ALADIN semi-implicit scheme. Testing of the rotated Mercator coordinate options, with a view to efficiency for large domains. HIRALD System: Testing together the three major parts of the physical parametrizations from HIRLAM Model: turbulence, condensation/convection and radiation into ALADIN Model Validation of mesoscale model on test cases ESEOO Project: Development and Implementation of a Spanish Operational Oceanography System

18. HIRALD SYSTEM HIRLAM Spain (11 km): ALADIN Spain (2.5 km): ALADIN-NH Nesting of the grids HIRLAM / ALADIN: A double nested system is used over Spanish region, with the centre of the high resolution domain over Spain. The outer model (11 Km grid size) is hydrostatic. The high resolution domain ( 2.5 Km grid size) runs in non-hydrostatic mode.

19. 19 Spanish Operational Oceanography system definition and design 2 Data 3 Meteorological modelling 4 Oceanographic modelling Data inventory Data format homogenisation Quality control Homogeneous data processing Data protocol for emergencies Limited area models Non-hydrostatic high resolution models Study of ocean- atmosphere fluxes parameterisations Global scale circulation Regional scale circulation Local scale circulation Relocatable local circulation models Comparison and validation Data Assimilation Wave and sea level modelling (regional and local scales) Oceanographic data and modelling R&D 5 Dispersion modelling Forcing definition and optimisation Regional scale modelling Local scale modelling Relocatable models Comparison and Validation 6 Pre-operational systems implementation 1 System definition Creation of a users group Operational requirements definition. Emergency procedures definition Integration of Teledetection data in the system Benefits and requirements definition of a future permanent inter-institutional national operational oceanography service. Operational Phase Analysed data service Real time data directory Regional modelling systems Local modelling systems Simulated emergency system co-ordination exercise Transfer to operational Phase

20. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings20 Hirlam Project – Physics Convection: New moist scheme based on Kain-Fritsch convection and Rasch-Kristjannsson large scale implemented into the HIRLAM reference system. Vectorized code available. Forecast 10-20 % more expensive and even more on vector computers (vector optimization in progress). Improvement of precipitation over Iberia.

21. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings21 SREPS - Multi-model Multi-boundaries Models: Hirlam. HRM MM5 UM LM Boundaries ECMWF UM AVN GME

22. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings22 Ensemble 72 hours forecast two times a day (00 and 12 UTC). Characteristics: 5 models. 4 boundary conditions. 2 last ensembles (HH and HH-12). 20 member ensemble every 12 hours Time-lagged Super-Ensemble of 40 members every 12 hours.

23. October 2006 28th EWGLAM & 13th SRNWP Meetings23 Road Map 2003-2004Research to find best ensemble for the Short Range Jun 04 – Jun 05 Building Multimodel System Jun 05-Dec 05Mummub n/16 members Daily run non-operational Mar 06Mummub 16/16 members Once a day Jun 06Mummub 20 members Twice a day July 06Obs verfication September 0640 member lagged Super-ensemble Twice a day October 06BMA Calibration January 07Broadcast productsExperimental