1. FISHERIES Current crisis of prices ACFA WG 3 Trade and market 5/05/2010

2. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20102 Current crisis of prices 1. Factors having an influence on price 2. Price trends in the EU 1st sale level Import level Retail level 3. Analysis of the present situation

3. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20103 1. Factors having an influence on price International supply Variable according to the different commodities (groundfish, pelagics, salmon etc…) Globally abundant in 2009 but less abundant in 2010 with some tensions on salmon, cephalopods, shrimps and tuna EU supply Abundant supply of most groundfish species (cod, hake, haddock) in 2009 and 2010 (but not for saithe) Lack of « high value » species such as monk, sole, red mullet or nephrops in 2010

4. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20104 1. Factors having an influence on price Currency exchange rates EUR / USD end 08 2 nd half 09 1st half 10

5. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20105 1. Factors having an influence on price Fuel price Production costs for fishing activity Transport costs Feed price (aquaculture) Fish meal and fish oil Decrease from 2006 to 2008 and sharp increase as from 2009 Economic situation Household’s demand

6. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20106 2. Price trends in the EU Price trends at first sale FIDES data base : average EU prices (data from MS) for species Annex I 1st sale price monitoring in representative market places (data from auctions) Price trends at import level Eurostat Comext : 8 species representing 60% of the value of EU imports from extra EU Price trends at retail level France, UK and Spain : representative species – fresh counter in supermarkets

7. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20107 Evolution of EU prices at 1st sale level

8. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20108 Evolution of EU prices at 1st sale level

9. FISHERIES Slide5/5/20109 Recent evolution of EU prices at 1st sale

10. FISHERIES Slide5/5/201010 Recent evolution of EU prices at 1st sale

11. FISHERIES Slide5/5/201011 Evolution of import prices from extra EU

12. FISHERIES Slide5/5/201012 Evolution of import prices from extra EU

13. FISHERIES Slide5/5/201013 Price trends at retail level

14. FISHERIES Slide5/5/201014 Price trends at retail level

15. FISHERIES Slide5/5/201015 Price trends at retail level

16. Fisheries16 FISHERIES Slide Analysis of the situation in 2009 - Abundant international supply of whitefish cod and haddock from Norway, Iceland and USA pangasius from Vietnam - Economic downturn especially in southern Europe slow demand, less consumer’s willingness to pay any premium - High value of the euro versus dollar - Low fuel prices Low prices in 2009 both at 1st sale, import and retail levels

17. Fisheries17 FISHERIES Slide Analysis of the situation in 2010 - Supply is less abundant in 2010 (salmon, shrimp, tuna, cephalopods) - Fuel price is on the rise, - Fishmeal is scarce and expensive, - EU economy is recovering in the north (but still weak in the south) - Euro is weakening, Fish price should go upward… ….for species and products which correspond to consumer’s demand

18. Fisheries18 FISHERIES Slide Thank you for your attention