Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Authors: José Miguel Fernández Güell Leticia Redondo Gómez.

Published byAndrew Schultz Modified over 10 years ago

Similar presentations

Presentation on theme: "Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Authors: José Miguel Fernández Güell Leticia Redondo Gómez."— Presentation transcript:

1 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Authors: José Miguel Fernández Güell Leticia Redondo Gómez Institution: Universidad Politécnica de Madrid The 4th International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) 12 & 13 May 2011

2 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Convenience for undertaking territorial foresight Why urban planners do not think anymore in visionary terms? Le Courbusier´s vision in the 1930s

3 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Convenience for undertaking territorial foresight Elements of territorial foresight

4 How to reconcile territorial foresight and urban planning Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Linking foresight and urban planning

5 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Linking foresight and urban planning Formulation of future visions Strategy Formulation Strategy Formulation Spatial Implications Spatial Implications Parametric Implications Parametric Implications Functional Implications Functional Implications Future Visions Future Visions

6 A practical application of future studies Scenario design methodology Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determination of scenarios implications on development models Determination of scenarios implications on development models Design of future scenarios about the evolution of sustainable development Design of future scenarios about the evolution of sustainable development Analysis of change trends which may affect sustainable development Analysis of change trends which may affect sustainable development Characterisation of the sustainable development concept Characterisation of the sustainable development concept Participation, communication and feedback Step IStep IIStep IIIStep IV

7 A practical application of future studies Future scenarios for sustainable development Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design

8 Linking foresight and urban planning Determining functional implications Strategy Formulation Strategy Formulation Spatial Implications Spatial Implications Parametric Implications Parametric Implications Functional Implications Functional Implications Future Visions Future Visions

9 Determining functional implications Urban planning conceptual framework Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design

10 Scenario A Green Paradigm (2025) Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining functional implications

11 Scenario B Predator Development (2025) Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining functional implications

12 Scenario C Back to Basics (2025) Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining functional implications

13 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Linking foresight and urban planning Determining parametric implications Strategy Formulation Strategy Formulation Spatial Implications Spatial Implications Parametric Implications Parametric Implications Functional Implications Functional Implications Future Visions Future Visions

14 Main scenarios indicators Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining parametric implications

15 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Linking foresight and urban planning Determining spatial implications Strategy Formulation Strategy Formulation Spatial Implications Spatial Implications Parametric Implications Parametric Implications Functional Implications Functional Implications Future Visions Future Visions

16 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Madrid Hoya de Villalba Cercedilla Navacerrada Becerril de la Sierra El Boalo Determining spatial implications Location of study area (Hoya de Villalba)

17 Current spatial scenario (2010) Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining spatial implications

18 Scenario A Green Paradigm (2025) Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining spatial implications

19 Scenario B Predator Development (2025) Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining spatial implications

20 Scenario C Back to Basics (2025) Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Determining spatial implications

21 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Current spatial scenario (2010)Scenario A Green Paradigm (2025) Scenario B Predator Development (2025)Scenario C Back to Basics (2025) Scenarios mosaic Determining spatial implications

22 Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Linking foresight and urban planning Strategy formulation Strategy Formulation Strategy Formulation Spatial Implications Spatial Implications Parametric Implications Parametric Implications Functional Implications Functional Implications Future Visions Future Visions

23 Main findings Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design IMPROVEMENT OR URBAN DEVELOPMENT POLICIES AND MODELS More integrated, participatory and coordinated development Incorporation of breakthrough innovations Transformation of the legal framework and governance model Implementation of broad territorial plans Involvement of all public administrations REINFORCEMENT OF QUALITATIVE FORESIGHT TOOLS Scenario design is user- friendly for regional and local decision makers Foresight may be welcomed by strategic and physical planners Combine quantitative and qualitative analysis Foresight can improve a territorys governance

24 Thank you for your attention! josemiguel.fernandez@upm.es Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design

Download ppt "Social attitude toward sustainable development in 2025: a case for reinforcing scenario design Authors: José Miguel Fernández Güell Leticia Redondo Gómez."

Similar presentations

Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW Structural change, cluster policy and the role of foresight Michael Guth ZENIT GmbH, Germany

Zentrum für Innovation und Technik in NRW Structural change, cluster policy and the role of foresight Michael Guth ZENIT GmbH, Germany
1 Developing Tools for Measuring Performance, the GfD Contribution Working Group on Civil Service and Integrity IV Regional Meeting École Nationale dAdministration.

1 Developing Tools for Measuring Performance, the GfD Contribution Working Group on Civil Service and Integrity IV Regional Meeting École Nationale dAdministration.
Guidelines on Integrated Economic Statistics United Nations Statistics Division Regional Seminar on Developing a Programme for the Implementation Programme.

Guidelines on Integrated Economic Statistics United Nations Statistics Division Regional Seminar on Developing a Programme for the Implementation Programme.
ActionDescription 1Decisions about planning and managing the coast are governed by general legal instruments. 2Sectoral stakeholders meet on an ad hoc.

ActionDescription 1Decisions about planning and managing the coast are governed by general legal instruments. 2Sectoral stakeholders meet on an ad hoc.
Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts on policy and decision making 28th- 29th September 2006 Foresight.

Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts on policy and decision making 28th- 29th September 2006 Foresight.
Territorial cohesion: what scales for policy intervention? 12.03.2010 Bruxelles Jean Peyrony DG REGIO, Unit C2 (Urban development, territorial cohesion)

Territorial cohesion: what scales for policy intervention? Bruxelles Jean Peyrony DG REGIO, Unit C2 (Urban development, territorial cohesion)
Premises and practices in combining quantitative and qualitative FTA methods - Anchor paper Theme 3 Premises and practices in combining quantitative and.

Premises and practices in combining quantitative and qualitative FTA methods - Anchor paper Theme 3 Premises and practices in combining quantitative and.
Illustrated Story on funding research Europides has got the instruments!

Illustrated Story on funding research Europides has got the instruments!
Systemic Foresight Methodology

Systemic Foresight Methodology
FUTURE SCENARIOS TO INSPIRE INNOVATION Peter De Smedt & Kristian Borch SVR (BE) DTU (DK) Theme 3b: Creative futures The 4th International Seville Conference.

FUTURE SCENARIOS TO INSPIRE INNOVATION Peter De Smedt & Kristian Borch SVR (BE) DTU (DK) Theme 3b: Creative futures The 4th International Seville Conference.
REGIONAL POLICY EUROPEAN COMMISSION The urban dimension 2007-2013: State of play and perspectives Władysław Piskorz DIRECTORATE-GENERAL.

REGIONAL POLICY EUROPEAN COMMISSION The urban dimension : State of play and perspectives Władysław Piskorz DIRECTORATE-GENERAL.
POLAND Development Management System in Poland Brussels, 2 July 2010.

POLAND Development Management System in Poland Brussels, 2 July 2010.
FTA-Approaches integrated in the broader SPI Context Improving Regional RTDI Policies & Investments *G. Clar, **H. Acheson, *S. Hafner-Zimmermann, *B.

FTA-Approaches integrated in the broader SPI Context Improving Regional RTDI Policies & Investments *G. Clar, **H. Acheson, *S. Hafner-Zimmermann, *B.
Normative-narrative scenarios as a tool to support strategic R&D processes: benefits and limits Hannah Kosow, Dr. Robert Gaßner IZT – Institute for Futures.

Normative-narrative scenarios as a tool to support strategic R&D processes: benefits and limits Hannah Kosow, Dr. Robert Gaßner IZT – Institute for Futures.
J. David Tàbara Institute of Environmental Science and Technology Autonomous University of Barcelona Integrated Climate Governance.

J. David Tàbara Institute of Environmental Science and Technology Autonomous University of Barcelona Integrated Climate Governance.
Embedding Foresight in the Joint Programming in Research

Embedding Foresight in the Joint Programming in Research
Consistent context scenarios: a new approach to ‘story and simulation’

Consistent context scenarios: a new approach to ‘story and simulation’
INNOVATION POLICY ROADMAPPING AS A SYSTEMIC INSTRUMENT FOR POLICY DESIGN Ahlqvist, Toni, Valovirta, Ville & Loikkanen, Torsti VTT Technical Research Centre.

INNOVATION POLICY ROADMAPPING AS A SYSTEMIC INSTRUMENT FOR POLICY DESIGN Ahlqvist, Toni, Valovirta, Ville & Loikkanen, Torsti VTT Technical Research Centre.
The Operational P The Operational Programme adopted by the European Commission The ESPON 2013 Programme EUROPEAN UNION Part-financed by the European Regional.

The Operational P The Operational Programme adopted by the European Commission The ESPON 2013 Programme EUROPEAN UNION Part-financed by the European Regional.
Info Day on New Calls and Partner Café Brussels 18 May 2010 Expectations towards the ESPON Programme from the Spanish Presidency perspective.

Info Day on New Calls and Partner Café Brussels 18 May 2010 Expectations towards the ESPON Programme from the Spanish Presidency perspective.

Similar presentations

Ads by Google