1. KHARIF REVIEW AND RABI PROSPECTS Department of Agriculture & Cooperation Ministry of Agriculture 24-25 SEPTEMBER,2012

2. Kharif Review S-W Monsoon Crop coverage Crop conditions Rabi Prospects September rains and soil moisture Water storage Rabi Preparedness Key Strategies

3. BROAD CONTOURS OF S-W MONSOON North and North East  Actual 1195.0 mm  Normal 1342.8 mm  -11%  Even distribution Bihar -16% NMMT -32%  Late rains during September improved crop condition North-West  Actual 567.2 mm  Normal 588.0 mm  -4 %  improved very late, no impact on rice due to 100% irrigation  Bajra and mung affected West U P -26% Haryana -37% Punjab -42% Central India  Actual 905.7 mm  Normal 925.2 mm  -2%  Late revival but continued evenly  Bajra, sorghum, GN and cotton affected Saurashtra -35% Marathwada -33% South Peninsula  Actual 603.1mm  Normal 649.5mm  - 7%  Skewed distribution, early rains-prolong dry spell, late revival- affected sowing in Kar and TN TN - 24% NI Kar - 30% Kerala -20% Delayed onset, subdued activity, gradual revival, Congenial September Actual 788.3 mm, Normal 833.9 mm, -5%

4. Crops Seasonal Normal Normal up to 21-09- 2012 2012201120102009 +/- over normal Rice39.10 35.8736.3838.0834.7632.190.50 Total CC21.56 20.8517.5920.1121.2220.75-3.26 Tur3.54 3.783.663.824.363.23-0.09 Mung2.56 2.371.952.282.582.24-0.42 Urd2.24 2.162.382.202.262.010.23 Moth2.31 1.971.952.461.851.59-0.02 Total pulses 10.65 10.319.9810.8311.049.07-0.33 Total food grains 71.3167.0363.9569.0267.0262.01-3.09 Area in million ha

5. Crops Seasonal Normal Normal up to 21-09- 2012 2012201120102009 +/- over normal Oilseeds17.5817.44 17.8217.2416.740.00 Groundnut5.004.833.884.324.934.35-0.95 Soybean9.219.5010.7110.329.339.521.21 Others3.373.112.853.172.972.87-0.26 Cotton11.18 10.8611.4912.0210.669.91+0.63 Sugarcane4.714.725.295.094.794.17+0.57 Jute & Mesta 0.920.900.880.920.870.91-0.02 Area in million ha

6. CROP DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : RICE Met SD % of S-W Monsoon Status Area coverage (m ha) AP 2012 Normal of week +/- over normal East & North East 30.527 A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm 11.6211.290.33 North West 2634 A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm 10.4710.030.44 Central India 29.520 A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm. 11.0610.870.19 South Peninsula 1419 A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm. 3.223.69-0.47 ALL INDIA100 (39.1) 100 (87.5) A: 788.3 mm N: 833.9 mm 36.3835.870.50

7. Met SD% contributionMajor EcologiesCrop Coverage (m ha) AP2012Normal of week +/- East & North East3.64Rainfed > 95% Low yield 0.98 0.88 0.10 North West50.741Rainfed 90-95% High yield 8.25 10.24 -1.99 Central India28.627Rainfed > 95% High productivity in Maharashtra Low in Raj/MP 5.32 6.24 -0.92 South Peninsula17.128Rainfed > 95% High productivity (AP), Low in Kar 3.04 3.48 -0.44 ALL INDIA (m ha/m tons) 21.732.4>90% Rainfed 17.5920.85 -3.26 CROP AREA DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : COARSE CEREALS

8. Met SD% contribution Major Ecologies S-W Monsoon Status Crop Coverage(m ha) 2012 Normal of week* +/- AP East & North East 3.74.8Rainfed > 95% A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm 0.500.340.16 North West32.734Rainfed 88- 95%, Higher yield A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm 3.133.000.13 Central India40.542Rainfed > 95% Low/medium productivity A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm. 4.564.85-0.29 South Peninsula 23.119Rainfed > 95% High / Low yield A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm. 1.802.13-0.33 ALL INDIA (m ha/m tons) 12.47.7Largely Rainfed A: 788.3 mm N: 833.9 mm 9.9910.32-0.33 CROP AREA DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : PULSES

9. Met Sub divisions % contribution Major EcologiesS-W Monsoon Status Crop Coverage(m ha) 2012Normal of week +/- AP East & North East 1.81Rainfed > 95% Least coverage A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm 0.040.030.01 North West12.512Rainfed 90- 95%, Groundnut and Sesame A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm 2.392.010.38 Central India67.374Rainfed > 95% Major domain of Soybean & Groundnut A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm. 12.4612.090.37 South Peninsula18.413Rainfed > 95% Major domain of Groundnut, Castor, Sesame A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm. 2.523.28-0.76 ALL INDIA (m ha/m tons) 18.220.9>90% Rainfed A: 788.3 mm N: 833.9 mm 17.44 0.00 CROP AREA DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : OILSEEDS

10. Met Sub divisions % contribution Major EcologiesS-W Monsoon Status Crop Coverage(m ha) 2012Normal of week +/- AP East & North East 0.1 Rainfed > 98% in most of the states A: 1195.0 mm N: 1342.8 mm 0.000.0 North West 12.414 Irrigated >95- 100% High productivity A: 567.2 mm N: 588.0 mm 1.601.500.10 Central India 65.565 Rainfed > 95% Low productivity A: 905.7 mm N: 925.2 mm. 7.287.34-0.06 South Peninsula 22.021 Rainfed > 90% Medium productivity A: 603.1 mm, N : 649.5 mm. 2.622.020.60 ALL INDIA (m ha/m bales ) 11.133.4About 35% irrigated, 65% rainfed A: 788.3 mm N: 833.9 mm 11.4910.860.63 CROP DISTRIBUTION IN IMD SUBDIVISIONS : COTTON

13. StressesCropsStates/ Regions Crop StagesLikely Impact on crops Moisture Stress RiceNW and SPTransplanting/ tillering Mostly irrigated-little impact Coarse Cereals NW and SPSowing and vegetative Considerable impact except Maize OilseedsNW and SPVegetative and pegging Impact on productivity Pulses- Mung/urd NW, CI and SP Vegetative and flowering Karnataka and Rajasthan - impact on productivity FloodRiceAssamVegetativeRe-transplanted SoybeanM.P.VegetativeNegligible area Diseases/ pests Sporadic incidence, remained below ETL, focus in rabi for Helicoverpa

14. SEPTEMBER RAINS- CRUCIAL IMPETUS FOR RABI  Delayed withdrawal- widespread rains in deficient areas  Adequate recharge of soil profile  Better area prospects- early sowing in rainfed regions- Bundelkhand (U.P. & M.P.) Raj, MH, Kar, Guj, Haryana

15. August, 2012September 1-15 2012

16. WATER IN RESERVOIRS Basins CCA (000 HA) Predominant Crops likely to be irrigated Ganga6561 Wheat Indus1024 Wheat Narmada4955 Wheat/Maize,Oilseeds Tapi472 Wheat Mahi327 Wheat, Jowar, Oilseeds Godavari1494 Rice, GN, Maize Krishna2815 Rice, Maize, Pulses Mahanadi895 Rice, Maize, GN Cauvery877 Rice, Maize 19420

17. Site-specific Agronomy Quality seeds Catalyzing seed vigor Targeting additional area Early sowing & Reducing Risk 5 KEY STRATEGIES

18. TechniqueCropTarget States Seed Treatment WheatAll wheat growing States GramRaj, Maha, A.P., Kar, Guj, U.P., M.P. LentilsBihar, U.P., Jharkhand OilseedsRaj, U.P., Maha, A.P., Kar, Guj Seed primingPulsesRainfed areas Dense Planting WheatEast U.P, Bihar, WB, Har, Punj

19. CropRequirementAvailabilitySurplus Wheat108.2 0112.234.03 Rice19.5621.541.98 Maize2.492.810.32 Jowar1.161.450.29 Barley1.932.350.42 Total Cereals133.50140.577.07 Gram16.3215.14-1.18 Lentil1.040.74-0.30 Mung0.550.610.06 Urd0.830.840.01 Total Pulses2.071.92-0.15 R&M+2.212.420.21 GN6.256.12-0.13 Total Oilseeds9.439.480.05 (Lakh Qtl)

20.  Site Specific Nutrient Management : Soil testing labs and soil health cards and fertilizer use based on fertility maps  Focus on increasing nutrient use efficiency NutrientEfficiency (%)Measures to enhance efficiency N30-50Placement of fertilizers, target rainfed areas 2% spray of urea in pulses P10-20Furrow placement increase the efficiency by 20- 30% over broadcast Preferential application of phosphorus to wheat in rice-wheat sequence K<80Furrow placement –enhances disease resistance S8-12Foliar spray vs. basal placement in pulses and oilseeds Irrigation-Protective Irrigation in pulses & oilseeds with sprinklers

21. OperationsCropTarget States Early sowingWheatM.P., H.P., U.P. PulsesBundelkhand, Har., Raj, Guj, Maha, Kar, A.P. OilseedsRaj, Guj, M.P., U.P., Har. Early sowing on an area of about 10 million ha Wheat Pulses Oilseeds 5 m ha 3 m ha 2 m ha Prepositioning of seeds & fertilizers is required by the States

22.  Dense sowing in North-West  Seed and soil treatment-yellow rust and Karnal bunt  Yellow rust resistance, heat stress tolerance  Sprinkler irrigation-heat stress management  Pre-positioning of seed of improved varieties  Focus in Central/Eastern India 22  Cultivation of PBW 550, DBW 17 and DBW 16 in yellow rust prone areas  Terminal heat resistant varieties Haryana : WH 1021, PBW 590, PBW 373, DBW 16, Raj 3765 Punjab : PDW 291, PDW 274, PDW 233 Diversified varietal profile

23.  Timely sowing of Boro Rice nursery (November 15 – December 15)  Protecting nursery from cold wave/ low temperature (using plastic covers)  Protecting transplanted crop from low temperatures during January by application of irrigation  Covering maximum area under hybrid rice varieties : PHB 71, KRH 2, CNRH 3, JKRH 401, DRRH 2  Adoption of best management practices : INM, IPM, IWM  Ensuring adequate water availability for irrigation PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT : BORO RICE

24. 24 Rabi Sorghum  Target States: Maharastra and Karnataka  Use of recommended varieties/hybrids for specific ecology  Seed Treatment through fungicides as per recommendation  Protective irrigation at flag leaf and grain filling stages  Foliar application of zinc sulphate @ 0.2 % and ferrous sulphate @ 0.15 % alternatively at 7-10 days interval from 15-20 DAS up to 45 DAS  Maintain optimum plant population for Rabi (13-15 plants/m2) PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT: Rabi sorghum/maize Rabi Maize  Target States: Bihar, A.P., Maharashtra, Karnataka  Use of recommended varieties/hybrids for specific ecology  Protective irrigation at flag leaf and grain filling stages  Maintain optimum plant population Rabi (10-12 plants/m2) Uttar PradeshHybridsSeed Tech 2324 Shaktiman1 CompositesGaurav Shakti-1 Bihar/ Orissa, Jharkhand / West Bengal HybridsSeed Tech 2324 Shaktiman-1 Shaktiman-2 Punjab/Hary ana Hybrids Seed Tech 2324 Buland, Sheetal

25. Early sowing Bundelkhand, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Gujarat, A. P-about 10 lakh ha Seed Treatment- Massive campaign for farm saved seed- M.P., U.P., Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Gujarat Area expansion during rabi (20 lakh ha) Intercropping with R&M, Linseed, barley,sugarcane (3 lakh ha) Additional area in Raj, Maha, Guj under gram (10 lakh ha) Lentil and Low ODAP Lathyrus in rice fallows Summer mung after wheat in IGP- 5 lakh ha IPM - Helicoverpa, dry root rot and wilt (Surveillance and control) Yield boosters - 2% urea and DAP spray Weed Management Pre-emergence application–Pendimethalin (within 5-6 hrs of sowing) Post emergence-Imazethapyr (50-100 g/ha at 20-25 DAS with flat pan nozzle.

26. 26 Rabi Season Chickpea+ Mustard/Linseed6:2 Lentil+ Linseed2:1 Potato+ Rajmash3:2 Summer Season Sugarcane + Urd/Mung1:2 Sunflower+ Urd/Mung2:6 EFFICIENT RABI/SUMMER INTERCROPS

27. Pre-emergence application of pendimethalin @1.5 kg/ha within 5-6 hrs of sowing Planting on ridge & furrows Seed treatment with Trichoderma @4 g/kg of seed Intercropping of chickpea and mustard (6:2 row ratio) Protective irrigations at branching and pod initiation stage 2% urea/DAP spray at 50% flowering and 10 days thereafter

28. 28 HIGH YIELDING VARIETIES OF CHICKPEA  Short duration (100-110 days): JG 11, JG 16, JG 14, Pant G 186, Pusa 547  Wilt resistant: DCP 92-3, GNG 1581, Vijay, Vishal, KWR 108, Digvijay, JAKI 9218, Pusa 391, JG 130, Pusa 372, Udai, SCS 3, Ankur, Abhilasha, GJG 3  For irrigated areas: DCP 92-3, GNG 469, KWR 108  Kabuli Varieties: BGD 128, ICPK-2004-29, PKV Kabuli 4 (extra bold) 28 (Kg/ha) Yield gain: 15- 27%

29. 29 Promotion of lentil in rice fallows- eastern States -Tal/diera area of Bihar, eastern UP Improved varieties -seed availability and distribution to the farmers (DPL 62, DPL 15, JL 3, Pant L 63, Subrata, Narendra M 1 ) Seed treatment with fungicides/ Trichoderma 4 g/kg of 2% urea or DAP at flowering and 10 days thereafter Intercropping with linseed in bundelkhand Productivity Enhancement: Lentil

30. 30 StateWheat Area (lakh ha) Additional Area (lakh ha) for summer mung Punjab35.11.0 Haryana25.21.0 West U.P.45.02.0 Biharafter potato0.50 Others (WB/Assam after R&M/ potato 0.50 Improved varieties for summer mung Summer mung SML 668, Meha, Uttara, Samrat Punjab, Haryana, U.P., Bihar, Orissa, WB OPPORTUNITIES FOR SUMMER MOONG Samrat Meha

31.  Early sowing - Taramira & R&M in Rajasthan and Aligarh and Agra Divisions of U.P, South Haryana, Safflower & Sunflower in Maharashtra, Sunflower in Karnataka, Groundnut in Saurashtra and Rayalseema  Seed Treatment- Massive campaign for farm saved seed of groundnut and other oilseeds  Diseases/Pest Management – bud necrosis/ Alternaria, sucking pests  Yield boosters – Micronutrients (Zinc sulphate) and sulphur (20 kg/ha) 31

32. 32 Rapeseed - Mustard Use quality seeds of suitable varieties Seed treatment with fungicides Timely sowing taking advantage of extended monsoon Maintain optimum plant population (33-40 plants/m 2 ) Apply irrigation at critical stages of the crop Use recommended dose of fertilizers & micro-nutrients and adopt need based plant protection measures PRODUCTIVITY ENHANCEMENT: OILSEEDS Sunflower Intercropping of sunflower with pulses Seed treatment with imidacloprid @ 5g/kg seed to protect against sunflower necrosis disease Timely sowing to utilize the available moisture Maintain optimum plant population 22 plants/m 2 Balanced and adequate fertilization- N, P, K, S and Zn Spray borax @ 0.2% spray or 2kg borax as dust at ray floret opening stage

33.  Delayed onset-subdued activity-gradual recovery of SW monsoon- major grainery got adequate rains  Marginally less area coverage in Kharif than normal  Maximum affected - Coarse cereals (bajra, sorghum and Ragi) followed by pulses  Extended rains -adequate moisture in soil capillaries and in reservoirs-brightened prospects of early sowing of pulses/oilseeds  Higher area & productivity targeted under pulses -likely to compensate the loss of kharif.