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G-12: The Presidency.

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1 G-12: The Presidency

2 Chapter 12- The Presidency
(1). Outline the presidency's development in theory and legal & political independence. (2). Examine the President’s constitutional powers, and those shared with Congress, to include: shared powers, enumerated powers, and implied or inherent powers. (3). Outline the presidency in practice by which theoretical rules of the office are applied. (4). Discuss the advent of the “modern” presidency and the impact of FDR. (5). Summarize the key roles & responsibilities performed by the president, and contrast Chief of State, Chief Legislator, Chief Executive, Diplomat, opinion leader, and CINC. (6). Outline how the President is nominated and how this process has changed over time. (7). Explain how the President is elected, and the significant role of the electoral college. (8). Examine the institution of the Presidency and various sources of Presidential power. (9). Contrast the diverse models used by presidents and explain their historic impact. (10). Discuss the organizational structure of the Presidency and key agencies of the EOP. (11). Examine how the office of the Presidency works and the impact of internal factors, to include: EOP functions, Presidential Management Styles, and the role of the Staff. (12). Examine external influences and the impact of expectations on the Presidency. (13). Analyze the modern presidency in political context of: permanent crisis, conflicting expectations, and time & institutional constraints. (14). Compare the various presidential strategies and assess their effectiveness. (15). Examine the diverse relationships which the President must effectively maintain. (16). Assess the future strengths and limits of Presidential power and leadership.

3 Development of the Presidency Constitutional Rules:
Three Primary Characteristics: ?___________ from other branches ?_______powers 12-1 Primary Characteristics of the Presidency Vaguely defined ?________

4 Legal & Political Independence
Congress & Courts => no major role in selection Congress only counts ?_______ ________ votes Only selects if no candidate has clear majority Impeachment rules=> political independence Examples: A. Johnson & Clinton’s impeachment Four year term & option for (one) re-election When FDR bucks precedent => 22nd Amendment

5 President’s Shared Powers
The Constitution both empowers & constrains Power to appoint Judges & executive officers Power to make Treaties with other Nations But above powers constrained by what shared with who? Senate’s role? Provide Advice & ?______________

6 Article II of the Constitution President’s Enumerated Powers
Or Explicit, or Delegated Powers Powers ?__________ ___________in the text of the Constitution Enumerated Powers 12-1a Enumerated Powers of the Presidency

7 Article II of the Constitution
Enumerated Powers Powers explicitly identified in the text of the Constitution- To include: Power to pardon Recommend legislation Call Congress to session Receive Ambassadors Make treaties Make appointments Veto power Commander in Chief “Executive Power” 12-1a Enumerated Powers of the Presidency #2 What exactly does “vested with Executive Power” mean?

8 The Presidency in Practice Applying the Rules:
George Washington’s precedents: Proposed & lobbied Congress to pass his agenda Established principle of confidentiality Limited Senate’s “advice” to “consent” only Denied Congress formal role in Diplomacy Established President as leader of executive branch Two Term limit informally established (impact?) Thomas Jefferson’s precedents: Established President as “Leader of the Party”

9 The Presidency in Practice (2)
Andrew Jackson’s precedents: “voice of the people” (national constituency) Justification for President’s leadership role Abraham Lincoln’s precedents: Whatever it takes to protect Union=> peak of Power Usurped powers of Congress (appropriate $$$ & declare War) Ignored Constitutional limits to preserve Union (later rebuffed by the Supreme Court) Historical Ebb & flow of Presidential power: 40 years following Lincoln (Congress took the lead) Exceptions: TR & WW=> revive growth of presidential powers TR: progressive domestic & aggressive FP actions (Caribbean) WW: World War I & “State of Nation” (personal address Congress)

10 Article II of the Constitution
Vague Definition of President’s power & authority Impact? ?__________ or “Inherent” Powers Governmental powers not enumerated in the Constitution; authority the government is assumed to have in order to carry out its enumerated powers 12-1a Implied Powers of the Presidency Impact on powers of the Presidency? The powers of the presidency have ?________ over the last two hundred years.

11 Advent of the “Modern” Presidency
Who is most identified with the start of the “modern” Presidency? Franklin D. Roosevelt Impact of FDR: Preeminent source of national leadership (why?) Role of FDR during Great ?___________ & ?_________ Effect on all of FDR’s successors ever since? Key precedent: The First 100 Days Institutional Leadership: What are the various roles played by Presidents?*

12 Institutionalized Leadership - Six Key Presidential Roles:
The Modern President Institutionalized Leadership - Six Key Presidential Roles: Chief of ?___________ Chief ?___________ Nation’s ?______ _______ Commander-in- ?___________ 12-1c The Modern Presidency

13 Selecting a President Party ?_________ General ?_________ Electoral
The Three Stages of selecting a President? Party ?_________ General ?_________ 12-2a Selecting a President Electoral ?________

14 Historical Overview: The Nomination Process
Exception to the rule: George Washington De facto head of government during Revolutionary war Obvious choice to all as most trusted American leader Congressional Caucuses ( ) Role of Congress=> select party’s nominee=> “King Caucus” Party Conventions ( ) Originally instituted to dump Jackson’s VP- Calhoun Whigs established party convention (Clay) vs. “King Andrew” Role & power of state party leaders (Figure 12-1)* Loyal party delegates appointed to National Convention (Delegates selection tightly controlled by party leaders) Result: Candidates must make deals & promises (w/Party leaders)

15 Party Convention Nomination System
National Party Convention; Selects nominee Rank and File Party Members attend State Party Convention Selects delegates Local Party Convention; Selects delegates 12-2a Party Convention District Party Convention; Selects delegates

16 Direct Primary Role of Progressive movement (1912-1924)
Progressive’s objective: (power of voters over power of Party) Following initial surge => most States revert to Conventions Role of Primary system ( ) Lesser known candidates use Primaries to get visibility Voter support=> demonstrate candidate’s viability to party leaders Therefore worthy of serious consideration at Party Convention Impact of 1968 Democratic Convention Chaos reigns => Young vs. old democrats split=> lose election As a Result: Democratic Party makes major rule changes => impact: Increased participation of minorities & women (Delegates would now represent rank & file profiles) Delegates now allotted in proportion to actual rank & file votes they actually received during the Primary Election (Figure12-2)*

17 Percentages of Delegates Chosen by Primaries, 1912-2004
12-2a Delegates Chosen by Primaries

18 Impact of post-1968 Primaries on the nature of Presidential nomination
Importance of early nominating events rises “Going early” => incentive for candidates Result? Prompted states to hold primary races much earlier- why? To allow their state to have a meaningful input into ?_____________________________ Also known as?* 12-2a Frontloading

19 For 2008: more states opted to be even earlier)
?___________ The decision states make to move their primaries and caucuses to earlier dates to increase their impact on nomination process For 2008: more states opted to be even earlier) Frontloading => impact: Increased importance of candidate raising early campaign $$$ Weakened influence of state party organizations in process Nominee Selection shift: From Congress=> Party=> Rank & File

20 The General Election Three major changes shifting focus of election?
From Party’s influence to role of ?___________ 1. Emergence of ?___________ & Radio 2. Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA) laws 3. The ?__________ & its effective use to attract small donations ($50-100) from many more donors How has TV & Radio affected election campaigns?*

21 The Influence of Radio & Television
Four major effects: 1. Allowed candidates to address voters ?________ 2. Increased ?___________ of each candidate to the voters 3. Shifted control of campaign from Party to the ?___________ (with the most money raised early) 4. Candidates use of mass media has significantly increased ?___________ of elections* 12-2a The Influence of Radio and Television

22 General Election Campaign Costs 1900-2008
2004 2000 12-2b General Election Campaign Costs

23 Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act
Congress has made numerous attempts to reform Campaign Finance laws since FECA of 1971 All have had disappointing or unexpected outcomes The latest reform attempt was BCRA BCRA (AKA: ?___________ ____________) Latest attempt focused on limiting soft money Also increased individual contributions to $2000/candidate/election (Challenged in the Courts by opponents) Result of all of above reforms: Candidate Centered Campaigns now dominate (Vice Party centered control of pre-1968 campaigns) Candidates now in full control of their own campaigns 2008 election is projected to break all $$$ records

24 Who Actually Elects the President?
*The body of electors, whose composition is determined by the results of the general election, that actually chooses the president and vice president. To win in the electoral college, candidates must secure a majority of the electoral vote. 12-2c The Electoral College

25 Key Questions: Popular vote vs. Electoral vote – what’s the difference? How are number of electors per state decided? Which states have most electors? How many votes needed to win? (margin of victory)*

26 Electoral College – The Unit Rule
Popular Vote decides which candidate wins Electoral Vote How are the vast majority of states’ Electoral Votes allocated? Role of unit rule => Most popular votes=> “winner take all” of state’s electoral Votes Impact on candidates’ campaigns? Attention therefore devoted to ?_____ ____& winnable states Potential impact of 3rd party candidates on election Needed to win election? => ?_________ (a majority) out of 538 possible electoral Votes If no majority of electoral votes– who decides election? Constitution’s guidance & role of House & Senate?

27 Summary: Impact of Change and Reform
Impact of changes in presidential selection process in the way Presidents now govern: More personalized presidencies Weakened political parties More spit ticket voting Let’s examine the Presidency as an Institution*

28 Presidency as an Institution
Three Sources of Presidential Powers: Presidential ?_________ The ?__________ Statutory ?_________ 12-3a Sources of Presidential Powers

29 Powers of the Presidency
Constitution (Article II) 12-3b The Constitution Veto Power Treaty Power Appointment Power

30 Recommend Measures as required
Statutory Laws Reprogramming Power Recommend Measures as required 12-3b Statutory Laws Specific example?*

31 Budget & Accounting Act of 1921
Presidential statutory power granted by Congress: Central Legislative Clearance* The power the Budget and Accounting Act of 1921 granted to the president to create a package of legislative proposals and budgets for congressional consideration. Consolidated submission of Executive Dept. Budgets 12-3b Central Legislative Clearance

32 Custom & Precedent Presidential Precedent
“So strong is the influence of custom that it seems almost to amend the Constitution.” 12-3d Presidential Precedent William Howard Taft Two Key Factors: President’s actions if left unchallenged (Dismissal power) Vague wording => dynamic & flexible reading of powers

33 Models of Presidential Power
Three different approaches to Presidential Power: Restricted Prerogative Presidents only allowed to exercise powers granted by Constitution or Statutory laws Model When nation is at stake, President may take any action necessary, regardless of Constitutional legality Model Stewardship President, representing the entire nation, must act as a steward Model 12-3d Stewardship Model William Howard Taft Abraham Lincoln Model followed now? Theodore Roosevelt ?_________- although some say Pres Bush is applying Lincoln’s model

34 Organizational Structure of the Presidency
Presidency has grown in size and complexity (especially since 1932) Historical Development Washington’s nephew (& “personal secretary”) Jackson’s “Kitchen Cabinet” FDR’s Executive Office of the President (EOP) New Deal programs & WWII Agencies needed to perform key functions for president Examine overview of Executive Branch & EOP

35 Executive Branch * = EOP

36 Executive Office of the President (EOP)
What are the four most important offices of the EOP?

37 Key Offices of EOP * White House Office Office of Management & Budget
(OMB) * The National Security Council (NSC) Office Of the Vice President 12-4 Office of the President

38 White House Office AKA: The West Wing

39 The West Wing

40

41 Workings of the Presidency Internal vs. External Factors
Internal Factors: Functions of EOP Agencies Advise & support president on public policy Liaison w/Congress & key Interest Groups White House Office: Office of Public Liaison Office of Strategic Planning & Communication Key aides=> advance prospects for re-election

42 Internal Factors (2) Presidential Management Styles
Advantages & disadvantages? Party associations with which Model & why? Role of the Staff: Neutral competence vs. loyal advocates Pros vs. cons?

43 External Influences Expectations of others
Institutionalized expectations of: Congress, news media, & Public- all expect President to: Set Nation’s political agenda (FDR) Personally deliver State of the Union address Presented before joint session of Congress Televised nationally to American people (A very big deal) Impact: places constraints & political accountability Also reduce opportunities for abuse of power

44 Assessing the Presidency as an Institution (Summary)
More presidential power acquired over time Interpreted & established as implied or inherent powers Modern organization=> larger & more complex Workings of office=> powerful & personalized But also: Constraints on the president’s power: Constitution, Statutory law, Courts, & informal rules Expectations of the: Public, Congress, & Media, Interest Groups & the Bureaucracy

45 Presidency in American Politics The Political Context: Permanent Crisis
Conflicting Expectations of Presidential Leadership Expectation: Initiative & Responsiveness Bold & timely leadership & initiative to solve problems Problem: Public & Congress may or may not follow lead (Example: President Bush’s proposed Social Security (SS) Reform) Nothing really happened on SS as other events (the War) took priority Time Constraints=> permanent crisis Insistent demands & limited time to respond Ever shrinking Honeymoon period Strike while the iron is hot – president’s agenda First One Hundred Days (FDR’s legacy) Midterm Elections=> diminishing cooperation Lame duck ending – defending past achievements & attempting to remain relevant to the political process

46 Permanent Crisis – Institutional Constraints:
What are the institutional constraints of the Presidency? Constitutional rules=> shared powers Executive vs. Congress vs. The Judiciary Must gain cooperation & persuade others=> Persuade Congress, Bureaucrats, & interest groups National orientation & perspective: President’s national perspective vs. Congress’s focus on State or district interests President’s broader scope vs. narrow scope of Congress Result: different priorities for the nation

47 Presidential Strategies
To deal with these challenges, Presidents use 2 strategies: 1. ?_________________ Strategy In simplest terms: “horse trading” (+) vs. veto threat (-) Nothing succeeds like success = Perception of power Advantage of being popular with the people (+ poll numbers)=> Positive impact on Congressional cooperation (it pays to be a winner) 2. ?___________ ___________Strategy (Figure 12-7)* Mobilize public support Direct appeals to public => over the heads of the media Usually Presidents use combination of both (above)

48 Presidential Public Activities 1929-1996

49 Presidential Relationships
Presidents and Congress: President has the power to set Congressional agenda – But=> Congress likely to vote w/own party & not w/other side Therefore the President of the majority party that also controls Congress controls the legislative process What’s the situation now? Major constraint: ?____________ government=> Result: Congress less likely to pass president’s agenda President must spend time opposing opposition’s majority Party’s agenda (by threatening to veto bills)

50 Presidents and the Public
6/2008 Must develop good relations w/public & keep it Use modern mass communications for direct appeals Regular access always available to public (radio & TV) Projecting a positive image & support essential Speech writers & media consultants are essential Public opinion polls provide info on the Public’s attitude Next class: Presidents and the Bureaucracy

51 Next Class: Chapter 13 The Bureaucracy

52 Backup Slides

53 KEY TERMS- The Presidency
Bargaining strategy: Direct negotiations the White House conducts with other political actors, such as members of Congress and leaders of interest groups, that attempt to reach mutually beneficial agreements. Caucus: A closed meeting of members of a political party to discuss matters of public policy and political strategy, and in some cases, to select candidates for office. Central legislative clearance: The power the Budget and Accounting Act of 1921 granted to the president to create a package of legislative proposals and budgets for congressional consideration. Divided government: When the president is of one party and the other party has a majority in at least one house of Congress. Electoral college: The body of electors, whose composition is determined by the results of the general election, that chooses the president and vice president. To win in the electoral college, candidates must secure a majority of the electoral vote. Enumerated powers: Powers explicitly identified in the text of the Constitution. Executive order: A presidential directive to an agency of the federal government that tells the agency to take some specified action. Frontloading: The decision states make to move their primaries and caucuses to earlier dates to increase their impact on the nomination process. Going public strategy: Direct presidential appeals to the public for support. Presidents use public support to pressure other political actors to accept their policies.

54 KEY TERMS (2)- The Presidency
Impeachment: Formally charging a government official with having committed “Treason, Bribery, or other High Crimes and Misdemeanors.” Officials convicted of such charges are removed from office. Implied powers: Governmental powers not enumerated in the Constitution; authority the government is assumed to have in order to carry out its enumerated powers. Independent expenditures: Funds raised and spent without contact with the supported candidate. Midterm elections: The congressional elections that take place midway through a president’s four-year term. Neutral competence: The belief that staff members (usually career civil servants) should be able to work competently for any president, regardless of partisan affiliation or policy preferences and without advocating the policies of individual presidents. One Hundred Days: A benchmark period for assessing a new president’s performance based on the first three months of Franklin Roosevelt’s presidency, when he gained passage of over a dozen major bills as part of his New Deal agenda. Pocket veto: The power of the president to veto a bill passed during the last ten days of a session of Congress simply by failing to sign it. Progressive movement: An early twentieth-century political movement that sought to advance the public interest by reducing the power of political parties in the selection of candidates and the administration of government. Soft money: Expenditures political parties make during an election for any activity that serves the purpose of increasing voter turnout. Unit rule: A winner-take-all system which requires that the candidate with the most popular votes receives all of that state’s electoral votes.

55 Back-up Slides

56 Presidential Popularity Over Time
Reality of declining popularity over time (Figure 12-8) Beginnings: exaggerated public support- then=> Decline soon follows => Reason: Expectations gap=> unrealistic expectations at the beginning Unfulfilled campaign promises or disappointment over handling national crises Very short honeymoon results soon after (if any at all) Axiom: Greater the popularity=> Greater perception of power Greater influence on Congress=> more likely to pass President’s agenda 10/2007 Current low poll numbers give Democratic Congressional majority a clear advantage

57 Presidents and the Federal Bureaucracy
Cannot command obedience of Federal agencies=> Must bargain & persuade to comply w/agenda Presidential resources to pressure bureaucracy behavior Appointment power- heads of agencies Budget making power- cut or increase $$$ Authority to reorganize structure & duties Executive order Presidents have power to compel compliance w/wishes If willing to spend the time to follow up Time presidents simply don’t have Must move on to more pressing issues Agencies & departments know this fact Feather pillow analogy of FDR with The “Naaavy” (WWI)

58 Campaign Finance Laws (The details & changes over time)
FECA of 1971 First attempt at election reform => Resulted in a number of unintended consequences: loopholes & rise of PACs FECA Regulations (1971): Presidential candidates can contribute no more than $50,000 to their own campaign Limits placed on spending for media ads Candidates must disclose names of anyone who contributes more than $100 to their campaign

59 Buckley v. Valeo Decision*
Supreme Court decision in 1976 => Undermined FECA reforms Court’s ruling on independent expenditures 1st Amendment free speech protected (if no contact made with candidate) (Separate independent & uncoordinated advocacy advertisements deemed OK) No Government limitation on candidates’ own expenditure If no public $$ used (Bush W. during 2000 nomination campaign)

60 Changing the Selection Process & Potential Consequences
Is the Electoral College outdated? Should presidents be elected by direct popular vote? Potential impact on system if popular vote replaced electoral vote to select the President? Urban/coastal population concentrations vs. rural states (West & East Coastal voters vs. Western & Midwest voters) Likely impact on states with lower populations? Potential for other unanticipated consequences & their impact - TBD

61 Campaign Finance Laws- Amendments
1974 Amendments to FECA voluntary public financing of campaigns (on IRS returns) Mandatory individual/PAC limits: $1000/5000 Public campaign financing available if certain provisions met Overwhelmingly favors two main parties Limits on candidates own spending if Public $$$ accepted Supreme Court decision in 1976 => Undermined FECA reforms Court’s ruling on independent expenditures 1st Amendment free speech protected (if no contact made with candidate) (Separate independent & uncoordinated advocacy advertisements deemed OK)

62 Important Changes in Campaign Finance
Earlier attempts to reign in campaign costs: Federal Election Campaign Act of 1971 (FECA) 1974 Amendments to FECA Supreme Court Decision: Buckley v. Valeo (1976) (Parts of FECA ruled unconstitutional) 1979 Amendments to FECA 12-2b Campaign Finance

63 Buckley v. Valeo (1976)- Summary
The Court Ruled: The government can limit contributions Independent Expenditures (which are funds raised and spent without contact with the supported candidate) BUT (government cannot limit?) 12-2b Buckley v. Valeo

64 “Soft Money” 1979 FECA Amendments=> addressed Court’s concerns
Result: “soft money”* increased Soft money: Expenditures political parties make during an election for any activity that serves the purpose of “increasing voter turnout.” Unlimited contributions to party (vice candidate) made OK Considered legal as long as no coordination with candidate effected (but routinely abused by both Party Campaigns) (Direct contributions to the Candidate considered as “hard money”) Result=> significantly more $$$ contributed to party (“to educate the voters”) Impact: Role of political parties’ influence rises dramatically

65 Campaign Finance Laws – “Soft Money” - 1979 Amendments:
1979 FECA Amendments=> Result: “soft money”(?) increases Unlimited contributions to party (vice candidate) OK Considered legal as long as no coordination with candidate effected (abused by both Party Campaigns) (Direct contributions to the Candidate considered as “hard money”) Result=> significantly more $$$ contributed to party (“to educate the voters”) Role of political parties’ influence rises dramatically

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68 2008 Presidential Primary Schedule


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