Population Change in Arizona, Texas and the United States: Implications for Education and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice.

Population Change in Arizona, Texas and the United States: Implications for Education and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Steve H. Murdock, Director Hobby Center for the Study of Texas and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology Rice University Morrison Institute Phoenix, Arizona April 27, 2012

Major Topics of the Presentation __________________________ Population Change Increasing Racial/Ethnic Diversity Aging of the Population Implications of Demographic Change for Education and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total Population and Percent Population Change in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010 Total Population Percent Change YearTexasU.S. TexasU.S. 1850 212,592 23,191,876--- 1860 604,215 31,443,321184.235.6 1870 818,579 39,818,44935.526.6 1880 1,591,749 50,155,78394.526.0 1890 2,235,527 62,947,71440.425.5 1900 3,048,710 75,994,57536.420.7 1910 3,896,542 91,972,26627.821.0 1920 4,663,228 105,710,62019.714.9 1930 5,824,715 122,775,04624.916.1 1940 6,414,824 131,669,27510.17.2 1950 7,711,194 150,697,36120.214.5 1960 9,579,677 179,323,17524.219.0 1970 11,196,730 203,302,03116.913.4 1980 14,229,191 226,545,80527.111.4 1990 16,986,510 248,709,87319.49.8 2000 20,851,820 281,421,90622.813.2 2010 25,145,561 308,745,53820.69.7 Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year. Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 PopulationNumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 California33,871,64837,253,9563,382,30810.0 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 Virginia7,078,5158,001,024922,50913.0 Washington5,894,1216,724,540830,41914.1 Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727,93516.9 Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702,29435.1 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Change 2000-2010 State 2000 Population 2010 Population NumericPercent United States281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 Nevada1,998,2572,700,551702,29435.1 Arizona5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 Utah2,233,1692,763,885530,71623.8 Idaho1,293,9531,567,582273,62921.1 Texas20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 North Carolina8,049,3139,535,4831,486,17018.5 Georgia8,186,4539,687,6531,501,20018.3 Florida15,982,37818,801,3102,818,93217.6 Colorado4,301,2615,029,196727,93516.9 South Carolina4,012,0124,625,364613,35215.3 Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase 2000-2010 Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Ten States in the United States with the Largest Numeric Population Increase 2010-2011 Population values as of April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2011. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University 15-month ChangeAnnualized Change 2010 - 2011 20102011 StatePopulation NumericPercentNumericPercent United States308,745,538311,591,9172,846,3790.922,277,1030.74 Texas25,145,56125,674,681529,1202.10423,2961.68 California37,253,95637,691,912437,9561.18350,3650.94 Florida18,801,31019,057,542256,2321.36204,9861.09 Georgia9,687,6539,815,210127,5571.32102,0461.05 North Carolina9,535,4839,656,401120,9181.2796,7341.01 Washington6,724,5406,830,038105,4981.5784,3981.26 Virginia8,001,0248,096,60495,5801.1976,4640.96 Arizona6,392,0176,482,50590,4881.4272,3901.13 Colorado5,029,1965,116,79687,6001.7470,0801.39 New York19,378,10219,465,19787,0950.4569,6760.36

Ten States in the United States with the Largest Percentage Population Increase 2010-2011 Population values as of April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2011. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University 15-month ChangeAnnualized Change 2010 - 2011 20102011 StatePopulation NumericPercentNumericPercent United States308,745,538311,591,9172,846,3790.922,277,1030.74 Texas25,145,56125,674,681529,1202.10423,2961.68 Utah2,763,8852,817,22253,3371.9342,6701.54 Alaska710,231722,71812,4871.769,9901.41 Colorado5,029,1965,116,79687,6001.7470,0801.39 North Dakota672,591683,93211,3411.699,0731.35 Washington6,724,5406,830,038105,4981.5784,3981.26 Arizona6,392,0176,482,50590,4881.4272,3941.13 Florida18,801,31019,057,542256,2321.36204,9851.09 Georgia9,687,6539,815,210127,5571.32102,0401.05 North Carolina9,535,4839,656,401120,9181.2796,7411.01

Source: Pew Hispanic Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population: National and State Trends, 2010.” Number and Percent of Unauthorized Immigrants by State, Ranked by Number of Unauthorized Immigrants in the United States, 2010 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Population (in thousands) Unauthorized Immigrants State2010NumberPercent United States305,99911,2003.7% California37,2102,5506.8% Texas24,8581,6506.7% Florida18,4928254.5% New York19,4746253.2% New Jersey8,7435506.2% Illinois12,8415254.1% Georgia9,7224254.4% Arizona6,5594006.0% North Carolina9,3873253.5% Maryland5,7022754.6%

Source: Pew Hispanic Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population: National and State Trends, 2010.” Number and Percent of Unauthorized Immigrants by State, Ranked by Percent of State’s Population that is Unauthorized, 2010 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Population (in thousands) Unauthorized Immigrants State2010NumberPercent United States154,9398,0005.2% Nevada2,6551907.2% California37,2102,5506.8% Texas24,8581,6506.7% New Jersey8,7435506.2% Arizona6,5594006.0% Maryland5,7022754.6% Florida18,4928254.5% District of Columbia600254.5% Georgia9,7224254.4% New Mexico1,997854.3% Oregon3,8541604.3%

Source: Pew Hispanic Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population: National and State Trends, 2010.” Number and Percent of Unauthorized Immigrants by State, Ranked by Number of Unauthorized Immigrants in the United States Labor Force, 201 0 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Labor Force (in thousands) Unauthorized Immigrants State2010NumberPercent United States154,9398,0005.2% California18,8111,8509.7% Texas12,2611,1009.0% Florida9,0646006.6% New York9,7424504.7% New Jersey4,6794008.6% Illinois6,7193755.6% Georgia4,7773257.0% Arizona3,1162307.4% North Carolina4,6582505.4% Maryland3,1001906.2% Washington3,6231906.2%

Source: Pew Hispanic Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population: National and State Trends, 2010.” Number and Percent of Unauthorized Immigrants by State, Ranked by Percent of State’s Labor Force that is Unauthorized, 2010 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University Labor Force (in thousands) Unauthorized Immigrants State2010NumberPercent United States154,9398,0005.2% Nevada1,36714010.0% California18,8111,8509.7% Texas12,2611,1009.0% New Jersey4,6794008.6% Arizona3,1162307.4% Georgia4,7773257.0% Florida9,0646006.6% Maryland3,1001906.2% District of Columbia339206.1% New Mexico909505.6% Illinois6,7193755.6%

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White194,552,774196,817,5522,264,7781.28.3 69.1 63.7 Hispanic (All Races)35,305,81850,477,59415,171,77643.055.5 12.5 16.3 NH Black33,947,83737,685,8483,738,01111.013.7 12.1 12.2 NH Asian10,123,16914,465,1244,341,95542.915.9 3.6 4.7 NH Other7,492,3089,299,4201,807,11224.16.6 2.7 3.0 Total281,421,906308,745,53827,323,6329.7 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171 Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 and Older by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation Change Percent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change20002010 NH White150,525,687157,100,9906,575,3034.425.972.067.0 Hispanic (All Races)22,963,55933,346,70310,383,14445.240.811.014.2 NH Black23,337,57327,323,6653,986,09217.115.711.211.6 NH Asian7,702,89511,288,9953,586,10046.614.13.74.8 NH Other4,598,3805,503,718905,33819.73.62.22.3 Total209,128,094234,564,07125,435,97712.2100.0

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White44,027,08739,716,562-4,310,525-9.8-228.4 60.9 53.5 Hispanic (All Races)12,342,25917,130,8914,788,63238.8253.7 17.1 23.1 NH Black10,610,26410,362,183-248,081-2.3-13.1 14.7 14.0 NH Asian2,420,2743,176,129755,85531.240.0 3.3 4.3 NH Other2,893,9283,795,702901,77431.247.8 4.0 5.1 Total72,293,81274,181,4671,887,6552.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White10,933,31311,397,345464,0324.210.8 52.4 45.3 Hispanic (All Races)6,669,6669,460,9212,791,25541.865.0 32.0 37.6 NH Black2,364,2552,886,825522,57022.112.2 11.3 11.5 NH Asian554,445948,426393,98171.19.2 2.7 3.8 NH Other330,141452,044121,90336.92.8 1.6 1.8 Total20,851,82025,145,5614,293,74120.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White8,426,1669,074,684648,5187.719.6 56.3 49.6 Hispanic (All Races)4,282,9016,143,1441,860,24343.456.1 28.6 33.6 NH Black1,631,4482,076,282444,83427.313.4 10.9 11.4 NH Asian415,219716,968301,74972.79.1 2.8 3.9 NH Other209,327268,65959,33228.31.8 1.4 1.5 Total14,965,06118,279,7373,314,67622.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White2,507,1472,322,661-184,486-7.4-18.8 42.6 33.8 Hispanic (All Races)2,386,7653,317,777931,01239.095.1 40.5 48.3 NH Black732,807810,54377,73610.67.9 12.4 11.8 NH Asian139,226231,45892,23266.29.4 2.4 3.4 NH Other120,814183,38562,57151.86.4 2.1 2.7 Total5,886,7596,865,824979,06516.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non- Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White3,274,2583,695,647421,38912.933.4 63.8 57.8 Hispanic (All Races)1,295,6171,895,149599,53246.347.5 25.3 29.6 NH Black149,941239,10189,16059.57.1 2.9 3.7 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 233,370257,42624,05610.31.9 4.5 4.0 NH Asian89,315170,50981,19490.96.4 1.7 2.7 NH Other88,131134,18546,05452.33.7 1.7 2.1 Total5,130,6326,392,0171,261,38524.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population 18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White2,595,5843,017,895422,31116.342.3 69.0 63.4 Hispanic (All Races)802,4741,191,203388,72948.438.9 21.3 25.0 NH Black103,257172,24968,99266.86.9 2.7 3.6 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 142,940175,20732,26722.63.2 3.8 3.7 NH Asian69,331132,31762,98690.86.3 1.8 2.8 NH Other50,09974,13224,03348.02.4 1.3 1.6 Total3,763,6854,763,003999,31826.6 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White678,674677,752-922-0.1-0.4 49.6 41.6 Hispanic (All Races)493,143703,946210,80342.780.4 36.1 43.2 NH Black46,68466,85220,16843.27.7 3.4 4.1 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 90,43082,219-8,211-9.1-3.1 6.6 5.0 NH Asian19,98438,19218,20891.16.9 1.5 2.3 NH Other38,03260,05322,02157.98.4 2.8 3.7 Total1,366,9471,629,014262,06719.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White2,140,1712,460,541320,37015.034.0 65.8 58.7 Hispanic (All Races)817,0121,235,718418,70651.244.5 25.1 29.5 NH Black113,179193,49780,31871.08.5 3.5 4.6 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 58,12276,66218,54031.92.0 1.8 NH Asian65,563134,41568,852105.07.3 2.0 3.2 NH Other57,82992,05434,22559.23.6 1.8 2.2 Total3,251,8764,192,887941,01128.9 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White459,500480,20820,7084.58.8 52.6 43.4 Hispanic (All Races)316,060473,970157,91050.067.3 36.2 42.8 NH Black36,56356,18419,62153.78.4 4.2 5.1 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 20,21522,4772,26211.21.0 2.3 2.0 NH Asian15,32231,81016,488107.67.0 1.8 2.9 NH Other25,42442,91217,48868.87.5 2.9 3.9 Total873,0841,107,561234,47726.9 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Maricopa County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White2,034,5302,240,055205,52510.127.6 66.2 58.7 Hispanic (All Races)763,3411,128,741365,40047.949.0 24.8 29.6 NH Black108,521177,49068,96963.69.3 3.5 4.6 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 45,70359,25213,54929.61.8 1.5 1.6 NH Asian64,562128,30163,73998.78.6 2.1 3.4 NH Other55,49283,27827,78650.13.7 1.8 2.2 Total3,072,1493,817,117744,96824.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Maricopa County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White440,658434,210-6,448-1.5-3.6 53.2 43.1 Hispanic (All Races)297,029434,592137,56346.376.5 35.9 43.1 NH Black35,32151,72716,40646.49.1 4.3 5.1 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 15,38617,7942,40815.71.3 1.9 1.8 NH Asian15,11230,51815,406101.98.6 1.8 3.0 NH Other24,49739,02014,52359.38.1 3.0 3.9 Total828,0031,007,861179,85821.7 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Pinal County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White105,641220,486114,845108.758.6 58.8 58.7 Hispanic (All Races)53,671106,97753,30699.327.2 29.9 28.5 NH Black4,65816,00711,349243.65.8 2.6 4.3 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 12,41917,4104,99140.22.5 6.9 4.6 NH Asian1,0016,1145,113510.82.6 0.6 1.6 NH Other2,3378,7766,439275.53.3 1.3 2.3 Total179,727375,770196,043109.1 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Pinal County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White18,84245,99827,156144.149.7 41.8 46.1 Hispanic (All Races)19,03139,37820,347106.937.3 42.2 39.5 NH Black1,2424,4573,215258.95.9 2.8 4.5 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 4,8294,683-146-3.0-0.3 10.7 4.7 NH Asian2101,2921,082515.22.0 0.5 1.3 NH Other9273,8922,965319.85.4 2.1 3.9 Total45,08199,70054,619121.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Phoenix, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White736,844672,573-64,271-8.7-51.6 55.8 46.5 Hispanic (All Races)449,972589,877139,90531.1112.3 34.1 40.8 NH Black63,75686,78823,03236.118.5 4.8 6.0 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 21,47223,3271,8558.61.5 1.6 NH Asian25,45343,89418,44172.514.8 1.9 3.0 NH Other23,54829,1735,62523.94.5 1.8 2.0 Total1,321,0451,445,632124,5879.4 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Phoenix, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White160,778123,216-37,562-23.4-145.0 42.0 30.2 Hispanic (All Races)177,362230,05752,69529.7203.4 46.4 56.3 NH Black21,19425,1383,94418.615.2 5.5 6.2 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 6,9236,637-286-4.1-1.1 1.8 1.6 NH Asian6,07110,1714,10067.515.8 1.6 2.5 NH Other10,10713,1223,01529.811.6 2.6 3.2 Total382,435408,34125,9066.8 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Tucson MSA, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White518,720541,70022,9804.416.8 61.5 55.3 Hispanic (All Races)247,578338,80291,22436.866.8 29.3 34.6 NH Black24,04731,0757,02829.25.1 2.9 3.2 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 21,82123,5581,7378.01.3 2.6 2.4 NH Asian16,59524,5927,99748.25.9 2.0 2.5 NH Other14,98520,5365,55137.04.1 1.8 2.1 Total843,746980,263136,51716.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Tucson MSA, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White95,08181,367-13,714-14.4-78.7 45.7 36.1 Hispanic (All Races)89,163116,16927,00630.3155.0 42.9 51.6 NH Black6,7697,68891913.65.3 3.3 3.4 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 7,6617,235-426-5.6-2.4 3.7 3.2 NH Asian3,2064,5041,29840.57.5 1.5 2.0 NH Other6,0168,3532,33738.813.4 2.9 3.7 Total207,896225,31617,4208.4 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Pima County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White518,720541,70022,9804.416.8 61.5 55.3 Hispanic (All Races)247,578338,80291,22436.866.8 29.3 34.6 NH Black24,04731,0757,02829.25.1 2.9 3.2 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 21,82123,5581,7378.01.3 2.6 2.4 NH Asian16,59524,5927,99748.25.9 2.0 2.5 NH Other14,98520,5365,55137.04.1 1.8 2.1 Total843,746980,263136,51716.2 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Pima County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White95,08181,367-13,714-14.4-78.7 45.7 36.1 Hispanic (All Races)89,163116,16927,00630.3155.0 42.9 51.6 NH Black6,7697,68891913.65.3 3.3 3.4 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 7,6617,235-426-5.6-2.4 3.7 3.2 NH Asian3,2064,5041,29840.57.5 1.5 2.0 NH Other6,0168,3532,33738.813.4 2.9 3.7 Total207,896225,31617,4208.4 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Tucson, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White263,748245,323-18,425-7.0-55.1 54.2 47.2 Hispanic (All Races)173,868216,30842,44024.4127.0 35.7 41.6 NH Black19,79523,3623,56718.010.7 4.1 4.5 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 7,7328,7761,04413.53.1 1.6 1.7 NH Asian11,53714,2112,67423.28.0 2.4 2.7 NH Other10,01912,1362,11721.16.3 2.1 2.3 Total486,699520,11633,4176.9 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Tucson, Arizona, 2000 and 2010 PopulationPopulation ChangePercent of Total Population Race/Ethnicity*20002010NumericPercent Percent of Total Change 20002010 NH White44,64834,166-10,482-23.5-600.0 37.3 28.2 Hispanic (All Races)61,16172,14310,98218.0628.6 51.1 59.4 NH Black5,5845,6911071.96.1 4.7 NH American Indian/ Alaska Native 2,2872,4781918.410.9 1.9 2.0 NH Asian1,9922,21222011.012.6 1.7 1.8 NH Other3,9454,67472918.541.7 3.3 3.9 Total119,617121,3641,7471.5 100.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171. Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2040* Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Arizona Population Age Distribution April 1, 2010 Hispanic Population and Non-Hispanic Population

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the United States Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009 1999 2009 Population in Poverty% Median Household Income* Population in Poverty% Median Household Income Anglo15,414,1198.1$58,52319,462,96610.0$54,671 Hispanic7,797,87422.6$43,44211,130,89623.5$39,923 Black8,146,14624.9$37,9569,407,95525.8$33,463 Asian1,257,23712.6$66,9611,539,22611.4$68,780 Other1,284,43618.5NA1,327,12018.4NA Total 33,899,81212.4$54,172 42,868,16314.3$50,221 *In 2009 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Total and Percent of the Texas Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009 1999 2009 Population in Poverty% Median Household Income* Population in Poverty% Median Household Income Anglo 826,4597.8$60,839 1,010,1709.0$59,836 Hispanic 1,658,43425.4$38,536 2,364,40726.4$35,628 Black 525,08223.4$37,803 630,47923.1$35,438 Asian 65,04811.9$64,576 105,18612.1$63,692 Other42,58613.9NA40,00011.9NA Total 3,117,60915.4$51,506 4,150,24217.2$50,043 *In 2009 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income NH White249,3817.8$57,785406,99511.2$51,642 Hispanic (All Races)28,79819.9$44,40163,43625.1$36,351 Black310,38124.5$41,457494,63726.6$36,622 American Indian/ Alaska Native 91,99837.3$32,086101,55636.9$29,487 Asian11,04212.3$59,95020,31111.9$63,376 Total698,66913.9$53,086 1,094,24917.4$46,789 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale MSA, Arizona, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income NH White 136,1276.5$63,651245,30310.1$55,879 Hispanic (All Races) 22,29820.0$46,08753,57225.8$35,232 Black 194,57624.4$44,439330,81127.2$37,048 American Indian/ Alaska Native 19,03329.1$41,08022,90127.0$34,575 Asian 7,42011.1$66,54013,86311.0$68,449 Total 383,48412.0$58,730 672,29916.3$50,385 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Maricopa County, Arizona, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income NH White 126,3436.3$64,327227,36310.3$56,123 Hispanic (All Races) 21,50519.9$46,50550,84426.4$35,102 Black 182,47224.3$44,673311,19027.8$36,743 American Indian/ Alaska Native 13,87026.0$43,85116,47124.8$33,176 Asian 7,26011.0$66,74213,07310.2$69,830 Total 355,66811.7$59,369 623,80116.5$50,410 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Tucson MSA, Arizona, 1999 and 2010 Race/ Ethnicity 1999 2010 Population in Poverty % Median Household Income* Population in Poverty % Median Household Income NH White 47,4829.4$52,63264,81812.3$49,145 Hispanic (All Races) 4,41819.4$40,2426,33519.7$40,158 Black 55,86022.9$39,49981,67524.5$35,848 American Indian/ Alaska Native 9,34535.2$34,32512,07138.9$28,605 Asian 2,76016.8$41,4573,94215.7$60,260 Total 120,77814.7$48,113 169,85217.8$44,274 *In 2010 Dollars Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the United States Population Age 25 and Older by Race/Ethnicity, 2009 Race Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than high school High school diploma Some college or associates degree Bachelor or more Non-Hispanic White139,962,1999.629.330.031.1 Black22,975,41018.631.632.217.6 Hispanic*26,106,58739.126.222.112.6 Asian9,404,49314.716.019.649.7 Total201,952,38314.728.528.927.9 ________ Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009. *Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

Educational Attainment for the Texas Population Age 25 and Older by Race/Ethnicity, 2009 Race Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than high school High school diploma Some college or associates degree Bachelor or more Non-Hispanic White8,026,0498.325.332.533.9 Black1,705,70915.030.436.518.1 Hispanic*4,876,51742.525.221.410.9 Asian580,15914.215.417.253.2 Total15,361,55720.125.428.925.5 ________ Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009. *Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Arizona Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 2,722,0846.624.137.831.5 Black 152,21210.926.341.721.1 Hispanic* 966,07735.427.926.410.3 American Indian/ Alaska Native 155,33226.232.833.27.8 Asian 120,52612.217.121.349.4 Total4,146,75814.425.134.725.9 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale MSA, Arizona Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 1,788,4676.123.637.532.8 Black 122,02211.127.540.920.5 Hispanic* 615,31537.528.424.39.7 American Indian/ Alaska Native 47,81821.034.335.89.0 Asian 93,37411.916.521.849.8 Total2,689,62114.024.834.027.2 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Phoenix, Arizona Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 508,1626.623.735.634.1 Black 59,82215.029.137.318.6 Hispanic* 279,17142.930.419.47.3 American Indian/ Alaska Native 13,40822.237.233.37.3 Asian 30,21015.417.016.251.4 Total897,88119.026.130.024.9 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Tucson MSA, Arizona Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 408,6335.821.435.637.2 Black 20,8749.624.444.821.3 Hispanic* 181,62129.025.331.813.9 American Indian/ Alaska Native 18,37827.132.129.511.3 Asian 17,7169.822.817.649.8 Total649,17613.022.834.330.0 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Tucson, Arizona Race/ Ethnicity Population Age 25 and Older Less than High School High School Diploma Some College or Associates Degree Bachelor Degree or More Non-Hispanic White 179,0956.722.538.332.4 Black 14,69412.226.243.318.2 Hispanic* 112,72730.626.729.613.1 American Indian/ Alaska Native 8,68625.328.031.015.7 Asian 8,14812.018.323.945.9 Total324,39415.824.035.025.2 *Hispanic includes persons of all races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

PROJECTIONS Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions) Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: 2000 to 2050 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2000 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2050 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2040 for Texas Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

Average Household Income in Texas, 2000-2040* (in 2000 Dollars)

Projected Percent of Households in Poverty by Family Type in Texas, 2000 and 2040

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040 Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*

Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040* Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040* *Source: Texas State Data Center. Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario $251 $621 $765 $938 $210 $528 $629 $752 2000 Base Values 2040 Assuming 2000 Attainment Differentials 2040 Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Differentials 2040 Assuming Anglo Trends Apply to all Groups $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 Billions Aggregate IncomeConsumer Expenditures Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

The mark of a truly educated man is to be moved deeply by statistics. George Bernard Shaw

Arizona Population Age Distribution April 1, 2010 Hispanic Population and Non-Hispanic Population

Steve Murdock Phone: 210-867-4385 E-mail: shm3@rice.edushm3@rice.edu Website: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu

Population Change in Arizona, Texas and the United States: Implications for Education and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice.

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Population Change in Arizona, Texas and the United States: Implications for Education and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice.

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Presentation on theme: "Population Change in Arizona, Texas and the United States: Implications for Education and Economic Development Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice."— Presentation transcript:

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