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Writing an Empirical Research Report, and Sources of Economic Data Prepared by Vera Tabakova, East Carolina University.

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Presentation on theme: "Writing an Empirical Research Report, and Sources of Economic Data Prepared by Vera Tabakova, East Carolina University."— Presentation transcript:

1 Writing an Empirical Research Report, and Sources of Economic Data Prepared by Vera Tabakova, East Carolina University

2  17.1 Selecting a Topic for an Economics Project  17.2 A Format for Writing a Research Report  17.3 Sources of Economic Data

3  Select an area of interest and identify a problem you wish to work on.  Find suitable and readily available data.  Learn the econometric procedures that are appropriate for analyzing the data, and implement them on the computer.

4  Select an area of interest and identify a problem you wish to work on.  Find suitable and readily available data.  Learn the econometric procedures that are appropriate for analyzing the data, and implement them on the computer.

5 The abstract should be short, usually no more than 500 words, and should include: 1. a concise statement of the problem; 2. comments on the information that is available with one or two key references; 3. a description of the research design that includes: i. the economic model, ii. the econometric estimation and inference methods, iii. data sources, iv. estimation, hypothesis testing and prediction procedures; and 4. the potential contribution of the research.

6 1. Statement of the Problem The place to start your report is with a summary of the questions you wish to investigate, why they are important and who should be interested in the results. This introductory section should be non-technical and it should motivate the reader to continue reading the paper. It is also useful to map out the contents of the following sections of the report.

7 2. Review of the Literature Briefly summarize the relevant literature in the research area you have chosen and clarify how your work extends our knowledge. By all means cite the works of others who have motivated your research, but keep it brief. You do not have to survey everything that has been written on the topic.

8 3. The Economic Model Specify the economic model that you used, and define the economic variables. State the model’s assumptions and identify hypotheses that you wish to test. Economic models can get complicated. Your task is to explain the model clearly, but as briefly and simply as possible. Don’t use unnecessary technical jargon. Use simple terms instead of complicated ones when possible. Your objective is to display the quality of your thinking, not the extent of your vocabulary.

9 4. The Econometric Model Discuss the econometric model that corresponds to the economic model. Make sure you include a discussion of the variables in the model, the functional form, the error assumptions and any other assumptions that you make. Use notation that is as simple as possible, and do not clutter the body of the paper with long proofs or derivations. These can go into a technical appendix.

10 5. The Data Describe the data you used, the source of the data and any reservations you have about their appropriateness. 6. The Estimation and Inference Procedures Describe the estimation methods you used and why they were chosen. Explain hypothesis testing procedures and their usage.

11 7. The Empirical Results and Conclusions Report the parameter estimates, their interpretation and the values of test statistics. Comment on their statistical significance, their relation to previous estimates and their economic implications. 8. Possible Extensions and Limitations of the Study Your research will raise questions about the economic model, data and estimation techniques. What future research is suggested by your findings and how might you go about it?

12 9. Acknowledgments It is appropriate to recognize those who have commented on and contributed to your research. This may include your instructor, a librarian who helped you find data, a fellow student who read and commented on your paper. 10. References An alphabetical list of the literature you cite in your study, as well as references to the data sources you used.

13 17.3.1 Links to Economic Data on the Internet  Resources for Economists (RFE) [http://www.rfe.org]http://www.rfe.org  US Macro and Regional Data Here you will find links to various data sources such as the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Economic Reports of the President, and the Federal Reserve Banks.  Other US Data Here you will find links to the US Census Bureau, as well as links to many panel and survey data sources. The gateway to US Government agencies is FedStats [http://www.fedstats.gov/].http://www.fedstats.gov/

14  World and Non-US Data Here there are links to world data, such as the CIA Factbook, and the Penn World Tables. International organizations such as the Asian Development Bank, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, etc.  Finance and Financial Markets Here there are links to sources of US and world financial data on variables such as exchange rates, interest rates and share prices.  Journal Data and Program Archives Some economic journals post data used in articles.

15  Business and Economics Datalinks [http://www.econ-datalinks.org/] is a site maintained by the Business and Economics Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association. It provides links to economics and financial data sources of interest to economists and business statisticians, along with an assessment of the quality of each site.http://www.econ-datalinks.org/

16  Resources for Econometricians: A link which contains a range of resources for econometricians is Econometrics Journal online. The specific link to data sources is: http://www.feweb.vu.nl/econometriclinks/#data http://www.feweb.vu.nl/econometriclinks/#data  Economagic [http://www.Economagic.com/] is an excellent and easy-to-use source of macro time series (some 100,000 series available). The data series are easily viewed in a copy and paste format, or graphed.http://www.Economagic.com/

17 Data web sites are constantly being created. Some recent examples include:  Time-Web: http://www.bized.ac.uk/timeweb/http://www.bized.ac.uk/timeweb/  Statistical Resources on the Web: http://www.lib.umich.edu/govdocs/stats.html http://www.lib.umich.edu/govdocs/stats.html  Business, Financial and Economic Data: http://www.forecasts.org/data/ http://www.forecasts.org/data/

18 17.3.1 Traditional Sources of Economic Data  International Financial Statistics (IMF, monthly)  Basic Statistics of the Community (OECD, annual)  Consumer Price Indices in the European Community (OECD, annual)  World Statistics (UN, annual)  Yearbook of National Accounts Statistics (UN, annual)  FAO Trade Yearbook (annual).

19  Survey of Current Business (BEA, monthly)  Handbook of Basic Economic Statistics (BES, monthly)  Monthly Labor Review (BLS, monthly)  Federal Reserve Bulletin (FR, monthly)  Statistical Abstract of the US (BC, annual)  Economic Report of the President (annual)  Agricultural Statistics (USDA, annual)  Agricultural Situation Reports (USDA, monthly)  Economic Indicators (Council of Economic Advisors, monthly).

20  A useful resource: A Guide to Everyday Economic Statistics, 6 th Edition [Gary E. Clayton and Martin Gerhard Giesbrecht (2003) Boston: Irwin/McGraw-Hill].

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