1. Montana’s Health Care Workforce Projections
Presented to the Montana Healthcare Workforce Advisory Committee
May 4th, 2015
Amy Watson
Economist
MT Dept. of Labor and Industry

2. About MT DLI Employment Projections
Two-Year Projections 2014 to 2016
Ten-Year Projections 2014 to 2024
Projections by Industry, Occupation and Region
Projection of Employment Demand
Data Sources:
Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages
Occupational Employment Statistics

3. Montana Recession (2007 to 2010) and Recovery (2010-2013) by Industry
Montana Healthcare Workforce Data Update
Montana Recession (2007 to 2010) and Recovery ( ) by Industry
Government
Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, MT DLI.
Montana Department of Labor and Industry

4. Steady Employment Growth in Health Care Industry, 1990-2024
1.8%
1.9%
2.8%
Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry 2024 Employment Projections .

5. Regional Distribution of Health Care Annual Employment Growth, 2014-2024
Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry 2024 Employment Projections .

6. Employment Growth in Health Care Industry by Region, 1990-2024
Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry 2024 Employment Projections .

7. Top 15 Health Care Jobs with the Most Annual Openings, 2014 – 2024
Occupation
Minimum Requirement
Annual Openings
2014 MT Average Annual Wage
Education
Work Experience
Openings Due to New Jobs
Openings Due to Workers Leaving
Total Annual Openings 1
Registered Nurses
Associate’s
199
177
376
$61,814 2
Nursing Assistants
PS Award
107
111
218
$24,890 3
LPNs and LVNs 50 69
119
$38,762 4
Home Health Aides
< HS
ST-OJT 59 34 93
$22,368 5
Medical Records and HIT 24 57
$34,727 6
Physical Therapists
Prof 27 25 52
$69,587 7
Pharmacists 16 43
$106,667 8
Dental Assistants 13 37
$33,202 9
Physicians and Surgeons, All Other
Int/Res 22 35
$228,882 10
EMTs and Paramedics 21
$29,591 11
Dental Hygienists 14 19 33
$68,591 12
Medical Assistants 15 31
$31,263
Pharmacy Technicians
HS or GED
MT-OJT 17 28
$33,408
Radiologic Technicians 26
$53,377
Medical and Clinical Lab Techs
$38,356
<HS =Less than high school diploma, HS or GED = high school diploma or GED, PS= postsecondary non-degree award, Prof= Doctoral or Professional degree, ST-OJT=Short-term on the job training, MT-OJT=Medium-tem OJT, Int/Res = Internship or Residency
Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry 2024 Employment Projections .

8. Health Care Occupations by AHEC Region
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
AHEC Region
Employment
Mean Annual Wage
Entry-Level Wage 1
Western Montana AHEC Region
9,115
$70,132
$33,262 2
South Central Montana AHEC Region
7,471
$70,034
$32,767 3
North Central Montana AHEC Region
3,896
$64,912
$34,320 4
Eastern Montana AHEC Region
7,158
$75,184
$35,362 5
North Eastern Montana AHEC Region
1,613
$63,851
$32,421
Healthcare Support Occupations
AHEC Region
Employment
Mean Annual Wage
Entry-Level Wage 1
Western Montana AHEC Region
2,997
$27,318
$ 20,748 2
South Central Montana AHEC Region
3,443
$26,484
$20,244 3
North Central Montana AHEC Region
1,502
$26,628
$20,725 4
Eastern Montana AHEC Region
2,245
$28,999
$21,510 5
North Eastern Montana AHEC Region
990
$27,148
$ 21,653
Source: Occupational Employment Statistics May 2014, Bureau of Labor Statistics and MT Dept. of Labor and Industry

9. Montana Healthcare Workforce Data Update
Top 15 Non-Health Care Jobs within the Health Care Industry, 2014 – 2024
Occupation
Minimum Requirement
Annual Openings across all Industries
2014 MT Average Annual Wage
Education
Work Experience
Openings Due to New Jobs
Openings Due to Workers Leaving
Total Annual Openings 1
Personal Care Aides
< HS
ST-OJT
156 46
201
$21,775 2
Medical Secretaries
HS or GED
MT-OJT 58 27 84
$30,954 3
Social & Human Service Assistants 28 41 69
$26,272 4
Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 90
132
222
$20,908 5
Childcare Workers 40 99
139
$20,758 6
Cooks, Institution & Cafeteria 24 64
$25,215 7
Receptionists & Information Clerks 23 80
103
$26,339 8
Bookkeeping, Accounting, & Auditing Clerks
170
109
280
$33,051 9
Billing and Posting Clerks 29 32 61
$32,574 10
Medical & Health Services Managers
Bachelor's 18 42
$81,143 11
Secretaries and Admin Assistants
150
129
278
$29,931 12
Food Servers, Non restaurant 47
$19,473 13
Mental Health Counselors
Master's
Int/Res 14 19 33
$31,319
Substance Abuse & Behavioral Disorder Counselors 26
$40,308 15
Child, Family, & School Social Workers
$34,917
<HS =Less than high school diploma, HS or GED = high school diploma or GED, PS= postsecondary non-degree award, Prof= Doctoral or Professional degree, ST-OJT=Short-term on the job training, MT-OJT=Medium-tem OJT, Int/Res = Internship or Residency
Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry 2024 Employment Projections .
Montana Department of Labor and Industry

10. Health Professionals and Related Programs Graduates from 2011 to 2013
All Fields of Study
Total Graduates: 9,532
Gender Distribution
45.2% Male
54.8% Female
Mean Age: 28
One Year Post Graduation
Mean Wage $24,267
68% Employed in Montana
2.6 Average Quarters Employed
Health Professionals and Related Programs
Total Graduates: 3,438
Gender Distribution
17.7% Male
82.3% Female
Mean Age: 32
One Year Post Graduation
Mean Wage $35,486
75% Employed in Montana
1.3 Average Quarters Employed
Source: Montana University System Micro Data from the Office of Commissioner of Higher Education. Does not include FVCC or tribal colleges.

11. Health Professions and Related Programs Graduates from 2011 to 2013
PhD and Other
Masters Degree
First Professional Degree
Baccalaureate Degree
Associate Degree
Certificate of Applied Science
Certificate of Technical Studies
Source: Montana University System Micro Data from the Office of Commissioner of Higher Education. Does not include FVCC or tribal colleges.

12. Nursing Occupational Projections
Nursing Occupation Projections,
Occupation
Minimum Requirements Before Entering Profession
Employment Levels
Annual Openings
2014 MT Average Annual Wage
Education
Work Experience
Base Employment 2014
Projected Employment 2024
Openings Due to New Jobs
Openings Due to Workers Leaving
Total Annual Openings
Nurse Practitioners
Master's
None
385
484 10 8 18
$92,797
Registered Nurses
Associate's
9,126
11,118
199
177
376
$61,814
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
PS Award
2,825
3,325 50 69
119
$38,762
Nursing Assistants
5,821
6,888
107
111
218
$24,890
Abbreviations: PS Award=Postsecondary Award; Master's= Masters Degree; Associate's=Associates Degree Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry Employment Projections, 2014 wages from Occupational Employment Statistics
Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry 2024 Employment Projections .

13. Nursing Employment and Wages by AHEC Region
Registered Nurses Employment and Wages by AHEC Region
AHEC Region
Employment
Mean Annual Wage
Entry-Level Wage 1
Western Montana AHEC Region
2,791
$63,501
$51,943 2
South Central Montana AHEC Region
2,333
$60,413
$48,139 3
North Central Montana AHEC Region
1,371
$59,212
$49,860 4
Eastern Montana AHEC Region
2,337
$63,754
$51,860 5
North Eastern Montana AHEC Region
626
$58,181
$47,228
Source: Occupational Employment Statistics May 2015
Source: Occupational Employment Statistics May 2014, Bureau of Labor Statistics and MT Dept. of Labor and Industry

14. Registered Nursing Graduates by School and Degree from 2011 to 2013
Associates Degree
Bachelors Degree
Masters Degree
Source: Montana University System Micro Data from the Office of Commissioner of Higher Education. Does not include FVCC or tribal colleges.

15. Primary Care Physician Projections
Primary Care Physicians Projections,
Occupation
Minimum Requirements Before Entering Profession
Employment Levels
Annual Openings
2014 MT Average Annual Wage
Education
Work Experience
Base Employment 2014
Projected Employment 2024
Openings Due to New Jobs
Openings Due to Workers Leaving
Total Annual Openings
Family and General Practitioners
PhD or Prof
Int/Res
412
439 3 10 13
$191,730
Internists ND
$220,880
Obstetricians and Gynecologists 79 84 1 2
$241,100
Pediatricians
130
141 4
$236,690
Abbreviations: ND= Not Disclosable, Prof= Doctoral or Professional degree, Int/Res = Internship or Residency Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry Employment Projections, 2014 wages from Occupational Employment Statistics
Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry 2024 Employment Projections .

16. Contact Information: Amy Watson, Economist More Information Available: