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Panel Discussion on Trends influencing Boaters, Boats and Boating of the Future CSBC Symposium: Gravenhurst, Ontario (Sept. 25, 2012) 1
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Panel Members Ann MacDiarmid, Founding Member of Safe Quite Lakes, Muskoka Sara Anghel, Executive Director/Vice President Government Relations, National Marine Manufactures Association – Canada Raymond Zee, President, Ontario Chinese Anglers Association Peter Garapick, Superintendent, Marine Communications and Traffic Services, Canadian Coast Guard, Central and Arctic Region 2
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Our Plan for Next 90 minutes Overview presentation on trends – 10 minutes Panel member perspectives – 50 minutes Discussion – 20 minutes Wrap up observations – 10 minutes Opportunities Strategies Research needs 3
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Factors Shaping the Environment What is happening now and what is driving the trends that will influence the future? Boaters Boats Boating environment 4
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Current snapshot: Boaters and boats (Pleasure Craft Operator Card holders and Pleasure Craft Licences – 2012: Source Transport Canada) 5
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Current snapshot: Recreational Boating Fatalities (Source: Transport Canada) 6
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Current snapshot: Fatalities by vessel type 7
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Looking ahead: Canada’s Population Growth 8
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Looking ahead: Demographic Shifts Underlying national population growth, many factors reshaping demographic make-up of Canada Each province and territory, each community has a unique story 9
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N* - Northern Territories 10
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Destination NFPENSNBQCONMNSK AB BCYKNTNU Origin 10.9 3.6 18.5 13.7 27.4 74.4 17.1 24.6 75.3 59.7 1.8 2.3 1.2 NF - 0.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 2.6 0.3 0.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 0.1 9.6 PE 0.1 - 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.5 0.1 0.5 0.0 4.4 NS 1.4 0.6 - 2.5 1.0 6.0 0.4 4.2 1.5 0.0 0.1 18.3 NB 0.5 0.4 2.5 - 1.9 3.9 0.3 0.2 2.3 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.9 QC 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.1 - 17.9 0.8 4.0 3.4 0.0 0.2 30.7 ON 4.3 1.2 6.6 4.1 16.0 - 5.3 4.8 20.6 17.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 81.6 MN 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.6 5.7 - 2.9 4.9 3.9 0.0 0.1 19.3 SK 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 2.9 2.0 - 10.7 3.8 0.1 20.7 AB 2.9 0.5 3.7 2.9 4.1 18.5 4.9 11.8 - 26.9 0.4 0.8 0.1 77.5 BC 0.6 0.3 1.7 0.6 2.7 14.5 2.8 3.1 23.1 - 0.6 0.2 0.1 50.3 YK 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 - 0.1 0.0 1.4 NT 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 - 0.1 2.8 NU 0.1 - 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 - 0.0 0.2 - 0.9 Net gain/loss (1.3)(0.9 ) 0.2 (0.7 ) (3.3 ) 7.2(2.2 ) 3.9(2.2 ) (9.4) 0.3 ( 0.5) 0.4 People on the Move: Interprovincial Migration 2009-2010 Working Age Male (Number in 1000s – Source: Stats Canada) 11
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An Aging Society: Age Pyramids - Canada 12
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But not everywhere: Age Pyramid – Nunavut Territory 13
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A Changing Society 14
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Top Source Countries: 2008-2010 15
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Age Pyramid: Permanent Residents (2010) 16
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Permanent residents: By age and source area (2010) 17
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Provincial perspectives: Growth scenarios for Ontario 18
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Provincial Perspectives: Growth scenarios for British Columbia 19
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Ontario and British Columbia Diversity and Settlement Trends (2006) Within and between provinces, ethno-socio-cultural diversity differs substantially In Vancouver and Toronto visible minorities moving towards 50% of population 20 Diversity indicatorVancouverVictoriaKingstonOshawaTorontoHamilton Population 2,098 325 148.5 328.1 5,072.1 683.5 Visible Minorities 875 34 8.6 33.7 2,174.1 84.3 % of population42%10%6%10%43%12% Asian 799 28 5.9 15.3 1,565.4 50.9 % of minorities91%83%69%45%72%60%
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Back to the National Picture Economic Realities Disposable income Housing prices Savings rates Unemployment Consumer confidence Fuel prices Adult children living at home 21
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Changes in Leisure Activities (US perspectives) 22
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Mandatory education: More knowledgeable boaters on the water 23
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Mandatory education: Indicators of compliance 24
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Boating Segments in the US: Our Canadian Equivalents? 25
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What’s happening with boat trends? Range of dimensions: Who is buying what? Buying up/buying down? New boat sales vs. used boat sales? Boats on the move: On a trailer At the cottage On the roof of the car Rental market 26
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What’s happening on the water and in the water? Weather - climate change Water levels – up and down Environmental changes and shock impacts (algae, invasive species) How are people communicating? Traffic trends 27
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Themes New economic realities Population growth Aging population Immigration 28
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Themes People on the move: interprovincial migrations Growth of urban centres Outdoor recreation and leisure trends Diversity of boats Changes in communications and technology 29
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And now to: Panel member perspectives Concluding views from panelists and Symposium participants on: Opportunities Strategies Research needs 30
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