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Brigitte Dias Ferreira AACCLA's 47th Annual Meeting and "Forecast on Latin America and the Caribbean" Conference September 29, 2014 Washington, DC Food Security in Latin America
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Population & Income Growth Urbanization & Ecosystem Impacts Natural Resource Constraints Increasing Food Demand Agriculture is at the Intersection of Global Challenges – LAC with Critical Role AGRICULTURE 21 st Century Challenge: Produce enough food, feed, fiber and fuel from the same or fewer resources
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9.6B 2014 2050 2.4B 7.2B 6.1B 2000 Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Economic Outlook; UN, January 2014 40% 49% 4% 7% -1% Agriculture is at the Intersection of Global Challenges By 2050, 80% of the world’s population will live in cities UN predicts By 2050, the world’s population will grow by 2.4 billion people +2.4B +80% Water Land Labor Climate Change Resource Constraints :
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Major Grain Exporter Market Shares Shifting 4 Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, Official USDA Estimates, August 2014
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Soy Market Shares Also Shifting 5 Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, Official USDA Estimates, August 2014
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Brazil Gains Preeminence as Global Agriculture Exporter (circa 2000) Captures much of global soy trade growth Rapidly expands grain, meat, poultry export sales 3 rd largest agricultural exporter (value) after US and EU #1 exporter: coffee, soy, beef, sugar, ethanol and frozen chickens 6 Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, Official USDA Estimates, August 2014
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Productivity Growth Must Accelerate to Meet Global Food Challenge 7 Source: Global Harvest Initiative, GAP Report 2010 Global Agricultural Productivity Index™
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Measures to Increase Food Security in LAC 8 Partnership between LAC governments and private sector (create an attractive environment for FDIs) Invest in the future (R&D, innovation, smart- agriculture, right equipment) Reduce trade barriers, minimize government intervention in markets
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