1. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 1 > Vortrag > Autor Potentials for Renewables in Europe Wolfram Krewitt DLR Institute of Technical Thermodynamics Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment Stuttgart eufores 7 th Inter-Parliamentary Meeting Berlin 5-6, 2007

2. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 2 > Vortrag > Autor Solar resources in Europe Global horizontal irradiation, 1. October 2005, 12:00-13:00 W/m²

3. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 3 > Vortrag > Autor PV electricity generation potential MWh/km² 1. October 2005, 12:00-13:00 actual demand: 345 GWh potential generation: 164 GWh

4. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 4 > Vortrag > Autor Renewable energy technical potentials in Europe EJ/y 0 50 100 150 200 250 Geothermal heat Solar heating Biomass energy crops Biomass residues Geothermal (el) Ocean (el) Wind (el) Hydro (el) Solar PV (el) Solar CSP (el) RES potentials gross primary energy consumption EU-25 in 2005 Source: Ecofys, DLR

5. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 5 > Vortrag > Autor Renewable energy deployment potentials target oriented RES expansion 2°C target (climate protection) security of supply economic constraints - cost reduction of RES-technologies by running through the learning curve - increase in fossil fuel prices and CO 2 -costs most RES-technologies gain competitiveness within the next 15 years structural constraints - current supply structure, power plant stock turnover, building up of new industrial production capacity opportunities

6. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 6 > Vortrag > Autor RES deployment potentials in the electricity sector Energy [R]evolution Scenario, OECD Europe 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 2003 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Efficiency Import RES Ocean Energy Solar Thermal PV Geothermal Wind Hydro Biomass CHP fossil Gas&oil Coal Nuclear TWh/a 80% RES electricity

7. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 7 > Vortrag > Autor RES deployment potentials – primary energy PJ/a 45% energy savings compared to business-as- usual 50% renewables Energy [R]evolution Scenario, OECD Europe

8. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 8 > Vortrag > Autor Costs of electricity supply 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2°C Scenario - efficiency measures 2°C Scenario - electricity generation Reference - electricity generation Billion /a 200320102020203020402050 wisdom of market?

9. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 9 > Vortrag > Autor Costs of electricity supply 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2°C Scenario - efficiency measures 2°C Scenario - electricity generation Reference - electricity generation Billion /a 200320102020203020402050 policy incentives & wisdom of market!

10. Dokumentname > 23.11.2004 Folie 10 > Vortrag > Autor Renewable energy perspectives renewable energy potentials in Europe significantly exceed the energy demand rapid RES deployment ensures compliance with climate protection targets renewable energies hedge against increasing energy prices investment in renewable energy technologies offers options for industrial development and employment societal and structural innovation is required to facilitate the transformation process feed-in-tariffs proved to be the most successful support instrument