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Economic Dynamicism in KZN – The Year 2015 Clive Coetzee.

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Presentation on theme: "Economic Dynamicism in KZN – The Year 2015 Clive Coetzee."— Presentation transcript:

1 Economic Dynamicism in KZN – The Year 2015 Clive Coetzee

2 Many Different Views on the Growth Outlook for 2015 Economic declines in Euro zone, Japan and some major emerging economies (Brazil and Russia) vs the benefit of lower oil prices

3 World Bank lowered its global growth forecast for 2015 and 2016 Global economy would grow 3 percent this year, below a forecast of 3.4 percent. World GDP growth will reach 3.3 percent in 2016, as opposed to a June forecast of 3.5 percent, before dipping to 3.2 percent in 2017

4 Global growth in 2015–16 is projected at 3.5 and 3.7 percent, downward revisions of 0.3 percent relative to the October 2014 World Economic Outlook (WEO). The revisions reflect a reassessment of prospects in China, Russia, the euro area, and Japan as well as weaker activity in some major oil exporters because of the sharp drop in oil prices. The United States is the only major economy for which growth projections have been raised.

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7 KZN Economic Performance

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10 PMB Economic Performance

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12 KZN Outlook (Population, e = estimate) (PMB = 640k)

13 KZN Outlook (GDP, e = estimate) (PMB = 2%)

14 KZN Outlook (Employment, e = estimate) (PMB = 148k, Um = 28%)

15 KZN Outlook (Per Capita Income, e = estimate) (PMB = R45K)

16 KZN Outlook (Inflation, e = estimate) (PMB = 5.1%)

17 KZN Risk (Economic Conditions improving for 2015)

18 KZN Outlook (City GDP %)

19 Partnership Model

20 Strategic Alliance is a membership driven formal relationship between two or more organizations to pursue a set of agreed upon goals or to meet a critical development needs”. It’s a form of cooperation which aims for a synergy where each partner hopes that the benefits from the SA will be greater than those from individual efforts. But importantly each party remains independent from the other. They usually consist of organizations as opposed to individuals

21 Partnership Model

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24 Urbanization PopulationUrbanRuralUrban RatioRural Ratio 1996 Census3 949 3874 467 63446.9253.08 2001 Census4 483 2955 100 83446.7853.22 2007 Community Survey4 968 8875 290 34348.4351.57 2011 Census5 014 7275 252 57648.8451.16 1996 to 2001 % change13.5214.17 2001 to 2007 % change10.833.72 2001 to 2011 % change11.852.97 Global Insight 19964 054 3514 865 55445.4554.55 Global Insight 20014 471 9205 057 53046.9353.07 Global Insight 20074 791 2005 173 08348.0851.92 Global Insight 20104 932 9985 251 51148.4451.56 Global Insight 2012 5 041 5935 305 667 48.7251.28 1996 to 2001 % change11.195.4 2001 to 2007 % change7.823.43 2007 to 2010 % change3.212.08 2001 to 2012 % change12.744.91

25 Urbanization

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27 Total Space Expansion Urban Space Expansion, m² Rural Space Expansion, m² Total Provincial Space Expansion, m² Urban (As a % of Total Space) Rural (As a % of Total Space) Dwellings less than 80m²1 156 6772 478 2583 634 93531.8268.18 Dwellings equal and more than 80m² 2 666 2891 342 4594 008 74866.5133.49 Flats770 782357 7971 128 57968.3031.70 Townhouses1 723 337581 0162 304 35374.7925.21 Other residential buildings293 19992 524385 72376.0123.99 Schools, nursery schools, crèches, hospitals 93 39439 700133 09470.1729.83 Churches, Sport and Recreation 176 52628 065204 59186.2813.72 Office & Banking Space900 68998 429999 11890.159.85 Shopping Space2 244 989490 4512 735 44082.0717.93 Industrial & Warehouse Space 1 833 300452 4992 285 79980.2019.80

28 VITAL STATISTICS

29 Future Megapolis

30 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

31 Thank You Clive Coetzee


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