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Technology and the Future of Work The State of the Debate June 4 th, 2015.

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Presentation on theme: "Technology and the Future of Work The State of the Debate June 4 th, 2015."— Presentation transcript:

1 Technology and the Future of Work The State of the Debate June 4 th, 2015

2 What are we trying to explain? Change in wages (1963-2008)

3 Job Polarization 1980-2005 Employment growth by occupational mean wage Wage growth by occupational mean wage Source: David Autor and David Dorn, “The Growth of Low Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the US Labor Market,” Dec 2012.

4 Job loss and Growth (2008-2012)

5 Institutionalists Source: Larry Mishel, Heidi Shierholz, and John Schmitt, “Don’t Blame the Robots”, Nov 2013.

6 How tech is reorganizing work

7 Forecasting the future of work Four lines of debate 1. Technology optimists vs. pessimists 2. Specific tasks matter 3. Maintain focus on policy and politics 4. New forms of work and the rise of the second economy

8 Debate #1: How real are these robots, anyway?

9 Debate #2: What jobs will disappear? Source: Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne. “The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation?” Sept 2013.

10 Debate #3: Tech talk is a distraction Source: Kris Warner, “Protecting Fundamental Labor Rights: Lessons from Canada for the United States.” Aug 2012.

11 Debate #3: Tech talk is a distraction RTW-Social-Share-Iceberg.jpg

12 Debate #4: Is everything changing? RTW-Social-Share-Iceberg.jpg Source: Denise Cheng, “Barriers to Growth in the Sharing Economy.” Jan 2015.

13 Debate #4: Is everything changing? RTW-Social-Share-Iceberg.jpg Source: Lori Lobenstine and Kenneth Bailey, “Redlining the Adjacent Possible: Youth and Communities of Color Face the (not) New Future of (not) Work.” Jan 2015.

14 Debate #4: Is everything changing? RTW-Social-Share-Iceberg.jpg Source: Lori Lobenstine and Kenneth Bailey, “Redlining the Adjacent Possible: Youth and Communities of Color Face the (not) New Future of (not) Work.” Jan 2015.

15 Policy solutions depend on how you frame the problem Education – Early childhood, K-12, life long learning Institutional change – Improve labor power, regulate financial system, promote public investment, change tax structure A new social contract for a new economy – Universal basic income, revamp NLRA, expanded social supports, increased public investment in technology

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