1. Recap... Project EASY nowfuture -2-3 ONS Borough Ward LSOA EASY ONS EASY GLA ONS 2001 Census GLA Locally accessed data sets Up-to-the-moment estimates Small geographical areas (LSOA) Can be carried out locally by analysts Good quality data

2. Dwelling stock by Council Tax bands Project EASY Valuation Office Agency Assumptions: everyone living in an LSOA lives in a property; all properties are registered for Council Tax. Therefore, for a given stock of dwellings, determine the population that inhabit them. Build and check model for 2001 (census and MYE) and then move forward.

3. Modelling total Council Tax properties (2001 census) Project EASY

4. Modelling dwelling type and population from 2001 census Project EASY

5. Council Tax bands and household size Project EASY

6. Key variables Project EASY LSOALA_NAMELAWARDXYHect E01000006Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFX54499418436314.653 E01000007Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFX54417918445520.009 E01000008Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFX54365418440119.506 E01000009Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFX54458718443712.796 E01000010Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFX54424418401835.207 E01000011Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFX5444271847349.164 E01000012Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFX54390718471413.905 E01000013Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFY54895618494320.783 E01000014Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFY54851018492234.123 E01000015Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFY54958618510228.063 E01000016Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFY54911718549619.878 E01000017Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFY54892518547915.837 E01000018Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFY54937218525917.399 E01000019Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFZ54710218647818.387 E01000020Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFZ54740018624018.724 E01000021Barking and Dagenham00AB00ABFZ54683018603416.936 Count of properties by Council Tax bands Multiple Home Occupancy Child Benefit Schools Census (PLASC)

7. Occupied Households Child Benefit Records Dwelling Counts by Council Tax Band Households without Dependent Children Families with Dependent Children Population in Households without Dependent Children Population in Families with Dependent Children Total Estimated Population Houses with Multiple Occupancy School Census Structure of the model Project EASY Separate model for each Borough

8. Stepwise multiple regression (CT & MHO) Project EASY LA_NAME = Barking and Dagenham

9. Variables by Borough Project EASY So, what are the results....... Once built, the relationships are assumed to broadly remain between censuses and by plugging in the variables for each subsequent year, the population can be estimated at LSOA....even up-to-the-moment.