1. Early messages from the evidence base research Brendan Nevin NLA 19 February 2010 NLA

2. CONTEXT

3. Reduction in starts

4. Sales turnover

5. HOUSING DEMAND

6. Household growth

7. Population ageing

8. Local migration patterns

9. Spatial pattern of growth

11. Spatial pattern of ageing

12. HOUSING SUPPLY

13. Tenure

14. % of dwellings in Council Tax Band A by region, 2007 Source: ONS Neighbourhood Statistics, Dwelling Stock by Council Tax Band, 2007

15. Non-decency rate by tenure, YH Source: English House Condition Survey, 2006

16. MARKET OUTCOMES

17. Indexed real prices, GDP and average GDP per household Sources: HM Land Registry, ONS, CLG

18. Average dwelling price mid 2009 Source: HM Land Registry, CLG.

19. Modelled average household income by MSOA, YH 2007-08 Source: ONS Modelled income estimates at http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/

20. Vacancy rates by LSOA 2007/2008 Source: ONS, neighbourhood statistics at http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/. Note: some data is missing.http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/ Map shows vacancy rate in 2008, except where data is missing. In these areas, 2007 data has been substituted where available.

21. Vacancy rates by tenure Source: CLG Regional estimates from HSSA returns 2008

22. Vacancy rates by local authority, 2008 Source: CLG Regional estimates from HSSA returns 2008

23. Affordability

24. KEY ISSUES ARISING

25. Key Issues Arising Tenure change and the growth of private renting; Re-thinking affordability; The implications of ageing population; Links between housing and employment – Worklessness – Demographic and housing growth

26. Key Issues Arising Stock condition and choice; Facilitating supply; and Managing the existing stock