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HiGEM CTRL TC variability 150 years => 5x30. Min, Max, and Avg at each point.

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Presentation on theme: "HiGEM CTRL TC variability 150 years => 5x30. Min, Max, and Avg at each point."— Presentation transcript:

1 HiGEM CTRL TC variability 150 years => 5x30. Min, Max, and Avg at each point

2 HiGEM CTRL TC frequency CPAC 5x30 years ctrl 4.3 (1-4.4) 3 (0-4.2) TC/yrNHATLWPACEPACNIND att 5x30 years ctrl 67.3 (63.9- 71) 49.8 (47.1- 51.3) 4 (5.1- 2) 3 (1- 4.1) 32.6 (28.9- 41) 28.6 (26.4- 34) 19.4 (17.3- 22) 10.4 (9.5- 10.6) 4.6 (3- 5.6) 3.1 (2.3- 3.7) Obs (83-07) 6312.328.316.65.8 9.0 10.8 11.4 12.1 14.8 Atl Additional obs are 1851-2010, 1944-2010, 1966-2010, 1981-2010, 1995-2010 From Blake (2010)

3 Change in track densities with increased CO 2

4

5 Change in frequency TC/yrNHATLWPACEPACNIND % change For ctrl att 30yr 2xCO2 -5.6-0.7-24.8-22-8.7-6.6-3.27.714.638.6 30yr 4xCO2 -22.2-13.6-47.5-41.7-22.0-19.25-40.73-25.39-2.7615.92 CPAC -1.67-8.57 38.4640.79

6 Change in intensity (850hPa wspeed)

7 Regional change of 850hPa wspeed

8

9 Change in duration

10 Regional Change in duration

11

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