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The World Income Distribution of Income: Falling Poverty and…Convergence, Period Sala-i-Martin (2006)
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Convergence literature Beta divergence: poor countries grow slower than rich countries Sigma divergence: dispersion of income per capita across countries grew over time
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Changing unit of observation Idea: change unit of observation from country to individuals Results: beta and sigma convergence
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Weighing by population Few Asian countries that converged to OECD are large Many diverging countries (Africa) are small Total population of Africa =1/2 population of China or India
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Population Weights: Limits Assumes all individuals within a country have the same income Ex: income per capita in a country just above poverty line…no poors? Conclusion: use within country information…problematic (data)
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Methodology Center mean at GDP/capita (National Statistics) Combine it with quintile income shares for every country and year 5B: trend of neighbors 329M: share of neighbors 5B: linear trend Excluded Then smooth the densities with a kernel
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Growth Increased inequality Falling poverty Growth Population growth Falling poverty
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No poors Growth Reduction in inequality Falling poverty
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Sharp increase in inequality Little reduction on poverty Lost decade: 1980-1990 (left shift), increase in poverty Different scale: 10-100 000 Zero or negative growth Explosion in inequality Average worse off, richest better off Increase in poverty
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Growth until 1990 Increased inequality in 1990 Negative growth and increased inequality 1990-2000: small increase in poverty (rich enough in 1990)
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World Income Distribution Shift to the right (higher gdp/capita) No clear evolution of inequality China: growth + increase in inequality In 2000: top 1/5 th of chinese distribution around 10 000 (Mexico, Poland, Russia) Niger fills gap (China, India, Indonesia)
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Gdp/capita for majority of world increases Fall in poverty
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Poverty rates: falling Monetary amount or caloric intake Consumption or income Position Baseline year
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Africa: 14.5% of world poor in 1970, 74.5% today
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Inequality Sound logic (population weights)?
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Equality: convergence
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Decomposition: Across and Within 1970: 71% across, 29% within Within increasing over time Across decreasing over time 2000: 61% across, 39% within Decline in across larger than increase in within: fall in income inequality
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