1. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion

2. The Future of the Internet ARMA Calgary February 10, 2010 2

3. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Yogi Schulz Biography  Partner in Corvelle Consulting  Information technology related management consulting  Microsoft Canada columnist & CBC Radio host  PPDM Association board member  Industry presenter: – Project World - 5 years – CIPS Informatics - 7 years – PMI - Information Systems SIG - 2 years – Convergence - 4 years – PPDM Association - several years 3

4. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of the Internet at various points in the past  Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war  System to conduct business  Cheap, fast, shared communication system for everyone  A whole new media channel  System to improve social life  Basis for warfare Estonia urged NATO to develop a unified strategy against "cyber-terrorists" today after suspected Russian hackers launched a third wave of attacks on leading government, banking and media websites this week. 19 May 2007 4

5. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Cyber War: Sabotaging the System Brazilian disruption of electrical power networks initiated by hackers China Expands Cyberspying in U.S. The New E-spionage Threat 5

6. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Close to Home “Great news, Mrs. Janoski! We put a video of your tummy-tuck surgery on YouTube, And it’s currently ranked second!” 6

7. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Evolution from Web 1.0 to Web 2.0 Internet Mostly text content End-user generated content Web 1.0 Web 2.0 End-user input Multi-media content 7

8. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Increasing Online Sales 8

9. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Over 72 million active sites 9 World Wide Web map Number of Web Sites on the Web

10. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of the Internet Outline  Social computing will expand to business  Internet access will be ubiquitous  The Web will become faster  The Web will become smarter  Security will improve  IT products will morph into services  Recommendations  Questions & Answers 10

11. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Social Computing Survey  created a personal profile on Facebook, MySpace, Second Life?  played FarmVille?  written personal blog entries?  written a review at Amazon?  posted pictures at Flickr?  posted video at YouTube?  produced content for the Web? 11

12. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Daily Weblog Postings 1.4 million posts per day Daily Weblog Postings 12

13. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion New Hobbies on the Internet How did anyone survive before the Internet? Isn’t it truly amazing how a day after Matthew takes off his shirt, we can all enjoy it? 13

14. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The future of Social Networks  Companies: – operate FaceBook groups & YouTube channels – offer chat to customers – host discussion forums  Individuals: – stay in touch with family & friends – promote causes – participate in political action 14

15. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Internet Access Survey  abandoned phones for VOIP?  used wireless access at Starbucks?  found Internet access in remote corners of the world?  mooched Internet access from an open WiFi access point?  surfed the Web using a phone? 15

16. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Internet Everywhere 16

17. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion T-Mobile HotSpot @Home  + $ 20.00 per month  In a Wi-Fi wireless Internet hot spot, all your calls are free  Phone hands off your calls from Wi-Fi network to cell network seamlessly and automatically  Includes a wireless router for your home 17 Novatel MiFi

18. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion PCs vs. Cell Phones Projected Shipments Over 700 million phones 18

19. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Internet-Capable Cell Phones 19

20. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion 20 Chinese Information Highway

21. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Revenge of the PCs? 21 Netbook

22. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of Internet Access  Internet 2  Cable/ADSL  Rural Internet  Satellite services  Municipal WiFi  Device convergence 22

23. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Faster Web Survey  waited and waited for web pages to load?  noticed significant variability when loading the same web page?  rented movies because the download time takes hours?  abandoned an online purchase because the hour glass stayed on forever? 23

24. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Internet speed by country 24

25. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of Internet Speed  Internet 2  Faster web browsers  Higher speed Cable/ADSL  Higher speed cell phone network  Higher speed in-home network 25

26. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Smarter Web Survey  not found what you were searching for?  failed to re-find a page you’ve seen before?  become tired of typing the same personal information over and over and over?  received unexpected/embarrassing pages in the results set?  found exactly what you were looking for; only it’s in Chicago? 26

27. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion  Mobile agents  RosettaNet  ebXML  UDDI  WS- Web Services will connect organizations } WS-Trust WS-Security Web Services Interoperability WS-MetadataExchange WS-Addressing WS-Eventing WS-ServiceGroup WS-BaseFaults 27

28. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Web characteristicTodayFuture Search evaluationString matching Contextual understanding Content importancePageRankEnd-user tagging Automated ranking Personal profilesLimited, Sporadic Richer More consistent Spatial awarenessLimitedIntegrated GPS Multi-application integration Non- existent Noticeable through XML The Future Semantic Web

29. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Security Survey  actually produced a disaster recovery plan after deferring the work for many years?  been hesitant about creating a profile?  a paper shredder in use at home?  their social security number with them?  their password written on a sticky note?  a firewall, anti-virus and anti-spyware installed at home? 29

30. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of Security  Biometric identification:  Technical identification:  Less total freedom to be irresponsible: 30

31. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Software & Hardware Survey  implemented virtualization technology  contracted for on-demand server computing?  used open source software?  installed OpenOffice?  developed software through crowdsourcing? 31

32. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion IT products will morph into services Software as a Service  Open source software  Pay for software usage by the month  Web-accessible office software  IT infrastructure management 32 Qbyte online Java Enterprise System

33. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion IT products will morph into services Hardware as a Service  Commodity computing  Service oriented architecture  Cluster  Grid 33

34. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion What will the future of the Internet mean to business?  Enhance distributed collaboration  Enhance supply chain performance  Improve work/life balance  Improve integration of field and head office business processes  Address the potential of knowledge management 34

35. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Conclusions  The future of the Internet will surprise us  We tend to under- estimate the pace of progress in technology  We tend to over-estimate the pace at which people are prepared to adopt technology 35

36. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Keeping Up Don’t languish behind, The Internet offers many possibilities! 36

37. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Recommendations  Monitor Internet technology developments  Experiment using emerging Web services  Match technology to business problems and opportunities  Pilot Web services in modest ways  Don’t over-commit 37

38. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Questions & Answers Elroy will explain it to you 38

39. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Future of the Internet Corvelle Consulting 700, 205 - 5 Ave. S. W. Calgary, Alberta T2P 2V7 Phone: (403) 249-5255 E-mail: YogiSchulz@corvelle.com Web: www.corvelle.com Yogi Schulz Partner of Corvelle Consulting Information technology related management consulting Microsoft Canada columnist & CBC Radio host Industry presenter PPDM Association board member 39

40. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Man – Computer Integration 40

41. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion  searched for Open Source software components?  contemplated installing the Compiere Open Source ERP software application?  read about the Open Source Website Content Management System?  participated in an Open Source community?  considered an open source application? Software Development Survey 41

42. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Software development will rely heavily on module re-use  Microsoft modules  Java modules  Applications built on tools  Reducing what developers have to code 42

43. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Supplemental Slides 43

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46. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Top 10 Sites 46

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49. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Mobile Web-surfing Growth 49

50. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Websites visited after Twitter 50

51. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion 51 Top-10 Malware Sites

52. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Internet speed by country 52

53. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Number of Weblogs Over 70 million blogs Number of Weblogs 53

54. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion USA Holiday Online Spending 54

55. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Web Search Activity Share 55 Search EntityShare of Searches (%) October 2009 Novembe r 2009 Point Change Google Sites65.4%65.6%0.2 Yahoo! Sites18.0%17.5%-0.5 Microsoft Sites9.9%10.3%0.4 Ask Network3.9%3.8%-0.1 AOL Network2.9%2.8%-0.1 Total Search100.0% N/A

56. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Future of electronic books 56 Amazon Kindle Sony ereader Barnes & Noble Nook MSI Dual screen slate Apple iPAD

57. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Bibliography - 1  A Brief History of the World Wide Web – www.walthowe.com/navnet/history.html  A Little History of the World Wide Web – www.w3.org/History.html  Biometric Identification – et.wcu.edu/aidc/BioWebPages/Biometrics_Eye.html  Classmate PC by Intel – www.classmatepc.com/index.html  Creative Licensing – Erik Heinrich, EDGE, September 2004, p. 14  Digital dilemmas – The Economist, Jan 23 rd, 2003 – www.economist.com/opinion/displayStory.cfm?Story_id=1534303  Eight business technology trends to watch – http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/High_Tech/Strategy_Analysis/Eight_business_technology_trends_to_wat ch_2080?gp=1 http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/High_Tech/Strategy_Analysis/Eight_business_technology_trends_to_wat ch_2080?gp=1  Electrolux Screenfridge – www.electrolux.com/screenfridge 57

58. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Bibliography - 2  Future of the Internet and Web – www.cs.purdue.edu/homes/bxd/inter/futureineweb.html  Hardware, On Demand Help Drive IBM's Profit – Erin Joyce, January 15, 2004 – www.internetnews.com/bus-news/article.php/3299631  Histories of the Internet – www.isoc.org/internet/history – en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_history – www.let.leidenuniv.nl/history/ivh/frame_theorie.html  Hobbes' Internet Timeline v7.0 – www.zakon.org/robert/internet/timeline  How the internet has woven itself into American life – www.pewinternet.org/PPF/r/148/report_display.asp  How big brother and big media can put the Internet genie back in the bottle – John Walker, Revision 4 -- November 4th, 2003 – www.fourmilab.ch/documents/digital-imprimatur 58

59. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Bibliography - 3  IBM - Capacity on demand – www-1.ibm.com/servers/eserver/iseries/ondemand/cod/  IBM Makes Social Computing Push For Business – Internet News, January 23, 2007 – www.internetnews.com/ent-news/article.php/3655391 – www-142.ibm.com/software/sw-lotus/products/product3.nsf/wdocs/connections  Inside Reality - Improve collaborative decision making – www.slb.com/content/services/software/virtual  Internet histories – www.isoc.org/internet/history  Internet Society – www.isoc.org  Internet2 – www.internet2.edu  IPhone-Free Cellphone News – By David Pogue, New York Times. July 5, 2007 – www.nytimes.com/2007/07/05/technology/circuits/05pogue.html?ex=1186459200&en=45706190e 9cee2fb&ei=5070 59

60. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Bibliography - 4  Mobile Agents and the Future of the Internet – www.cs.dartmouth.edu/~dfk/papers/kotz:future2/  NASA Research and Education Network (NREN) – www.nren.nasa.gov/about/index.html  On-Demand Computing – www.computerworld.com/hardwaretopics/hardware/report/0,11188,06282004,00.html  One Laptop per Child (OLPC) – laptop.org  Pattie Maes and Pranav Mistry demo SixthSense – http://www.ted.com/talks/pattie_maes_demos_the_sixth_sense.html http://www.ted.com/talks/pattie_maes_demos_the_sixth_sense.html  Rich Internet application – en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rich_Internet_application – www.adobe.com/devnet/ria/ – theopensourcery.com/xmlria.htm  Software as a Service: Choosing an Effective Model – www.accelacomm.com/jlp/BellSaas-txtEm2/22/10002557/ 60

61. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Bibliography - 5  Taming the World Wide Web – A rising tide of companies are tapping Semantic Web technologies to unearth hard-to-find connections between disparate pieces of online data – by Rachael King – www.businessweek.com/technology/content/apr2007/tc20070409_248062.htm?chan=search 61

62. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Bibliography - 6  Utility Computing – www.utilitycomputing.com  Unveiling the genius of multi-touch interface design – Jeff Han – www.ted.com/index.php/talks/view/id/65  Voice over IP 101 - Juniper Networks – whitepapers.informationweek.com/detail/RES/1099072997_513.html?src=mu_p_j2e  W3C - One Web: Going Mobile – Steve Bratt, W3C - One Web: Going Mobile – www.w3.org/2006/Talks/1106-sb-OneWeb-Mobile2/#(1)  Web 2.0 Directory : eConsultant Web 2.0 Directory : eConsultant  World Wide Web Consortium World Wide Web Consortium 62

63. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 1  Secure communication system for US political and military leaders during nuclear war  Fast communication system for US Department of Defense and its military contractors  Global system of hypertext linkages to cross- reference academic documents across computers  Fast, shared communication system for large corporations  A way to apply computing without sending vast sums of money to Microsoft 63

64. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 2  Replacement for Fedexing documents  A whole new media channel for: – Distributing information – Delivering entertainment & education – Collaborating for business or pleasure  System to: – Perform rapid research (with limitations) – Conduct business with consumers – B2C – Improve social life  Get rich quick scheme based on dubious products & services 64

65. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 3  A software distribution/update mechanism  Cheap, fast, shared communication system for everyone  System to conduct business: – Among businesses – B2B – With government  A turbo-charged way to: – Defraud the innocent & the naive – Aggravate & disrupt the lives of many – Operate a global casino without spending billions 65

66. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion The Future of the Internet at various points in the past - 4  Basis for warfare: – Disrupt enemy communication – Disable enemy weapons – Freeze enemy financial assets – Avoid casualties on the evening news  Replacement for: – The telephone system – Video conferencing  A shared infrastructure to enable: – Media convergence – Wireless communication system – On-demand television 66

67. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet 67

68. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 1  1957 U. S. government forms Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) as a defense initiative  1968 ARPANET, the precursor of the Internet, is launched to connect Department of Defense (DoD) with military contractors  1970s ARPA and Stanford develop packet switching - TCP/IP  1971 Ray Tomlinson of ARPANET sent the world's first e-mail  1972 Scientist start to use ARPANET for E-mail  1973 The term Internet is first used  1981 ARPANET grows to 213 hosts  1982 first Newsgroups established  1983 TCP/IP becomes the standard protocol  1984 The term cyberspace is coined by author William Gibson  1984 ARPANET grows to 1,000 hosts 68

69. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 2  1985 NSFNet begins; takes over Internet  1985, 15 March – first registered domain name was symbolics.com  1989 Tim Berners-Lee wrote the first web client and server  1990 Tim Berners-Lee’s specifications of URIs, HTTP and HTML refined as Web technology spread  1990 The phrase World Wide Web is coined by Tim Berners-Lee. He is considered the inventor of the Web  1990 NSF lifts ban on commercial hosts on Internet  1990 Archie, first search engine, developed at McGill University  1991 PSI Net begins as first commercial ISP  1991 Gopher system - improvement on ftp retrieval developed  1992 Network Solutions wins bid to register domain extensions  1992 Internet reaches 1,000,000 hosts  1993 MOSAIC browser developed at University of Illinois under federal grant 69

70. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 3  1993 Internet reaches 2,000,000 hosts  1993 Netscape Communications is founded  1994 The first bank opens online  1994 Pizza Hut offers online pizza order and delivery  1994 first International World Wide Web Conferences held  1994 Yahoo starts as "Jerry's Guide to the World Wide Web"  1994, 7 July – Fraunhofer Society released the first MP3 software  1995 Internet access providers Compuserve, Aol and Prodigy began  1995 PC-to-PC Voice over IP began by hobbyists in Israel  1995, 3 September – eBay launched  1995, 15 December – AltaVista launched as an Internet search engine  1995 Amazon.com launched  1996 Microsoft feels threatened by Internet growth in importance; re- prioritizes software development 70

71. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 4  1996 Yahoo Internet search engine is launched  1997 The one millionth domain name is registered  1997 Net2Phone Direct (Phone-to-Phone Over IP) launched in the USA  1998 More than 300 million web pages exist; growing by 1.5 million pages per day  1998 VOIP first PC-to-Phone and later Phone-to-Phone connections  1998, 7 September – Google Inc.opens for business  1999 B2C E-commerce, portals and electronic auctions become popular  1999 Consumer high-speed access widely adopted  1999 MySpace.com is launched  1999 wireless technology called 802.11b or Wi-Fi is standardized  2000 B2B E-commerce gains momentum  2000 AOL Time Warner merger announced 71

72. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 5  2001 B2B Marketplaces experiment with mixed success  2001 Internet startup frenzy implodes  2001 eBay reaches $10 billion sales; exceeds 35 million users  2001 W3C Publishes Web Services Description Language (WSDL)  2001 Napster litigation forces it to suspend service  2001 The first live distributed musical  2001 SETI@Home launches  2001 European Council finalizes an international cyber-crime treaty  2001 Code Red worm and Sircam virus infiltrate thousands of web servers and email accounts  2002 Having your own Blog becomes hip  2002 A distributed denial of service (DDoS) attack struck the 13 DNS root servers 72

73. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 6  2003 Spam, unsolicited email, becomes a server-clogging menace. It accounts for about half of all emails  2003 The first official Swiss online election takes place in Anières  2003 SQL Slammer worm causes one of the largest and fastest spreading DDoS attacks  2003 Flash mobs, organized over the Net, start in New York and quickly form in cities worldwide  2003 first Weblog site launched  2003 Second Life launched  2003 May LinkedIn launched  2003 Taxes make headlines as larger US Internet retailers begin collecting taxes on all purchases  2003 The Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) sues 261 individuals for distributing copyright music files  2003 Internet users illegally download about 2.6 billion music files each month 73

74. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 7  2003 Apple Computer introduces Apple iTunes Music Store  2003 Last Abilene Internet segment upgraded to 10Gbps  2004 WS-Security  2004 February - Facebook was founded by Mark Zuckerberg  2004 Google IPO  2004 more instances of DNS root servers outside the USA  2004 VeriSign (VNDS) begins updating authoritative name servers in near real-time  2004 CERNET2 – first backbone IPv6 network in China  2004 Internet Worm, called MyDoom or Novarg, spreads through Internet servers  2004 Online spending reaches a record high - $117 billion, a 26% increase over 2003  2004, 9 November – Firefox Internet browser released 74

75. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 8  2005 One Laptop Per Child project begins  2005 YouTube.com is launched  2005 News Corporation's Fox Interactive Media buys MySpace  2006 Estimated 92 – 100 million Web sites online  2006 July Twitter launched publicly  2006, 14 November Microsoft launches Zune  2006 Google acquires YouTube for $1.65 billion in a stock-for-stock transaction 75

76. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion A Brief History of the Internet - 9  2007 February Apple surpasses one billion iTunes downloads  2007 March 1.1 billion people use the Internet according to Internet World Stats  April 2007 Search engine giant Google surpasses Microsoft as "the most valuable global brand," and also is the most visited Web site  2007 – Amazon.com sales exceed $ 3 Billion  2008 - Hulu launches; an online video site for copyrighted work by major networks,  December 2009 Ciplex Builds World's First Multi-Touch Website Using Silverlight Internet Archive: http://www.archive.org 76

77. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Social Computing in Business IBM's new social computing platform, Lotus Connections, includes five basic components:  Profiles - Find the people you need  Communities - Work with people who share common interests and expertise  Blogs - Present your own ideas and learn from others  Dogear - Save and share bookmarks  Activities - Organize your work and tap your professional network 77

78. Corvelle Drives Concepts to Completion Mobile Subscriptions by Region 78