1. Does American Foreign Policy Resemble the Game of Risk? Bertjan Verbeek American Foreign Policy 25 May 2011

3. Today’s program Program 1.Play Risk 2.Does Risk resemble the foreign policy of states, esp the United States 3.How does Risk resemble the ‘world views’ presented to you by professor Bonham last Monday

4. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 1. What are the motivations in the game? What are the objectives? -Power? -World domination? -Preventing the other from securing objectives? -Survival? 1.Debate on motives of American foreign policy: Hamiltonian? Jeffersonian? Jacksonian? Wilsonian? Risk is definitely not Wilsonian or Jeffersonian; clearly it is Hamiltonian, and a bit Jacksonian

5. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? Views are held by different (groups of) policymakers in American foreign policy – what matters is which (coalition) dominates Example: Involvement in Lybia -Wilsonian elements? -Hamiltonian elements? -Jeffersonian elements? -Jacksonian elements?

6. Another contemporary Risk/Hamiltonian view

7. Risk problem: from Russia’s perspective

8. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 2. Power seems the dominating element combined with chance -Armies -Geographical locations -Dice 2. Does it resemble power and chance in the real world?

9. Machtsevenwicht Sources of power ‘

10. Hard versus Soft Power Hard Power: the role of technology

11. Hard power

13. Is this hard power?

14. Soft Power

15. Soft power

16. The Vatican – the world’s weakest state? Or...

17. Contemporary soft power: Celebrities?

18. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 3. Did you form alliances during the game? -Did they last? -Did you trust one another? -Did you invent new rules during the game?

19. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 3. How about alliances in the real world? -Do they last? -Does one trust one’s ally? -Does international politics need certain rules? -Diplomacy -International Law -Intergovernmental Organizations? -Supranationalism? USA: 1798: formal alliance with France 1917: WW I 1941: WW II 1949: NATO

20. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 4. Who is playing in Risk? -1 state -Which assumptions about its behavior? ‘Unitary’ actor Rational behavior Only responding to what other states do The state thinks the other states are the same

21. Does Risk resemble (US) foreign policy? 4 What does the state look like in reality? President Congress Departments Interest groups Public opinion http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/05/0 4/us/20110504-the-presidents-approval- rating-after-bin-laden.html What motivates them? What are the consequences for foreign policy?

22. How does Risk relate to the world views Realism? Liberalism? Constructivism?

23. Assignment 1a From a Risk perspective, how should the USA prepare for the coming 10 years? 1b From a Risk perspective, how should America’s allies (e.g. Europe, Japan, Saudi Arabia Israel) prepare for the coming 10 years? 2a From a non-Risk perspective, how should the USA prepare for the coming 10 years? 2b From a non-Risk perspective, how should America’s allies (e.g. Europe, Japan, Saudi Arabia Israel) prepare for the coming 10 years?