1. Better times ahead? John Philpott, CIPD West London Branch 24 January 2012

2. Recession and ‘recovery’

3. Change in private and public sector employment

4. Employees and self-employed

5. Vacancies

6. Redundancies

7. Unemployment

8. Average earnings growth

9. Economic outlook – OBR forecast

10. Unemployment outlook- OBR again

11. The looming risk

12. HR concerns ‘New normal’/More with less’/culture change/ ‘ Survivor’ stress/engagement challenge Increased talent retention and recruitment pressures Employment relations turmoil

13. CIPD employee engagement index

14. Employee engagement scores

15. Talent shortages data

16. Talent shortage caveat

17. Retention problem?

18. Labour unrest – shape of things to come?