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Climate Change - Adaptation and Mitigation. Climate change: processes, characteristics and threats. (2005). In UNEP/GRID-Arendal Maps and Graphics Library.

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Presentation on theme: "Climate Change - Adaptation and Mitigation. Climate change: processes, characteristics and threats. (2005). In UNEP/GRID-Arendal Maps and Graphics Library."— Presentation transcript:

1 Climate Change - Adaptation and Mitigation

2 Climate change: processes, characteristics and threats. (2005). In UNEP/GRID-Arendal Maps and Graphics Library. Retrieved 19:29, October 1, 2008 from http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/climate_change_processes_characteristics_and_threats.

3 Direct Observation of Climate Change Source: IPCC 4AR

4 Impact, Vulnerability and Adaptation of Climate Change

5 Sensitivity, adaptability and vulnerability. (2005). In UNEP/GRID-Arendal Maps and Graphics Library. Retrieved 19:38, October 1, 2008 from http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/sensitivity-adaptability-and-vulnerability.

6 Major Findings of IPCC 4AR Impacts are occurring now as a consequence of climate change Impacts are occurring now as a consequence of climate change Future possible impacts have been identified Future possible impacts have been identified

7 Source: IPCC 4AR

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11 Mitigation of Climate Change

12 Global GHG Trend (1970 – 2004) Source: IPCC 4AR

13 Drivers of GHG Emissions E = P x GDP P x TPES GDP E TPES x Emissions Population Income per capita Energy Intensity Carbon Intensity

14 Trends of Emission Drivers Source: IPCC 4AR

15 Changes in Drivers of Emissions Source: IPCC 4AR

16 Uneven Distribution of Emissions Source: IPCC 4AR

17 Different Pathways of Future Emissions Source: IPCC 4AR

18 Consequences of Different Emissions Scenarios Source: IPCC 4AR

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21 Mitigation Potential Market Potential: Market Potential: the amount of GHG mitigation that might be expected to occur under forecast market conditions, including policies and measures in place at the time. the amount of GHG mitigation that might be expected to occur under forecast market conditions, including policies and measures in place at the time. Economic Potential: Economic Potential: the potential for cost effective GHG mitigation when non- market social costs and benefits are included with market costs and benefits in assessing the options for particular levels of carbon prices when using social discount rates instead of private ones. the potential for cost effective GHG mitigation when non- market social costs and benefits are included with market costs and benefits in assessing the options for particular levels of carbon prices when using social discount rates instead of private ones.

22 Economic Mitigation Potential in 2030 Bottom-up StudiesTop-down Studies Source: IPCC 4AR

23 Total ~ 16 – 31 Gt/yr i.e. 23-46% reduction from (conservative) baseline Source: IPCC 4AR

24 Source: Presentation by IPCC Chairman at UN HQs, September 2007

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26 Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007

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35 Source: Presentation by IPCC Chairman at UN HQs, September 2007

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37 Source: IPCC Presentation at WMO Conference, Geneva, May 2007

38 References Main IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 976pp. IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [B. Metz, O.R. Davidson, P.R. Bosch, R. Dave, L.A. Meyer (eds)], Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA., XXX pp. IPCC, 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996 pp. IPCC Website: http://www.ipcc.ch/http://www.ipcc.ch/ Others Stern Review http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/stern_review_Report.cfm Graphics on climate change http://www.grida.no/tag.aspx?id=100

39 The End


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