1. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes Brazil Logistics and Transport National Plan Kingston, Jamaica, August 22-24, 2006 Western Hemisphere Transport Initiative – WHTI IX Executive Committee Meeting

2. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes 1.Back to an old tradition at Ministry of Transport: long term planning 2.A more balanced transport modal split, in energy and economic terms 3.Regional planning and transport planning integrated 4.Logistics aspects to be considered (cost & time) - Inventory costs / Warehouse / Distribution / Just in Time 5.Open to transport community and related sectors participation I.Productive sectors II.Users III.Transport operators IV.States administrations (Planning and Transport departments ) Planning Process Principles

3. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes 1.Planning transport in Brazil: history & analysis 2.GIS developed for transport planning 3.Transport planning & regional planning 4.Macroeconomic forecasts and transport modeling - supply x demand analysis  projects with economic rationale 5.Projects with political rationale 6.Logistic and Transport National Plan – PNLT Report Methodology

4. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes PRODEST – Program for Development of Transport Sector, by GEIPOT, a public company linked to Ministry of Transport, 1986 Integration and Development “Axis” Study, by Ministry of Planning / BNDES, the national development bank, 1999 Studies done by several States: Bahia, São Paulo, Rio Grande do Sul, Minas Gerais Other Ministries (Agricultural, Development, Tourism) studies Private sector studies Transport regulatory agencies studies 1.Planning transport in Brazil: history & analysis

5. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes 2.1. Today's demand Traffic generation zones (production & attraction / internal & external trips), including primary, secondary e tertiary sectors Regional & technological dynamics characterization (integration & complementarities) Freight & passengers’ traffic volumes identification 2. Specific GIS developed for transport planning

6. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes 2.2. Tomorrow’s demand Information for PPAs 2008-11 e 2012-15 (PPA = multiyear plan) Guidelines for PPAs 2016-19 e 2020-23 FIPE/USP macroeconomic forecast model, with regional specialists (economic research institute of University of São Paulo) Existing & potential economic activities –Trends in changing existing production practices / areas (in terms of added value: from soy beam farms to soy oil processing plants, for instance) –New production areas –New areas for tourism increase / development –New economic activities in already developed regions –Complementarities & economic integration in IIRSA 2. Specific GIS developed for transport planning

7. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes 2.3. Today’s supply –Logistic & transport system characterization (physical, operational e technological) Highways / Railways/ Waterways / Coastal Navigation Ports / Airports Transference between modes – integrated multimodal terminals Warehouses –Existent projects inventory 3 government levels – federal, state, city Private sector 2. Specific GIS developed for transport planning

8. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes Transport network as mandatory for territorial re-organization in Brazil Traffic zones = IBGE’s 558 geographical micro-regions (Brazil statistical institute) Macro-economics development scenarios Social-environmental development scenarios * in coordination with Ministry of Planning 3. Transport e Regional Planning *

9. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes Base-year / Model calibration Future scenarios – 2010, 2015, 2025 –FIPE/USP econometric model data: conversion for transport flows –Sectors & products representing 80% of freight flows (in tones / in cost) Comparison between infra-structure supply x transport demand Critical points identification –Lack of capacity (bottlenecks) –Lack of coverage (missing links) Check list: critical points x projects inventory –existent and eligible projects –new projects required Projects with economic rationale portfolio 4. Transport modeling

10. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes Open to transport community and related sectors participation Development driven Reducing regional disparities Occupation / re-organization of territory National security New opportunities for IIRSA integration 5. Projects with political rationale

11. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes Historic Methodology Guidelines for implementation Selected projects portfolio Costs / funding Political & environmental sustainability Priorities and implementation schedule Projects synergies, including with other sectors GIS updating & reliability mechanisms Planning process consolidation in Ministry of Transport 6. Logistic and Transport National Plan PNLT Report

12. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes  Agreement Min. Defense / Min. Transport: CENTRAN (transport study center)  Work start: February 2006  Conclusion: 15 December 2006  Socioeconomics studies and analysis: USP (FIA/FIPE)  Consultants team  Workshops (21Mar; 16Mai; 31Ago; 17Out)  Regional meetings (from 03Jul to 08Ago) 03Jul: Manaus (AC, AM, RO, RR) 17Jul: São Paulo (SP, MS) 18Jul: Florianópolis (PR, RS, SC) 24Jul: Rio de Janeiro (ES, RJ) 25Jul: Belo Horizonte (DF, GO, MG, MT) 31Jul: Recife (AL, PB, PE, RN) 01Ago:Salvador (BA, SE) 07Ago:Fortaleza (CE, PI) 08Ago:São Luís (AP, MA, PA, TO)  PNLT presentation on a national meting: 19 December 2006 Present Status

13. Ministério dos Transportes Secretaria de Política Nacional de Transportes Departamento de Planejamento e Avaliação da Política de Transportes www.transportes.gov.br/pnlt francisco.costa@transport.gov.br marcelo.perrupato@transport.gov.br Thank you!