Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byThomasina James Modified over 5 years ago
1
TheVoicesOfAmerica.org Precinct organizing Best Practices
2 guys & a web site Picked up a Homemaker along the way We’re here to talk about TAKING ACTION This is not about politics, but instead civic duty! Appreciate the opportunity to talk with you
2
agenda Topic Presenter Introduction Kimberly Fletcher
Precinct Organizing Peter Wolf Voter Guides Candidate Nights Warren Edstrom Questions
3
All Content Available on Web Site TheVoicesOfAmerica.org
Not an Organization Precinct Organizing Best Practices Methodology Have been researching this area since July, 2009
4
Rallies have served their purpose:
Showed we’re not alone Educated & informed Motivated Now : Preaching to the choir Few additional members Need SYSTEMIC actions. Will teach you how to: Grow your organization / movement Gain increased political clout GOTV to win elections
5
The road to serfdom Dependency vs. Jobs Spending & Debt
Tax & Redistribution Equality / Social Justice & Rules / Regulations Loss of Freedoms & Government/ Corporate Elite
6
George Washington 0n parties
“However [political parties] may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion”. GEORGE WASHINGTON, Farewell Address September 17, 1796 Washington envisioned a time such as ours! Government takes our $ via taxes & our children’s/ grand-children’s $ via debt Nationalizes private industry with our money – after health care now 51% of economy Impact every aspect of our lives via many rules & regulations We become serfs to elite political class - German experience as child - Burocrat References “Road to Serfdom” by Nobel Prize winning Frederick Hayak in 1944 Google w/ “Readers Digest” Venezuelan experience Capitalism in 70’s 80’s to Communism today I was there on business in 70’s & 80’s – environmental laws & flights Now bankrupt & using totalitarian tactics to maintain control
7
SWOT Analyses Strength – informed, passionate, volunteers
Weakness – grassroots, lack funding Opportunity – elections won locally with votes Threat – political parties dominate
8
Messaging & GOTV = Win Elections
79% of voters think that it is possible the economy could collapse Democrats -72% Republicans – 84% Independents - 80% Those who think the government is too big Democrats – 49% Republicans - 84% Independents - 74% 56% of people say they think the federal government has become so large and powerful that it poses an immediate threat to the rights and freedoms of ordinary citizens. Democrats - 37% Republicans - 70% Independents - 63% Source: CNN – February 26, Rasmussen – February 9, Fox News – March 23, 2010;
9
“SILENT MAJORITY” can win elections
76% Of Electorate Are Like-Minded 40% are Conservative 36% are Moderate 20% are Liberal Conservatives Now Outnumber Liberals in All 50 States October 26, Gallup Poll
10
Build organization & GOTV
Grow Patriot Organization Leverages “Tea Party” Strength Proven Method Already Exists Civic Responsibility vs. Politics Tax & Freedoms vs. Coupons Impact Elections
11
Precinct organizing opportunities
Targeted - Door-to-Door Canvassing Targeted - Volunteer Phone Banks Targeted - Meetings / Socials Targeted - Get-Out-The-Vote VOTER RECORDS
12
Winning Elections at precinct level
Most effective methods based on statistical analysis All the lobbying and candidate money can’t buy this capability! Will have enduring effect - 33% will continue to vote in subsequent elections
13
Non-partisan Strength – broadest appeal & sustainable
Weakness – relies on voters to chose candidates Opportunity – mobilize 70-80% voters w/o PAC Threat – existing political parties dominate
14
Thomas Jefferson - January 8, 1789
'It is to me a new and consolatory proof that wherever the people are well-informed they can be trusted with their own government; that whenever things get so far wrong as to attract their notice, they may be relied on to set them to rights." Trust people with information to decide Inform with candidate townhalls and Voter Guides
15
voter education ON CANDIDATES
2010 Election 2012 Election Patriot Organization Precinct Organizing CANDIDATE TOWNHALLS VOTER GUIDES
16
Conservative Candidates
“Tea Party” Republicans Especially with “Precinct Executive” Strategy Independents Defecting Republicans GOOOH
17
Proven Process used by Political Parties
Found this and other slides on the internet, in the public domain With 20% of liberal Democrats, won House, Senate, & Presidency
18
Source: Williamson County, TX - Grassroots Action Democrats (GRAD) School Training
19
Voter “contacts per vote” ratio
Source: Composite values across multiple randomized control studies including Gerber & Green & Yale University.
20
Why moved away from Blockwalking?
Money & Volunteer Access Campaign consultants can’t make as much money Nor do they have ready access to trustworthy volunteers Campaign Consultants are Intermediaries for: Mass Advertising Centralized Phone Banks Centralized Mail Campaigns Prefer Centralized Message Net, ADVANTAGE FOR US! Research – BEST Door-to-door Conversational volunteer phone calls Campaign consultants Validate each other with similar tactics - all do, thus must be best Despite statistical evidence to the contrary – 0-1% effect/ very cost effective, but low turnout Instead, focus on Centralization, Control, and Where can make most money themselves Canvassing requires volunteers & is decentralized Our movement has Volunteers Passion Common message – take country back from career politicians!
21
Faithful action Strength – large, established communities
Weakness – not engaged in “public square” Opportunity – join patriots to defend freedoms Threat – omnipotent government replaces church
22
Door to door convassing
23
Precinct Organizing Grow Patriot Organization VOTER RECORDS One-On-One
Voter Engagement Impact Elections Goal Identify Recruit Like minded voters GOTV for elections
24
Voter Record Note: Data has been scrambled and altered to protect voter’s privacy. County Voter Records available from County Board of Election All 88 county records available on Secretary of State web site -
25
voter engagement Engage Educate Request I am a concerned citizen
Are you concerned about career politicians bankrupting our country & indebting our children Educate Importance & relevance of Constitutional principles Limited government, free markets, individual freedoms Request Contact information – , cell phone, etc. Join patriot organization Volunteer with patriot organization Goal Identify & Recruit like minded voters GOTV for elections Anyone can do this! Experienced teach novices! Tired of yelling at TV and not knowing what to do? Frustrated by political elite? Of both parties! How bankrupting our country! How despise the very people they represent! If not intervene, will enslave our children and grand-children Pay high taxes Pay consequences of devalued dollar Come join us to educate yourself & take action! Collect contact information Hand brochure with content & web site information Encourage to join organization & volunteer
26
Get-Out-The-Vote Engagement
Provide Patriot Organization Flyer Candidate Nights Voter Guide Assist Voter Registration Early Voting Mail-in / Absentee voting Transportation Mobilize
27
Precinct Organizing Grow Patriot Organization VOTER RECORDS One-On-One
Voter Engagement Impact Elections Goal Identify Recruit Like minded voters GOTV for elections
28
Precinct Action timeline
2010 CANVASS PERSUASION Get Out The Vote “SOCIALS” January Get more volunteers Call to alert & recruit Block walk to inform, educate, & recruit. Get contact information Register voters Alert to absentee voting Meeting s of targeted voters Location - church, fire houses, libraries, municipal buildings Recruit volunteers Could be fund raiser Use for training Inform, educate, and recruit Do in collaboration with other precincts For staging events such as blockwalking Celebration & Thanks February March April May June July August September Block walk to inform, educate, & recruit Alert to absentee voting & early voting October Block walk with Voter Guides, , phone, offer rides Alert to absentee voting and early voting Election Day – GOTV! November Goal – identify, recruit, & GOTV Inform – Candidate townhalls & Voter Guides Tsunami!!! Thank you for your attention.
29
Election leverage
30
Precinct Voting Perspective
1000 Eligible Voters 80% Register 60% Vote in Mid-Term & General Elections 30% Vote in Primaries & Off-Year Elections Need Majority to Win More accurate that in Mid term 40-60%
31
Focused voter engagement
Party Affiliation Voter Turnout Always Vote Democratic Swing Voters Always Vote Republican Always Vote Sometimes Vote Never Vote
32
Focused voter engagement
Don’t waste time with Democratic voters who always vote Party Line. Party Affiliation Always Vote Democratic Always Vote Republican Swing Voters Always Vote Have become aware that many Republicans registered as Democrats Due to Operation Chaos Use Rob-calls to identify and engage “John Kennedy” Democrats are also joining the movement Sometimes Vote Voter Turnout Never Vote
33
Focused voter engagement
Don’t waste resources on people who always vote Republican Party Affiliation Always Vote Democratic Always Vote Republican Swing Voters Always Vote Sometimes Vote Voter Turnout Never Vote
34
Focused voter engagement
Don’t waste your resources on people who never vote. Party Affiliation Always Vote Democratic Always Vote Republican Swing Voters Always Vote Sometimes Vote Voter Turnout Never Vote
35
Focused voter engagement
Do engage Swing voters who always vote - Persuasion Party Affiliation Always Vote Democratic Always Vote Republican Swing Voters Always Vote Sometimes Vote Voter Turnout Never Vote
36
Focused voter engagement
Do engage Republicans who only sometimes vote - for GOTV Party Affiliation Always Vote Democratic Always Vote Republican Swing Voters Always Vote Sometimes Vote Voter Turnout Never Vote
37
Focused voter engagement
Do engage Swing voters who only sometimes vote – Persuasion & GOTV Party Affiliation Always Vote Democratic Always Vote Republican Swing Voters Always Vote Sometimes Vote Voter Turnout Never Vote
38
Voter election strategy
Based on 60% voting in mid-term If 40-60%, numbers will be even lower Need 324 votes to win Assume 226 Republicans & Need 98/287 Independents Focus on convincing 98 Independents Can also focus on some of the 137 unregistered voters
39
voter primary strategy
Net By focusing, reduce number of engagements from 1000 to per precinct Remember, goal is: Identify, recruit, & GOTV Need 57 votes to win Republican Primary Need 35 votes to win Democratic Primary
40
Precinct strategic focus
~650 Precincts per Congressional District Focus greatest effort on precincts with greatest concentration of likely voters Especially true during Get-Out-The-Vote (GOTV) phase leading up to the election Conservative / Liberal # of Times to Work Communication Methods Top Third of precincts skewed Conservative 3x Phones, door-to-door, mail Mid Third evenly split between Conservatives and Liberals 2x Lowest Third of precincts Skewed Liberal 1x
41
Precinct conservative / liberal ratio
Use Election Results, available from Secretary of State web site, to determine precinct voting patterns.
42
Summary- Prioritized Voter engagement
Precinct Priority Order ~650 Precincts per Congressional District Registered Voter Priority Order ~ Registered Voters per Precincts Independent Voters & Always Vote Republican Voters & Sometimes Vote Independent Voters & Sometimes Vote Most Conservative 30% Split Mid 30% Most Liberal 30%
43
Organizing for america
Source: Building the National Democratic Party: the State Partnership Project
44
Organizing for america
Source: Building the National Democratic Party: the State Partnership Project
45
Organizing for america
Source: Building the National Democratic Party: the State Partnership Project
46
Get started
47
Plan of action Regional Organizations Must Collaborate
District Strategy ( Federal & State ) Precinct Voter Strategy ( Federal & State ) Identify Precinct Coordinators Recruit others to help Aim for volunteers/ precinct Use TheVoicesOfAmerica.org website as best practices resource Will keep updated with new research, new anecdotal success examples, and new learning
48
Start with regional meeting of like-minded organizations
Announce via each organization’s newsletters Meet at: schools, churches, fire houses, libraries, municipal buildings Identify Precinct Coordinators & Volunteers Beforehand on web, when sign up During meeting by looking at county precinct map and using stickies Request attendees bring others to next meeting +20% weekly in Knox County, Ohio
49
Precinct organizing roadmap
Political Impact & GOTV Grow Volunteer Base Precinct Core Team Identify Family & Friends Precinct Meeting Or Social
50
Volunteer Phone Bank Second most effective “Precinct Organizing” methodology Convey an authentic sense of enthusiasm and commitment. Use a brief opening script and then evolve into a relaxed conversation Pause for questions Invite respondents to obtain more information by visiting the organization’s website.
51
Phone bank script Hello, is this _______________? My name is _____________. I am a neighbor of yours on ____________ street and I am a leader / member of the Tea Party / Patriot group called __________. Have you hear of Tea Parties / Our Group? I am a conservative concerned for our country and I got involved because I had to do something to try and stop the destruction of our way of life by career politicians. They are bankrupting our country, taking over private sector businesses, and increasing the government’s control over every aspect of our lives! Like many of us, I am worried for my children and grandchildren. We meet every other __(Day of week)____ at _____(Location)____ starting at _____(Time)___ p.m. Our objective is to get citizens, like you, to join us and educate them on what they can do. I want to invite you, your spouse, neighbors, relatives, and friends to come and hear what we are doing locally next __(Day and Date)___ . It is very satisfying to be united with other patriots and share in this movement to take back our country. Can I count on you to come to this meeting? If you would be so kind to give me your address, I’ll put you on our list to keep you informed. Thank you and have a good day/ evening / weekend.
52
Phone bank – success example
On a Sunday afternoon called registered Republicans within his precinct. Used Voter Records to focus calls to assure they would be most productive. Made thirty-six calls (4.4 minutes average per call), Was able to connect with fifteen voters (42% completion rate), Of these fifteen, eleven (73% success rate) were interested in joining his organization. Many indicated that they would bring others to the meeting. Once through script, ended up in a productive conversation. Most were aware of the Tea Party movement, but had not taken the initiative to get involved. Ralph Kraus, leader of the Patriot Unite organization in northwest Ohio
53
Start with robo-call recruitment
Call all targeted voters in precinct Easy and fast method to reach many voters Able to update voter records by finding numbers that are no longer in service Leave call back messages Messages can be used for: Assuring people "they are not alone“ Invite them to join your organization Alerting people of important meetings Get-Out-The-Vote on election day Preferred supplier provides capability to us at 4 cents per 60 second call. Calling 1,100 people in a precinct costs only $44. Tom Zawistowski at Ext 104 or him at
54
Website: TheVoicesOfAmerica.org
56
Download or Print Presentation from Website
NEW – Join the Discussion Free Can give same presentation yourself Or, out of state all we charge for are out-of-pocket expenses
57
testimonials “Thanks you so much for sending along your PowerPoint of your Precinct Organizing Best Practices slide show. It was fantastic! Our event was very successful. We had about 150 people who attended. Everyone loved the PowerPoint.” – Jonathan, California “First let me thank you for your tireless efforts in gathering this information, your power point, and the website. I listened on CSPAN to your presentation given at the Nat'l Tea Party Convention and have replayed the archived video at CSPAN a couple of times. I was most impressed. I have also been researching this precinct strategy since last May (2009). I now see, with your help, that I can actually take this to our various groups in Iowa and set the plan in motion. Thank you, thank you, thank you.” – Marcia, Iowa “I am a program manager for a voter registration program for the … County Republican Party. I enjoy the site a lot and wanted to know if it would be okay to print out your The Voices of America.org logo on some signs to be used at our headquarters in training staff?” – Steve, California “I heard about your site from my sister-in-law … in Utah. She said that they have gained many members from the robo-calling. … I have read through your site and want to thank you for sharing your information and experience freely given online. There are many of us that are so new to political activity and appreciate such guidance. … I like that it is nonpartisan because many people who love our country do not like like party politics, but still want to help change the direction that our country is heading. “ – Heather, Oregon
58
Candidate nights
59
voter education ON CANDIDATES
2010 Election 2012 Election Patriot Organization Precinct Organizing CANDIDATE TOWNHALLS VOTER GUIDES
60
Candidate townhalls Candidate Townhalls should occur before voters receive their mail-in / absentee ballots Ideally, they occur sufficiently prior to elections To allow Voter Guides to be created and disseminated to voters, Based on candidate statements made during these townhalls. In Ohio, May 4th Primary mail-in / absentee ballots are sent out as early as March 30, 2010.
61
Candidate townhalls Audience members ask questions of the candidate in a real time fashion. When audience members enter the townhall event, ask if would like to ask a question. Give them a card to fill out with their name. In order to maintain objectivity ask a member of the audience to select cards at random The person selected from the card will be allowed to direct questions to the participants. Each candidate will then have 3 minutes to answer the question. The person asking the question will have an opportunity to ask one follow up question, if desired. That person may ask a different candidate the same question or a follow up with the original candidate
62
Candidate townhalls Before getting started each candidate will have 5 minutes to voice his/her reasons for running Any question directed to the candidate with a yes or no requested answer will be required to answer with a yes or no. The candidate will then be given the allotted 3 minutes to explain his/her position. At the end of the question and answer period each candidate will have 3 minutes for a closing statement. After the event compile a voter guide from all questions and answers to distribute throughout the precinct.
63
Questions?
65
Precinct team Precinct Coordinator Blockwalk Mailing Team
Phone Committee Social Event Planner Database & Precinct team
66
How to Create a precinct organization
The best time to start is NOW Create a knowledgeable, cohesive team that is already engaged in the political process by the next election You’ll have established leaders who are prepared to incorporate late-arriving volunteers and put them immediately to work doing meaningful and productive tasks
67
How to Create a precinct organization
Host an introductory event Entertaining and interesting events to discuss relevant Constitutional principles Potluck dinner Coffees, BBQ’s, Chili Suppers House Party affiliated with a like-minded community organization DVD Night Political Statement Costume Party Reach out to personal social networks Invite people you know who share your political and social values Ask them to invite their friends and acquaintances who also share these principles and values Network with acquaintances from: Church, work, children’s school and sports
68
How to Create a precinct organization
Gather contact information as people arrive via a sign-in sheet Get to know each other Go around and have people introduce themselves Talk about direction of country and if they have ever volunteered for anything You may want to take notes about personal details like the issues that concern them as well as the likelihood your guest might be interested in volunteering. If you have a large amount of people, you may want to designate several facilitators and break your party into manageable groups of 10 to 15.
69
How to Create a precinct organization
Follow-up Within a few days after the event, call or everyone who attended and thank them. Ask if they would like to participate in similar regularly-scheduled events. At this phase, target prospects — not recruit volunteers. Just ask them to commit to attending interesting events where they can participate in lively conversations. Ask what their preferences are from the list in Step #6. Target for participants. With absenteeism and attrition you will still have a lively group. Build an Excel database of prospects
70
How to Create a precinct organization
Schedule monthly or bi-weekly events The events should be slightly structured. Announce the subject before the get-together and encourage attendees to become knowledgeable in order to participate in the discussion. This will create community involvement, personal connections and help people become better informed. Event ideas: A Constitutional based Book Club, Issue Forums, Movie Nights, Study Groups, Coffee House Gatherings, Meet at bars (“Drinking Conservatively” or “Drink ‘til You’re Red”), Wine or Beer Tastings, Constitutional Play Dates, Afternoon Teas, Regular Potlucks, Constitutional Trivia Competitions
71
How to Create a precinct organization
Identify Precinct Leadership Volunteers The best candidates for precinct leadership positions will become apparent. Approach them and ask them to be part of your precinct organization leadership. Assign volunteers to precinct leadership positions based on their location in the precinct or based on skills and/or availability. Keep the momentum growing Many of your friends and neighbors may feel equally upset about the direction of our country, but because of family, job, and other obligations may not know about your organization or of other like-minded neighbors. They would be eager to connect with like-minded organizations such as yours. They’re just waiting for someone to ask. With a targeted “friend-to-friend” approach, a few volunteers can reach a vast number of like-minded individuals who are interested in working together in taking back our country from out-of-touch, corrupt politicians.
72
How to Create a precinct organization
Start a friend-to-friend campaign Ask new participants to reach out to their social networks Have volunteers select 15 to 20 people they might know (even slightly) from the County’s Voter Record list, who might be interested in connecting with a Constitutional principle based community. Have these volunteers use the Blockwalking or Robo-call script as a guide to engage and invite their selected acquaintances to participate in regularly scheduled events. Because the volunteers already know the person, they don’t have to make the much feared cold calls Maintain a database of who was called and the results of the call Keep all prospective volunteers informed Through a Yahoo or Google Group Via a phone network/tree for people without access Distributing a Newsletter Newspaper announcements Bulletin board notices
73
Precinct Team Precinct Coordinator Blockwalk Mailing Team e-Mail
Phone Committee Social Event Planner
74
Precinct Coordinator Role
Recruit and train volunteers Organize precinct by blocks or zones Identify targeted voters within precinct Set attainable goals, plan, assure “movement”with metrics, and motivate volunteers. Inform, educate, register, and recruit targeted voters Assure targeted voters know how to get absentee ballots and that they submit them. Distribute flyers, voter guides, etc. Get voters to polls Conduct meetings /socials Be year-round liaison
75
Partition Your Precinct
76
Precinct Team – support roles
Precinct Coordinator Voter Registration / Compliance Expert Training Coordinator Volunteer Coordinator Excel Database Manager
77
Precinct Team – support roles
Excel Database Manager Assure Voter Records are up to date and all new contact information is captured Provide volunteers with blockwalk list of targeted voters and collect new information Assure backups exist and only leaders have access to the database Resource Coordinator Make sure voter registration forms are available. Assures food, water, etc. are available for events. Voter Registration / Compliance Expert Responsible for knowing State’s voter registration laws Assures that volunteer canvassers comply with laws Training Coordinator Coordinates the program and training portion of events. Works with surrogate speakers and finds voter registration trainer. Volunteer Recruiter Assures overall precinct volunteer needs are met. Helps coordinate volunteers in support of precinct tasks and events. Precinct Coordinator Voter Registration / Compliance Expert Training Coordinator Volunteer Coordinator Excel Database Manager
78
Precinct core team meeting
Identify who will lead each of the Precinct Team areas of responsibilities Agree on what tasks each area entails Identify volunteer support needs for each area Identify targeted voters for canvassing in precinct using Voter Records and Precinct Map Break precinct into sections for Blockwalking Develop Precinct Action Plan Voter canvassing dates & training - 1st and 2rd round timing Data Entry Team meeting, schedule, strategy Voter persuasion, registration, and Mail-in-voter plans with flyers - 1st and 2rd round timing Get-Out-The-Vote (GOTV) Plan with Voter Guides – early voting, Mail-in voting, and election day 72 hour plan Supportive actions such as socials, precinct wide meetings, etc. Plan Precinct “Social” Meetings to inform, educate, and recruit
79
Precinct volunteer recruitment
Easier to recruit and excite with non-partisan message and specific tasks From like-minded organizations Call/ personal contacts Existing, like-minded community leaders Robo-call likely voters from Voter Records Post a flyer at your church, community center, library, school, meetings of other organizations. From block walk of precinct Reach out to local schools
80
volunteer logistic considerations
Need volunteers per precinct Volunteers can accomplish 20 door knocks per hour in 2-3 hour shifts calls per hour in 2-3 hour shifts depending on script length Aim for 3-4 contacts of targeted voters prior to election day Minimum 1-2 door-to-door contacts with door hangers & flyers In “opposition” territory rely more on “stealth” campaign with more dependence on phone, , and meeting communications.
81
Voter Record Note: Data has been scrambled and altered to protect voter’s privacy. County Voter Records available from County Board of Election All 88 county records available on Secretary of State web site -
82
Basic Voter File Data Name Voting Address Mailing Address Phone Number
Date of Birth Gender Date of Registration Party Affiliation (varies by state) Race / Ethnicity (varies by state) Political Geography Vote History
83
Training agenda Goal Grow organization and political impact
Impact 2010 Elections Voter Contact Importance of non-partisan engagement Setting vote goals, strategy, and targeting Voter contact tactics and timelines Using Voter Records Blockwalking, Phone banking, and Robo-calls Voter registration Absentee & vote by mail Early voting GOTV ( Get Out The Vote ) Candidate Engagement Townhalls Voter Guides Precinct Organizing How to get started Team roles and responsibilities Recruiting volunteers and identifying leaders How to conduct effective precinct meetings and “socials” Fundraising Training New Media Leverage Overall strategy Utilizing and websites to keep precincts informed and to recruit volunteers Blog & Twitter outreach Using Facebook, Myspace, and other social networks
84
Precinct Fundraising Ideas
Garage sale, bake sale, ice cream social, car wash, dog wash, silent auction, pot luck, Ask for contributions at meetings and social events Require modest membership dues for precinct “club” Sell T-shirts and buttons at a small profit An annual event that could become a precinct tradition Brainstorm for ideas at precinct meetings Avoid Party affiliations, since will be subject to state fundraising and ethics laws pertaining to Parties. For example, in Texas: Any club or organization associated with a Party can raise or spend $500 before it has to appoint a campaign treasurer and start filing reports. If a club exceeds this $500 threshold in the middle of a campaign, it will be “frozen” from doing any further activity for a 60 day period. If you exceed the $500, the club or organization has to register as a General Purpose Committee with the Texas Ethics Commission. If you plan to do any activity to support or oppose a candidate for statewide office, state legislator, state Board of Education, or any multi-county district office, the club or organization has to register 30 days before the election. This $500 threshold is a one-time, cumulative threshold on a per election, per candidate, or per year basis.
85
Precinct meeting
86
Logistics - Precinct “Social” Gathering
Location - church, schools, fire houses, libraries, municipal buildings, apartment or condo club house Have people bring a snack or dessert to share. Food is always a good ice breaker. Use name tags with addresses and have people sign in Provide handouts Allow time for socializing.
87
Agenda - Precinct “Social” Gathering
Facilitate a sense of common goals /community and motivate. Provide an overview Precinct organizing process Precinct organizing action timeline and key election related dates Explain where people fit into the process How training and materials will be provided Describe each precinct team task & ask for volunteers Voter canvassing to identify likely voters and gather contact information Door-to-door persuasion to inform, educate, and recruit voters using flyers Get-Out-The-Vote (GOTV) Team – importance of last 72 hours prior to the election Early Voting and Mail-In-Ballots Election Day callers, drivers, poll checkers, and baby sitters Blockwalkers with Voter Guides “Social” event and fundraising ideas Data entry to keep the Voter Records updated Ask people for contributions to help defray precinct organizing expenses. Pass a basket or have one at the door with a sign.
88
Tips - Precinct “Social” Gathering
Stay on agenda Designate a time keeper If an unexpected popular issue is raised, take a vote to determine if want to take 5-10 minutes to discuss issue immediately or later. Could also opt to assign volunteers or a committee. Overcome anxiety and/or burnout Indicate that taking action with like-minded neighbors is an antidote Share local, state-wide, or national successes Elections are often won or lost by small margins, each vote is important Provide periodic precinct updates. May even start a precinct web site. Assure that on follow-up s will use blind-copy (bcc) feature to hide addresses Assure that obtain suggestions, feedback, and critiques from volunteers What was done well What could be improved
89
“prime the pump” Organization Leaders
Go door-to-door Train others Etc. Recruit Few Volunteers before Meeting Old sales approach Recruited volunteers will cause others to step-up
90
Leverage all touchpoints
Call Stop by house Send a note blasts Create a web site for precinct Create a Yahoo or Google discussion list or “blog” to move communications throughout your Precinct. Candidate Forums Neighborhood Association Meetings Churches
91
Door to door convassing
92
Source: Building the National Democratic Party: The State Partnership Project
93
Preparing for a blockwalk - 1
Plan at least forty-five days ahead Team up with ethnic or religious groups that maintain mailing lists of individuals who might serve as targets for campaign Aim for about 3-4 contacts of targeted voters prior to Election Day. Of these, a minimum of 1-2 contacts should be door-to-door contacts with door hangers. Other contacts can be via phone. Define expectations for the number of houses to visit and recruit volunteers, along with back up volunteers. Volunteers can knock on 20 doors per hour. With an expected 50% contact rate per pass, canvassers will end up talking with about 8-10 households per hour. Older voters will be more likely to be home than young voters. Provide a brief training session for volunteers. Training does not need to be extensive – about half hour is sufficient. Informal communication style works best. Canvassers should use own speaking style Experienced canvassers are only slightly more effective than newcomers. Mobilize voters by making them feel wanted at the polls. Personal invitations convey the most warmth and work best. Phone calls in which the caller converses with the respondent is second best. Building on voter’s preexisting level of motivation to vote is also important. Calling back a voter who indicated a previous interest to vote is a powerful mobilizing tactic. Many nonvoters will vote if they think that others are watching. Remind that voting is a matter of public record, but do so carefully.
94
Preparing for a blockwalk - 2
Other face-to-face opportunities which may also generate votes are: retirement homes, shopping centers, night schools, house parties, and religious centers In “opposition” territory rely more on “stealth” campaign with more dependence on phone, , and meeting communications. Other than getting out votes, canvassing can provide other “benefits”, such as: Persuading voters to vote in a certain way Canvassers receive useful feedback which can be leveraged Campaign material handed out will publicize the campaign and communicate its message Clean up the out-dated voter lists Register new voters Create database and flag voters for GOTV special attention Prepare maps and street walk sheets prior to blockwalking dates Plan to have coffee, pastry, and bottled water for volunteers on day of blockwalk Blockwalk in pairs – one speaker and one data taker/navigator or split up sides of street May need residents to Blockwalk within gated communities and apartments Plan a time and place to meet after the blockwalk to collect updated voter records and to debrief Provide blockwalk volunteers with precinct core team cell phone numbers, so can call if have questions and /or issues Prepare door hangers, flyers, or sticky notes one week in advance Record updated Voter Contact information as soon as possible Send a thank-you note to your blockwalk volunteers
95
blockwalk - Materials needed
Volunteer name badge Street walking lists with identified, targeted voters from Voter Records (Update with voter contact information and involvement interest, i.e. volunteer, join, or just keep informed) Precinct map Clipboard, pen, and pencils Voter feedback list to capture comments Door hangers or flyers to inform/educate, provide your contact information, and inform of precinct meeting /“social” events 2010 Election important dates & location of polling location Voter Registration Forms Mail-in/ Absentee Ballot Applications Pre-addressed, stamped envelopes with County Clerk’s address Voter Guides when closer to election
96
Optimium blockwalking times
Weekdays 4 p.m p.m. Saturdays 10 a.m p.m. Sundays 1 p.m p.m.
97
Non-Partisan Focus Need to grow “Tea party” movement Use message
24% of voters part-of “Tea Party” (Was 16% a month ago.)* Build on existing political diversity – 28% I /13% D Use message Which unites, instead of divides Taps into current strongly held beliefs by the majority of the population. With sustainable relevance, vs. candidates & issues Trust informed and engaged voters to decide on candidates Use Candidate Nights and Voter Guides Avoid need for Political Action Committee (PAC) Candidate and issue focus divides! Broadest appeal – includes Independents & “John Kennedy” Democrats Limited government Free markets Individual freedoms Consistent & Sustainable message Research shows +35% increased turnout for next elections Candidate and issue messages will no longer be relevant after next elections Less threatening for volunteers Trust informed voters – use candidate town halls & voter guides Avoid PAC, 501c4, 501c3, etc. – Secretary of State perspective regarding neighbors uniting at picnic * Rasmussen National Survey, April 13, USA Today/ Gallup Poll indicated 28% support in Mach survey.
98
Blockwalking script Hello: My name is _______. I am a concerned citizen from your neighborhood who is troubled by how politicians of both parties are bankrupting our country and are jeopardizing our children’s and grandchildren’s future. Are you concerned about what is going on in Washington? NO – What political party do you belong to? Do you plan to vote in November’s election? Thank you for your time. Good-bye. Yes - Great! It’s nice to meet others who are concerned. We are trying to identify voters in the neighborhood so that we can work together to elect candidates who believe in Constitutional Principles of limited government, free markets, and individual freedoms. Might you, or anyone living in this household, be interested in volunteering to help us with this initiative. --- YES --- Indicate on Voter Record list a 1-5 support score. Is your phone number still __________________? --- Fix or get # and record. Do you have a cell phone? ? It would make it easier for us to communicate with you and send you information regarding educational events or information about the upcoming election Add cell phone and information to Voter Record. Does anyone living here need to register to vote or need to vote by mail (absentee)? --- YES ---provide the forms and fill out VR. Here is a flyer with information about our organization, how we can be contacted, and information about upcoming educational events. Thank you for your time . I hope to see you soon. Listed Voter No Longer Lives at Address Add new resident to the Voter Record. Find out if the current resident is a Democrat, Independent or Republican and mark appropriate column. If either Independent or Republican have them fill out the voter registration form. Offer to mail the VR form for them. They will receive a new voter certificate in about 30 days.
99
Voter discussion tips Make a personal connection
Look for common concerns Use information from the Voter Record and observations as you approach the door ( political signs, children’s toys, etc.) as aids to focus your message Use your own personal story of why you chose to get involved Listen to voter’s concerns Good communication requires being a good listener Reassure them that you are a neighbor and a volunteer Volunteers and neighbors are most effective in engaging likely voters Validate their opinion It’s a two-way communication at the door, not a “sell” If you argue and indicate that they are wrong, you’ve lost Explain how Constitutional principles are relevant and important in regard to today’s issues Use simple language Be sincere, truthful, and genuine Draw favorable distinctions between your position and the opposition to Constitutional principles End with a call to action, such as please volunteer, join, vote, or read the brochure
100
Sample Responses “I am not aware of any issues and don’t really care much about the political process” You may not be aware of the issues and their significance, because the mainstream media does not properly report the issues. The politicians, in violation of Constitutional principles, are assuming full control of everything that affects you and are thus taking away your liberties and money (in higher taxes). “I always vote the Party line” I am sure they’ve appreciated your loyalty, but even within the existing Parties there is now dissention based on where the Parties have taken this country. In fact, many Party loyalists are leaving the Parties. In recent polling “Tea Party” candidates are now preferred over either Party. “They are all corrupt” Certainly one may get that impression because the media focuses on corrupt politicians and of course power does tend to corrupt. Because of this concern many good citizens are choosing to run for office for the first time ever in an effort to do something about this corrupting influence in current politics. “My vote doesn’t matter anyway” Democrats in 2008 won key states by gaining only 10 more Democratic votes in each precinct. It is this realization, that a few votes can make an important difference, of why have gotten involved and volunteered to go door-to-door.
101
Blockwalking – No one home
Prepare post-its to leave behind with “Sorry I Missed You” message and your contact information. Indicate that you are a concerned citizen from the neighborhood who is troubled by how politicians of both parties are bankrupting our country and are jeopardizing our children’s and grandchildren’s future. Request that if they share your concern that they contact you by phone. When they call back, use the original script over phone. If they don’t call back, re-visit the home.
102
Rural “blockwalking” Blockwalk the high density areas
Robo-call the low density ranches and farms Post flyers and information at feed stores, Co-ops, grocery stores, and restaurants. Conduct meetings / “socials” with speakers Offer free documentaries relating to Constitutional Principles at local theaters Get permission to use silos or barn sides for Constitutional Principle based messages with contact information
103
College “blockwalking”
Pursue “First Impression” opportunities Move-in day Student organization fairs Classroom “storms” Leverage campus organizations and leaders Student clubs Greek outreach Utilize student’s internet based social networks
104
Do’s of a precinct blockwalk
Use identifying name tags, buttons, or t-shirts. Should be provided by organization. Bring umbrellas or plastic covers, in case needed due to rain. Take off sunglasses before speaking to anyone. Step back from door after ringing bell so less threatening to apprehensive homeowner Work off script and listen. Informal communication style works best. Canvassers should use own speaking style Canvassers should only answer questions which focus on why canvasser personally supports the campaign, unless canvasser is quite knowledgeable. Otherwise have voter call “headquarters”. Confine conversation to Constitutional Principles of limited government, free markets, and individual freedoms. Focus on the future. Discuss where we are versus where we would like to be. Be succinct and a good listener. Be pleasant and friendly Get the voter’s contact information – phone numbers & . Admit if you don’t have an answer to a question and promise to get the information and call again. Paves the way for a second call. Leave information flyer and contact information for precinct leaders Refer any media/ press inquiries to the Precinct Coordinator Give updated Voter Records back to the Precinct Database Manager
105
Don’ts of a precinct blockwalk
Blockwalk alone Go into homes or apartments, even if invited Go into fenced and gated yards Walk across people’s yards Wear offensive clothing Hard sell or argue Antagonize Raise controversial issues Make derogatory remarks about specific political organizations, candidates, or officeholders Make statements about candidates which cannot be proven Place anything in a mailbox – It is AGAINST the LAW
106
Registering new voters
Make sure all volunteers who register new voters become “Certified Deputy Registrars” – must be non-partisan! Have the County Clerk’s office schedule a thirty minute training and certification session The County Clerk’s office will provide voter registration forms and a “Deputy Voter Registrar” number. Target like-minded, Constitutional principled citizens for registration Determine disposition during Blockwalking Identify candidates at events – PTO meetings, sports events, colleges, high schools, naturalization ceremonies, stores Identify “New Movers” into your neighborhood Voter registration applications must be received by the county voter registrar thirty days before an election in order to vote in that election
107
Key Voter data Assure Voter Records Correct (From Board of Election)
Name and address Party affiliation – Dem., Rep., or Independent Voting intent – always, sometime, and never Added Information from Blockwalking Not home – left contact information & follow-up tracking Phone numbers – home & cell Support intensity on 5-1 scale, e.g. volunteer, join, or just interested Voter Registration & tracking Given application Sent in application Confirmed by Board of Election Given flyer, door-hanger, etc. Special needs situation – e.g. will need ride to polls on GOTV GOTV Tracking Records, starting with Blockwalk contact Mail-In Ballot contact & tracking Received Ballot Sent in ballot Early Voting contacts Election Day contacts
108
PHONE BANKS
109
Volunteer Phone Bank Personal calls made by volunteers, who believe in the cause, are the second most effective “Precinct Organizing” methodology behind door-to-door canvassing. Nothing beats face-to-face discussions and relationship building! Volunteers are effective because they can convey an authentic sense of enthusiasm and commitment. It’s best for these volunteers to use a brief opening script and then evolve into a relaxed conversation, pausing for questions and inviting respondents to obtain more information by visiting the organization’s website.
110
Volunteer Phone Bank – key findings
Competent callers can complete 16 calls/ hour with an up-to-date call list and chatty script Make calls on weekday evenings from 5-9 p.m. and on weekends from 9 a.m. to 6 p.m. Hand-dialed phone banks have completion rates of 50%, in contrast to automated dialers with completion rates as low as 15% or less. Anecdotal evidence suggests a very high success rate when using Voter Records to focus who is called and inviting voters to join your patriot organization. See success example on right. Statistical analyses show that 1 vote per 38 contacts is obtained when calling to Get-Out-The-Vote. Talented volunteers or calls within last week prior to elections can increase success rate to 1 vote per 20 completed calls. When calling out of state, avoid calling charges by using cell phone minutes. MoveOn.org did this extensively in 2004 and 2006 campaigns. Sometimes a large supportive business will permit volunteers to make calls from its offices after hours. Provide printed instructions and a copy of the script (make conversational) for volunteers and alert them to how they should deal with contingencies. Leave message on messaging machine? How deal with hostile caller Speak only with the called person? How important to stay on script? How respond to requests for more information What do if requested to call back at another time? What information to record on calling sheet, such as invalid telephone calls? Re-contacting people who earlier expressed an intention to vote boosts the effectiveness of a calling campaign Calls are most effective during last week prior to election (Although can use volunteer calls anytime to grow your organization.) DO-not call lists do not apply to live political campaigns. Some states restrict robo-calls even for political campaigns.
111
Phone bank – success example
On a Sunday afternoon called registered Republicans within his precinct. Used Voter Records to focus calls to assure they would be most productive. Made thirty-six calls (4.4 minutes average per call), Was able to connect with fifteen voters (42% completion rate), Of these fifteen, eleven (73% success rate) were interested in joining his organization. Many indicated that they would bring others to the meeting. Once through script, ended up in a productive conversation. Most were aware of the Tea Party movement, but had not taken the initiative to get involved. Ralph Kraus, leader of the Patriot Unite organization in northwest Ohio
112
Phone bank script Hello, is this _______________? My name is _____________. I am a neighbor of yours on ____________ street and I am a leader / member of the Tea Party / Patriot group called __________. Have you hear of Tea Parties / Our Group? I am a conservative concerned for our country and I got involved because I had to do something to try and stop the destruction of our way of life by career politicians. They are bankrupting our country, taking over private sector businesses, and increasing the government’s control over every aspect of our lives! Like many of us, I am worried for my children and grandchildren. We meet every other __(Day of week)____ at _____(Location)____ starting at _____(Time)___ p.m. Our objective is to get citizens, like you, to join us and educate them on what they can do. I want to invite you, your spouse, neighbors, relatives, and friends to come and hear what we are doing locally next __(Day and Date)___ . It is very satisfying to be united with other patriots and share in this movement to take back our country. Can I count on you to come to this meeting? If you would be so kind to give me your address, I’ll put you on our list to keep you informed. Thank you and have a good day/ evening / weekend.
113
Professional phone bank
In contrast to volunteers calling, professional phone bank live calls produce weak effects. Some findings are as follows: 1 vote per 180 calls $90 per additional vote, based on $0.50/completed call ( Top of line phone bank may cost $1.50/ completed call) For professional phone banks, effectiveness has little to do with the specific reasons for voting stressed in scripts Only 5% calls are blocked, despite caller IDs. 90% of registered voters still have land lines.
114
Gotv phone banking Have a phone team make calls or Robo-call during the 3rd week of October to: Targeted voters who were not contacted by door-to-door canvassers ( Use Blockwalker’s script ) Voters leaning toward voting on principles or Undecided voters and who did not receive a follow-up contact by a door-to-door canvasser On Election Day Contact every targeted voter who has not voted yet By phone at least twice until they have voted. The last call should be after 4:30 p.m. Use the same script as is used by Blockwalkers on Election Day Using a 30 second script, one caller can make about 50 calls per hour
115
Gotv
117
Gotv strategy Allocating resources, time, and volunteers wisely is the key to carrying out a successful GOTV campaign operation Late September – hold a GOTV planning session with the Precinct Core Team and volunteers Early October – check with each volunteer who signed up to help with GOTV Strategy At least 10 days before Election Day, review GOTV plan and assure each team member is clear about their role and time commitment. Review targeted Voter Record and assure that it is up to date with contact information and have GOTV entry columns. Call voters who received Mail-in Ballots to assure that they are returned or to influence their vote based on principles. Obtain list for these voters, who requested Mail-in Ballots, from the Board of Elections In some States, can request daily lists from Board of Elections of voters requesting Mail-in ballots Depending on State, Mail-in ballots are sent out 45 days ahead of Election for Military and 20 days ahead for all others May need to be affiliated with party or be a candidate to obtain Do not contact these voters again via methods listed below Before the start of the Early Voting period Robo-call or phone-bank call 100% of targeted voters Go door-to-door reaching roughly 75% of targeted voters Within the last 72 hours prior to Election Day Be sure to focus on targeted voters who don’t always vote (“lazy” voters) On Election Day 50% of targeted voters should receive calls 25% of targeted voters should receive door knocks
118
Gotv preparation Get voters to Vote Early. This allows you to use your resources more effectively. Finalize the final list of targeted voters at least 10 days before Election Day. Assure all contact information has been entered. Assure that GOTV tracking columns exist to manage contacts during hectic final days leading up to Election Day. For example, Mail-in Ballot tracking, Early Voting tracking, and phone/ / door-to-door contacting leading up to Election Day. Identify elderly and disabled voters and provide them with Mail-in ballot applications Assure all targeted voters are registered at least 30 days before election day. Inform voters of election day and early voting schedule, including polling locations Send postcards , Robo-call, phone-bank call, or s Blockwalk with handouts of this information Find ride services to get voters to the polls.
119
Gotv blockwalking Best Times for Early Voting Period On Election Day
Contact every targeted voter who has not yet voted via Mail-in ballot Weekdays Target 65+ year olds for Mail-in ballots and rides to poll – have system in place to immediately provide transportation Otherwise, target all other voters from 5 p.m. until dark Weekends Saturdays – 10 a.m. until polls close Sunday – 1 p.m. until polls close On Election Day Contact every targeted voter who has not voted yet Walk all day If phoning does not get results, contact voters at their door between 4:30 p.m. and 6:30 p.m. Election Day Discussion Script: “Hi, I’m ______ (your name) working to make sure all supporters who believe in limited government, free markets, and individual freedoms vote in today’s Election. Have you voted yet?” If YES – “Thanks!” If NO – “Will you be able to get to the polling place at _____ by ____ p.m.?” If YES – “That’s great. Every vote is extremely important!” (Remind the voter of the IDs that will be acceptable.) If NO – “Every vote is extremely important – many elections are won or lost by a small margin of votes. Is there something I can do to help you get to the polls like transportation or baby sitting?” (Continue the discussion based on the reason the voter says they cannot vote.)
120
Mail-in ballot gotv plan
Offer Mail-in Ballot Applications with stamped envelopes, addressed to the County Clerk, to all targeted voters in the precinct – explain the convenience of voting from home. Within one week, follow-up with each voter who took an application to make sure it is filled out completely and mailed in time. “Hello (voter’s name). This is (your name). I’m a neighborhood precinct volunteer and am just checking to see if you had a chance to get your application for a Mail-in Ballot to the County Clerk.” If YES – “That’s great!” If NO – “What can I do to help?” If you can, monitor the County Clerk records for Clerk’s receipts of application and mailing ballot back to the voter. Follow-up with voters to make sure they receive their ballots and that they mailed them back to the Clerk on time. “Hello (voter’s name). This is (your name). I’m a neighborhood precinct volunteer and I am just checking to see if you have received your Mail-in Ballot from the County Clerk.” If YES – “That’s great! Remember it needs to be back in the Clerk’s office by ____ (deadline).” If NO – “You can check on it by calling the Clerk at (phone number). Once you receive it, you will need to get it back to the Clerk’s office by ____ (deadline).” You cannot have an open Mail-in Ballot in your possession. You cannot assist the voter in filling out the ballot.
121
Early voting gotv plan Contact every targeted voter who did not take a Mail-in Ballot Applications Use the following script: “Hello (voter’s name). This is (your name). I’m a neighborhood precinct volunteer and I am contacting you to let you know that you can vote early on _____ (dates) at ________ (location) during ______ (times).” If you have access to the County Clerk’s records that show if voters have early voted, then you can wait until near the end of the early voting period and then just contact those who have not yet voted.
122
Election day gotv plan Poll checkers keep track of who has voted at the pools and feeds that information back to the precinct Election Day Team so they will know who they still need to encourage to vote. If there will be official poll checkers, find out how you can periodically get an updated list for your precinct on Election Day. If not, find out if you can have your own precinct volunteers at the polls, checking who votes and feeding you updated lists. Some state laws require voter turnout totals be posted by election judge on polling place doors every two hours from 9:30 a.m. until 5:50 p.m. Provide transportation for voters who need it If a Mail-in ballot was not mailed in, the voter may opt to vote in person by returning the ballot to the Election Judge. Consider having some volunteers work as election judge or clerk at polling place on Election Day to prevent voter intimidation and ensure all votes are counted.
123
Flyers
124
Door Hangers Leaflets and door hangers typically have weak effects on voter turnout 1 vote per 189 registered voters Leafleting less cost effective than door-to-door canvassing 10 cents per leaflet $12/hour to drop leaflets 45 leaflets dropped per hour x 1.5 voter per address = 67.5 voters per hour Door hangers that provide information about polling locations and local candidates may be more effective than standard leaflets – findings are suggestive, not significant Voter list use If neighborhood with high voter registration, blind canvassing often more cost effective If low voter registration, blind canvassing will waste time and paper Leaflet design Use visually engaging layout Convey a simple clear message in large print Give message credibility by including more detailed information for interested readers – direct to website or provide phone number to call
125
Direct mail
126
Direct Mail Lessons learned Weak effect on voter turnout
1 vote per 333 pieces of mail sent x 1.5 voters per household = 500 people Mail that advocates on behalf of a candidate or issue may win votes through persuasion, not mobilization – statistical evidence though is mixed Nonpartisan GOTV mail has proven more effective at mobilizing voters than partisan or advocacy mail. Partisan and advocacy mail appear to have no effect. Subtle variations in message content have little effect Shaming voters by showing them their own voting record and/or that of neighbors increases turnout 1 vote per 20 recipients (+5% increase) Showing their record and neighbors record increased by 8%, i.e. 1 vote per 12 mailings Must be careful though since people may become irritated since resent snooping and scolding. May cause public outcry. (In some areas may be illegal to send neighbors voting record information.) No evidence exists to support synergistic effects between mail campaigns and other GOTV tactics $67 per vote at 50 cents per mailing. $100 per vote if total cost of mailing and postage is $0.75 Save money by sending a mailing to each household, instead of to each voter Design considerations Use evocative language and images to emphasize importance of voting, e.g. images of Iwo Jima to remind voters of sacrifices made to preserve the right to vote Recipients only glace at mailings momentarily en route to the trash – “book” needs to be judged by its cover One school of thought – homely mail gets more attention because it looks like something from a local organization or neighborhood group Bulk mail considerations Will save 30% postage Requires bulk mailing permit from local post office By law, political direct mail gets priority over other direct mail Some post offices get jammed with political mail during days leading up to elections
127
Mass media
128
Mass media Paid media, such as TV, radio, and newspaper, ads that urge voter turnout have a very small capacity to mobilize voters, i.e. 1-2% -- can’t rule out the possibility that the effects are zero Televised public service announcements have disappointing effects Mass media represents a potentially cost-effective means of raising turnout due to vast reach, despite small effect ( May not induce many people, but cost/vote low.) TV costs are about $15/ vote Radio is $7/vote Newspaper is $5/ vote Lowest mass media costs can be found in regions that are less affluent. (Less sales advertising creates opportunity for political advertising) Most media research relies on surveys, which is flawed. Viewing patterns are requested in vague terms, which introduce errors. Media consumption reflects personal tastes and thus creates cause and effect issue.
130
E-MAIL E-mails appear to have a negligible effect on voter turnout.
Personalized friend-to-friend s can work on increasing turnout Social connections, such as Facebook, may work as well Limited tests have shown that text messaging has shown increased turnout by 2.6% Nonpartisan s designed to encourage voter participation has negligible effects on voter registration 70% of population used in Especially high among registered voters. Many s are unopened. Some studies indicated an opening rate of 10-20% Benefits Reach large numbers at very low cost s can be forwarded content is flexible Can direct recipients to web site with valuable content
131
Voter registration
132
When Register Year round At least once or twice a month
Typically, Voter registration applications must be received by the county voter registrar thirty days before an election in order to vote in that election Closer to elections, it’s best to check your state’s deadlines for voter registrations.
133
Where register As part of door-to-door “Block Walking” with “Voter Records” or “Walk-Lists” to grow your organization, update / enhance “Voter Record” information, or to Get-Out-The-Vote for elections. Churches Events: Tea Party Rallies, Sporting Events, Gun Shows, Music Festivals, PTO meetings, Naturalization Ceremonies, check newspapers for events Fairs: Farmer’s markets, Craft Fairs, check newspapers for fairs Stores: Grocery Stores, Malls, Feed Stores, Gas Stations, Wal-Mart, Home Depot, Lowes “New Movers” into your neighborhood or housing developments Obtain permission from management Always ask the management for permission. In many states you have a legal right to conduct Voter Registrations and laws usually prohibit charging for the right to obtain new voter registrants. Start by introducing yourself to management and asking them how you can get on their calendar to set up for voter Registration for a few hours one day. Assure them that you will not impede traffic and that you simply want to provide a community service. Accommodate their requests of where to set up and assure them that you will be courteous to patrons. Ask them to give you a chance. Be courteous and respectful. Be courteous with the venue’s patrons. Be a gracious guest, leave on time, and leave the area trash free. Once finished, make sure to thank management for the opportunity and set up another time on their calendar to repeat the Voter Registration at a later date. You will be amazed at how many people will thank you for making the effort and taking the time to conduct the Vote Registration drive.
134
Table supplies Including petitions, political education material, political fact sheets, etc. The Voter Registration table can be a venue for voter education Light weight portable table, so can store in car trunk and set up quickly, and a couple of chairs. Signs for petitions for which you might be gathering signatures. Also signs with “Have you moved recently? Re-register to vote here!” Will gain attention and once folks approach, you can ask them if they are registered voters. If not, voila, a new voter! Helps minimize chance of registering new voters for the opposition. Remind them that each time they move, change their name, or change party affiliation they have to re-register. (Depends on your state.) Any clever prop to attract attention for the table, e.g. cardboard cut-out of Sarah Palin. Voter Registration forms Voter Registrations on clip boards Pens Absentee Voter or Mail-in Ballot Forms to request absentee or mail-in ballots. These can be taken home, filled out, and sent in by the requester. Make sure to pick up sufficient forms at the Board of Elections. Petitions on clip boards Fact sheets on political issues, legislation, or action alerts to educate public Paper weights, such as rocks, to keep on all the forms and flyers Have County Clerk/ Registrar’s office phone number to share with voters. Cell phone number of experienced Voter Registration contact person(s)
135
training Make sure volunteers are trained – in groups or individually before starting actual registration In some states, such as Ohio, all volunteers who register new voters have to become “Certified Deputy Registrars” – must be non-partisan! Have the County Clerk’s office schedule a thirty minute training and certification session The County Clerk’s office will provide voter registration forms and a “Deputy Voter Registrar” number. You may want to contact like minded conservative organizations who have experience conducting Voter Registration drives for help preparing and training your volunteer
136
Voter registration forms
Obtain large quantities of Registration forms at the County Board of Elections/ County Clerk/ Registrar’s Office Inform them that you are a member of a volunteer organization who will be pursuing registration drives They may require you to complete a distribution form (depends on state). On it you will need to indicate that you are a volunteer, are familiar with the voter registration laws, and where you are planning to conduct registration drives. Obtain the instruction sheet for How to Properly Complete the Voter Registration Card. This information is also typically available on the Secretary of State’s website for your state. Also familiarize yourself with likely errors made on Voter Registrations and most common questions new registrants might ask. This information can be obtained either by asking at the Board of Election etc. or by going to the Secretary of State website. Forms must be completed by new registrants legibly and correctly. It assures that all fields are filled in if the spaces are highlighted by volunteers beforehand. Voter Registration volunteers should double check each form, once completed. At large rallies or venues, which may draw voters from many counties or even accross state lines, make sure you have correct Voter Registration forms for each of the locations. Some states have different Voter Registration forms for each county.
137
Handling completed forms
Assure that the Voter Registration form is filled out completely and legibly. Forms can be refused even for a single mistake, such as being incomplete, illegible, or entries are crossed out. Make sure the form is signed. As the person doing the registration, in some states you may be required to enter information on the Registration Forms, such as your name, phone number, and signature. Some organizations use an ink signature stamp for this purpose. Do not pre-stamp unfilled forms beforehand. In some states, you will need to detach a receipt from the bottom of the form and hand it to the new registrant. Inform the new registrant to keep the receipt until they are informed by the County Clerk or Registrar that they are registered to vote. At the Voter Registration table, store all completed forms in a safe place. Do not leave them unattended. Depending on the state, the Voter Registration must be submitted, either by mail or dropped off at the Registrar’s Office, within a certain number of days. For example, in California it’s three days. Focus on registering like-minded conservative new voters. Selection of venue can increase the probability of encountering these conservative folks, but you may at times have to deal with big-government liberals who want to register to vote. When you do encounter them, remember that you are only obligated to give everyone who asks a Voter Registration form. You are not obligated to assume responsibility for submitting it to the Board of Elections. You can instead simply hand the completed Voter Registration form to the big-government liberal and request that they submit it themselves to the Board of Elections. Be sure not to place any of your organization’s information on the form, in which case you would have assumed responsibility to submit it to the Board of Elections.
138
Watch-outs It’s against federal law to give anything away of value in exchange for a registration at your table. You can distribute educational fliers. It’s ok to discuss politics, but do not engage in heated political discussions. Just smile and politely end the conversation with big government liberals. They will go away.
139
candidates
140
GEORGE WASHINGTON, Farewell Address, Sep. 17, 1796
Political Parties “However [political parties] may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion”. GEORGE WASHINGTON, Farewell Address, Sep. 17, 1796
141
Candidates “The Voices of America” methodology requires:
Constitutionally-grounded political candidates Who support limited government, free markets, and individual freedoms. Informed constituents in each district will base vote on: Which candidate best adheres to these Constitutional principles Has the best chance of getting elected so that they can implement these principles. Sources of Good Candidates Independents –GOOOH and former, defecting Republicans “Tea Party” Republicans Ask Republican voters not to “split the vote” and elect Democrats Otherwise, vote Republican, until their “day of reckoning” comes
142
Candidate vetting with voter guides
Homemakers of America’s Abigail Adams Project is creating non-partisan Voter Guides to assure that candidates who support Constitutional principles and values are elected. It is a nationwide voter initiative to provide information to the voters on the candidates, i.e. who they are and where they stand on the issues from the President of the United States all the way down to the school board in every city, county, and state in the nation. These Voter Guides can be disseminated before elections by organizations’ volunteers who go door-to-door using the precinct organizing methodology. This non-partisan Voter Guide concept has been tested for the past four general elections in Dayton, Ohio and it has been phenomenal in what a difference it made. Homemakers of America has partnered with national organizations such as “As A Mom”, “Family Security Matters”, and with state organizations such as 9/12 and Tea Parties. They would welcome volunteers from any like-minded organization to help with the creation of these Voter Guides.
143
Candidate vetting with townhalls
Audience members ask questions of the candidate in a real time fashion. When audience members enter the townhall event, ask if would like to ask a question. Give them a card to fill out with their name. Before getting started each candidate will have 5 minutes to voice his/her reasons for running In order to maintain objectivity Ask a member of the audience to select cards at random The person selected from the card will be allowed to direct questions to the participants. Each candidate will then have 3 minutes to answer the question. The person asking the question will have an opportunity to ask one follow up question, if desired. That person may ask a different candidate the same question or a follow up with the original candidate Any question directed to the candidate with a yes or no requested answer will be required to answer with a yes or no. The candidate will then be given the allotted 3 minutes to explain his/her position. At the end of the question and answer period each candidate will have 3 minutes for a closing statement. After the event compile a voter guide from all questions and answers to distribute throughout the precinct.
144
Reclaim parties via precinct executives
Precinct Organizing can be leveraged to elect Constitution principle based candidates to Precinct Executive positions of either Party. If elected, Precinct Executives can run for higher offices within each Party’s organizational structure with ever increasing influence over Party candidate selection and election funding. The outcome should be more Constitutional principle based candidates from each of these Parties. While, Precinct Executives elected in May, 2010 will not be able to impact Party candidate selection and funding for the November, 2010 election, they should be able to have an impact on the 2012 elections. Many of these positions are currently vacant and you have a 30-50% chance to run for this position unopposed.
145
Precinct organizing confusion
2010 Election 2012 Election Patriot Organization Precinct Organizing Should be one of many strategic planks Central Committee of either party to regain control for people Decide on $ and which candidate gets support Change agent learning Immune system – treat like virus Existing Political Examples against Tea Party Florida attempt to screen all applications by state head Extend years between precinct executive elections Eliminate primaries and party just chooses Steve Christopher SOS issue – close to 3000 signatures down to <700 Net, best focus on Grow movement, gain political clout, and affect elections with Precinct Organizing Focused with Voter Records Door-to-door and volunteer calls Objective – identify, recruit, and mobilize GOTV Trust voters to pick candidates – inform with candidate townhalls & Voter Guides Political Party Precinct Central Committee County State National Candidate
146
How to become a Precinct Executive
Obtain a Precinct member petition from the Board of Election in your county Need 5 names within your party, recommend 15 Return your signed petition by February 18th in Ohio Campaign from February until Primary Election on May 4th, 2010 in Ohio Call Board of Election to see if running uncontested, which happens regularly, sometimes ½ of the time nationwide. When vacant, people are appointed. If have a challenger, use available Voter Records to engage regular primary voters for party you’re running for at least 3 times before election Most precincts decided by less than 400 votes
147
party organization The Party’s leadership is elected every two years. In Ohio this opportunity not available again until 2012 The Party’s COUNTY CENTRAL COMMITTEE is elected at the first meeting of PRECINCT EXECUTIVES In a small county, all the precinct executives make up the Central Committee In a large county, the elected Central Committee represents the party. Made up of one person from a city ward (12 connected precincts) or a member of a county’s township. ELECTED COUNTY LEADERS ELECT STATE LEADERSHIP 1 month after the COUNTY CENTRAL COMMITTEE is elected, they elect the county leaders [have the power to appoint] who form the COUNTY EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE 1 month later the county leaders elect the 50 State party leaders 1 month later the 50 State party leaders elect the National party leader [procedures vary from state to state] PARTY LEADERS Make the party rules Can stop the corruption in the board of election Decide how the votes are counted and eliminate vote fraud Choose the candidates and determine how the presidential primary is run Decide whose name appears on the Official Party Voter Guide which is delivered to the Party faithful
148
Universal voter registration
149
Democratic 2010 election Strategy
Universal Voter Registration Override all state election laws Force states to register everyone to vote On welfare Unemployed Has a driver’s license, Is a property owner Many people on these lists are duplicates and many are illegal aliens.
150
2008 election – incompetence or fraud?
George Soros’ Secretary of State Project pre-2008 Targeted funding efforts on Secretary of State Races in seven swing states ( included OH & MN) In collaboration with ACORN’s Project Vote, Vote from Home and other programs. Actions and Decisions made by Ohio’s Secretary of State In 2006, re-interpreted Ohio Election Statutes and created the “Golden Week” – Register & Vote at same time Ordered the unprepared and understaffed County Election Boards to set up voting centers that would assure a massive turnout Banned all poll-watchers from the vote centers. 600,000 new voters registered Declined to enforce reconciling provision of the “Help America Vote Act Admitted that known “discrepancies” existed for about 200,000 registrations Federal U.S District judge ruled that breaking federal law Overruled in a split decision by the 6th Circuit Court of Appeals on a technicality – no private lawsuits Sought to invalidate a million signed, absentee-ballot applications issued by the McCain campaign, Technical issue of inadvertently having an extra, unnecessary checkbox. The Ohio Supreme Court later overturned this Secretary of State’s directive. Ohio NET Obama won by ~270,000 votes ACORN paid $800,000 to register new voters
151
“SILENT MAJORITY” can win elections
76% Of Electorate Are Like-Minded 40% are Conservative 36% are Moderate 20% are Liberal Conservatives Now Outnumber Liberals in All 50 States Gallup – Oct 26, 2009 With 20% - have House, Senate, & Presidency With 76% - can take back our country Despite “Voting Irregularities” October 26, Gallup Poll
152
65% Now Hold Populist, or Mainstream, Views
Only four 4% now support the Political Class Skeptical of big government Republicans and Independent voters are more likely to hold Mainstream views 51% of Democrats hold such views Rasmussen – 1/31/2010 Thus – use non-partisan message to appeal to broadest audience Source: Rasmussen Report , January 31, 2010
153
Get organized
154
Organizational capability matrix
Individual Organizations Are Responsible For Their Actions Northeast Alliance Northwest Alliance Central Alliance Southeast Alliance Southwest Alliance Enabling Organization Is Responsible for Best Practices Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Individual Organization Precinct Organizing Voter Guides Precinct Executive Election Process Facilitate Decision Making Process for Common Actions
156
Precinct Organizing Coordination
Responsibilities Use of Best Practices Training Resource Coordination for GOTV Funding & Enabling State Enabling & Coordinating Board Regional Enabling & Coordinating Board Regional Enabling & Coordinating Board Precinct Coordinators County Enabling & Coordinating Board Precinct Coordinators County Enabling & Coordinating Board Precinct Coordinators County Enabling & Coordinating Board
157
Structure- election & terms
Each county shall be represented by all patriot groups unless a group decides to not join with the other groups in said county, a minimum of at least 5 representatives. Each county group representative shall be selected by a majority vote in the county group they are to represent. They shall be seated for a term of 2 years. In counties where there are not 5 patriot groups, members shall elect one person per group with the remainder being at large positions. The state of Ohio, having been divided into five regions for the purpose of training, would retain the regions for representation purposes. Each region would have a 5 member board appointed from the ranks of the individual counties, on a rotating basis, in alphabetical order from A to Z for terms lasting 2 years. The state governing body shall be comprised of 10 members selected from each of the 5 regions, two members from each. The representatives shall be selected from the membership of the member counties in the state, or from the ranks of the governing board of the county or region, with the 2 candidates receiving the most votes being seated for a term of 2 years. At each level a chairman shall be elected by the members of the committee to preside over all meetings. Where possible rules of order are to be adhered to with all decisions being made by a secret ballot with a 2/3rd majority present being a quorum.
158
Structure - limitations
In order to limit the building of power bases it is advised that no person running for public office, in a public office, or having been in a public office, shall hold a state or regional position. They may however represent their individual groups in their respective county. Using a position in the organization as a spring board for public office is to be discouraged. If a person in any leadership capacity in the organization decides to run for public office they are to resign as soon as their decision has been made. If they fail to be elected for public office they will be eligible to hold office at the time of the next election for county, regional, or state representative.
159
Structure - finances Each county shall form a 501(c) 4 for the purpose of recruiting and the general needs of the county group as described by the 501 (c) 4 rules set forth by the Ohio Secretary of State. All required filings are to be forwarded to the appropriate governmental divisions in a timely manor. The 10 member state committee shall possess a 501 (c) 4 for the support of state board functions where allowed by state law. They shall also have a 501 (c) 3 for the purpose of receiving tax deductible donations. These monies will be used to inform and educate the voting public about candidates, voter guides and candidate nights, as well as supporting the counties with educational material and financing educational meetings pertaining to issues and legislation in the state of Ohio and before the congress of the United States. All educational efforts will be made in a non partisan way and will not favor one party over the other. All 501 (c) 3 rules will be strictly adhered to and all filings will be made in a timely manor
160
Faithful action
161
Faithful Action OBJECTIVE
Limited government, free markets, and individual liberties (including freedom of religion in the public square) GOAL Win back the House and the Senate in November , 2010 with more conservative politicians Win back the Presidency in 2012 with a conservative candidate Keep pressure on all politicians to achieve objective – will take time.
162
background Religious organizations have been:
Excluded from political process via misunderstanding and excuse of 501(c)(3) non-profit status Assaulted in public square by government funded third parties, under the 1976 Civil Rights Attorneys Fee Act. Current assaults: public funding of abortions, eliminate National Day of Prayer, and new Hate Crime Bill. All this is contrary to Alexis de Tocqueville’s observations in mid 1800’s in Democracy in America, in which he writes extensively about the marriage of religion and politics in America If the socialization of America is not stopped, Religion will be replaced by an omnipotent, secular-humanist socialist government, as evidenced in socialist Europe where churches are empty. A.D. Lindsay in his classic 1943 study, The Modern Democratic State, writes: “It was perhaps equally important that the existence and prestige of the Church prevented society from being totalitarian, prevented the omnicompetent state, and preserved liberty in the only way that liberty can be preserved, by maintaining in society an organization which could stand up against the state.” As a call to political responsibility, in late 2007 the U.S. Catholic Bishops started a “Faithful Citizenship” initiative. The Bishops state that: “In the Catholic Tradition, responsible citizenship is a virtue, and participation in political life is a moral obligation”. Pope Benedict XVI calls political activity, “social charity”. People of faith represent a large, underutilized voting block and of potential volunteers (African-American churches being the exception.) - resource 68 million Catholics; 100+ million Evangelicals. 80% tend to be conservative? Low turnout for Evangelical Christians in 2008 and 2006, after largest turnout of in Liberals regained both houses and won the Presidency in 2008.
163
Strategy – Ohio Event Template
Mobilize people of faith to join with patriot organizations and pursue non-partisan and non-religious precinct organizing, candidate nights, and voter guides. Conduct regional events to provide background, motivation, education, and activism training geared towards faith based audience Recruit faith based attendees by working around priests and ministers, who resist political involvement, by using church community social networks, church directories, and precinct organizing methods to identify interested church members Start with people of faith in existing patriot organizations to initiate process Start with central Ohio event drawing on whole state, using existing patriot network to recruit people of faith. ( “As Ohio goes, so goes the nation…”; Ohio motto “With God, All Things Are Possible”) Take national via existing national patriot networks and The Voices Of America website, which is getting much national traction
164
action Plan 4 hour session to provide background, motivation, education, and activism training Mount Vernon Theater (Seats 1000; As of 4/9 - Sundays May 16,23,30 and June 6,13,20) Agenda / Speakers Master of Ceremonies – Warren Edstrom, The Voices Of America Entertainment – TBD /Patriotic and/ or contemporary religious Motivational / Background / History/ Perspective Thomas Tabback – author, etc. ( – Founders, Religion, and Civic Duty Catholic Speaker – TBD / Suggested - Brian Rooney ( & Tom Brinkman Evangelical Speaker – TBD / Suggested – Clint Zeigler Relevant Legal Matters – TBD / via Maurice Thomson ? Civic Training Precinct Organizing – Peter Wolf, The Voices Of America Candidate Townhalls – Warren Edstrom, The Voices Of America Voter Guides – Kimberly Fletcher, Homemakers of America & Abigail Adams Project Testimonial/ Anecdotal Examples – Ralph Kraus Internet Activism – TBD
165
example 1998 Kansas State Board of Education (Religious Activism)
Election created a 6 to 4 conservative majority Achieved via Precinct Organizing of hundreds of churchgoers in low-turnout Republican primaries A year later, the Board in August, 1999 dropped evolution from science education, allowing local school boards to decide what to teach When groups such as conservative Christians or elderly Americans vote in large numbers, policymakers take their concerns seriously
166
Campaign consultants
167
Why not pursue what works?
The most effective methodology to get-out-the-vote for elections is door-to-door canvassing. The second most effective method is to have passionate and informed volunteers make personalized calls to registered voters. Despite this, these Precinct Organizing methodologies are no longer much pursued by parties since parties want centralized control of campaign resources and the message. Additionally, campaign consultants profit more with brokered mass media, phone banks, and direct mail. Nevertheless, Organizing for America did pursue limited Precinct Organizing for the 2008 election with much success and with particular focus on registering new Democratic voters, much of it via outsourcing to ACORN.
168
Data based Key findings
Campaign managers are able to protect their reputation by employing well-accepted, profitable, but inefficient campaign tactics since everyone is doing it and someone has to win the election. But, just because everyone is doing it does not mean that it works. Relevant key findings based on statistical analyses are as follows: Experts rarely measure effectiveness Experts may report speculations in the guise of “findings”, which should be suspect Seasoned campaign veterans know a great deal about the inputs, but they seldom possess reliable information about outputs Publications tend to play up what works in getting out the vote, since not likely to report studies which show no effect – known as “publication bias” Research debunks claims of synergy for varying campaign tactics It’s more difficult to study voter choice than voter turnout. Only randomized experiments with randomized assignments assure fair comparisons – flip coin to decide who receives treatment Rare in politics, as are successful third party candidates Voting is measured by examining public records, not by asking people whether they voted Subject voting rates to statistical analyses & replicate experiment in other times and places
169
Statistically based votes / contact
Actual, statistically based determinations of campaign effectiveness for various candidate or issue get-out-the-vote tactics are: (Assumes that voters are not already passionately engaged in the political process as they are now with the threat to their liberties by an ever larger government and assault on free markets.) Door-to-door canvassing – 1 vote gained per 14 contacts ( assumes a normal 50% voting rate) Volunteer phone-bank – 1 vote per 38 contacts ( Talented volunteers or calls within last week prior to elections can increase success rate to 1 vote per 20 completed calls) Professional phone bank – 1 vote per 180 calls Leaflets – 1 vote per 189 voters Direct mail – 1 vote per 333 pieces of mail sent Robo-calls – 1 vote per 1000 calls Mass media – 1-2%, but can’t rule out the that the effects are zero (Low cost/ vote ratio due to broad reach and relative low cost for media, but actual total mobilized voters are low. Most media research relies on surveys, which is flawed.)
170
books
171
“Take Back Your Government!”
This is intended to be a practical manual of instruction for the American layman who has taken no regular part in politics, has no personal political ambitions, and no desire to make money out of politics, but who, nevertheless, would like to do something to make his or her chosen form of government work better. If you have a gnawing, uneasy feeling that you should be doing something to preserve our freedoms and to protect and improve our way of life but have been held back by lack of time, lack of money, or the helpless feeling that you individually could not do enough to make the effort worthwhile, then this book was written for you. The individual, unpaid and inexperienced volunteer citizen can take this country away from the career politicians and run it to suit himself—if he knows how to go about it.
172
Get Out The Vote: How to Increase Voter Turnout
The first edition of Get Out the Vote! broke ground by introducing a new scientific approach to the challenge of voter mobilization and profoundly influenced how campaigns operate. In this expanded and updated edition, the authors incorporate data from more than one hundred new studies, which shed new light on the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of various campaign tactics, including door-to-door canvassing, , direct mail, and telephone calls. Two new chapters focus on the effectiveness of mass media campaigns and events such as candidate forums and Election Day festivals. … this practical guide on voter mobilization is sure to be an important resource for consultants, candidates, and grassroots organizations.
173
Dnc portrayal of conservatives
175
Source: Colorado Think Precinct
176
Source: Colorado Think Precinct
177
Source: Kansas GOP, 1/09
178
Background slides
179
“Leaders” Tabs “Volunteers” Tabs Capability Tabs
How Create Team Leadership Meetings Training Agenda Fundraising “Volunteers” Tabs Volunteer Logistics Recruitment Meeting Logistics Meeting Agenda Meeting Tips Capability Tabs “TOOLS” Tab Key Voter Data Excel Importation Registering New Voters “NotifyNOW” Tab Robo-call Script
180
“APPROACH” Tabs “Talking Points” Tabs “GOTV” Tabs
Planning Timing Materials Needed Optimum Times No One Home Rural Plan College Plan Do’s Don’ts “Talking Points” Tabs Blockwalk Script Discussion Tips Sample Responses “GOTV” Tabs Preparation Blockwalking Phone Mail-in Ballots Early Voting Election Day
181
65% Now Hold Populist, or Mainstream, Views
Only four 4% now support the Political Class Skeptical of big government Republicans and Independent voters are more likely to hold Mainstream views 51% of Democrats hold such views Source: Rasmussen Report , January 31, 2010
182
Broad Appeal & Relevance of Patriot organization Principles
65% think the national debt is the greatest potential threat to the country’s future 79% of voters think that it is possible the economy could collapse, including large majorities of Democrats (72%), Republicans (84%), and Independents (80%). 84% of Republicans and 74% of Independents think the government is too big; while just over half of Democrats (51%) are okay with the size of government. “80% of Americans say they can’t trust Washington” - Pew Research on April 18, 2010 56% of people say they think the federal government has become so large and powerful that it poses an immediate threat to the rights and freedoms of ordinary citizens. Breakdowns by party affiliation, of those who believe this, are: 37% of Democrats, 63% Independents, and 70% Republicans. 63% of likely voters believe that it would be better for the country if most incumbents in Congress were defeated this November.
183
“Where the Tea Partiers Should Go From Here”
Citizen’s Pledge: Educate themselves about key issues of health care, spending, deficits and the economy. Ascertain with certainty where candidates for the U.S. Senate and House stand on these issues. Agree to register and then vote this fall for candidates they personally believe best represent their views on issues. Make a manageable list of 10 to 25 people whom they would individually approach to take the pledge. Personally see that each of their recruits register and vote. Karl Rove, Wall Street Journal Opinion Page, April 1, 2010 Rapidly changing times regarding candidates and parties Scott Brown win in Massachusetts Only 18 % Republicans Tea Party won for him – calls from out-of-state & block walking Will embolden others
184
What you can do to help win in 2010
Conventional top-down media-driven political campaign isn’t working anymore because we don’t believe what we hear from strangers. Our politicians suffer from a huge credibility gap. We attach virtually no credibility to paid political ads. The more we disbelieve those we don’t know, the more we do believe, and rely upon, those we do know. The old regimen of media propaganda is swiftly being supplanted by old-fashioned word of mouth–recommendations from friends, trusted colleagues, and established, credible commentators–as our main source of information. You are the campaign! Each of us must conduct our own campaign within our own circle of acquaintances, until the circle spreads to include thousands of voters. Our audience is a large circle of people and we’re at its center. We have school and college buddies, office colleagues, family members (even if we have to climb pretty far out on the family tree), members of civic and fraternal groups, clients, social friends, and other associates. If you want to make a difference in 2010, now’s the time to start reaching out to all those people to spread the word. They are your constituents–your electronic precinct. Dick Morris & Eileen McGann – April 15, 2010, based on book “Take Back America – A Battle Plan”
185
Voter contact effectiveness
Source: Colorado Precinct Project -
187
Electoral Votes by state
188
Grow your organization
Easier to recruit & excite with non-partisan message and specific tasks From:
189
Start with robo-call Canvassing
Call all targeted voters in precinct Easy and fast method to reach many voters Able to update voter records by finding numbers that are no longer in service Leave call back messages Messages can be used for: Assuring people "they are not alone“ Invite them to join your organization Alerting people of important meetings Get-Out-The-Vote on election day Preferred supplier provides capability to us at 4 cents per 60 second call. Calling 1,100 people in a precinct costs only $44. Tom Zawistowski at Ext 104 or him at
190
Robo-call script Hello, my name is _____ .I am a concerned citizen from your neighborhood who is troubled by how politicians of both parties are bankrupting our country and are jeopardizing our children’s and grandchildren’s future. If you are concerned about what is going on in Washington, I would welcome your involvement with our community group focused on electing candidates who believe in Constitutional Principles of limited government, free markets, and individual freedoms. Together we can make a difference! Please call me at _________ or me at _______.
191
district strategic focus
Note: Wilson( OH-6) & Space (OH-18) are Blue Dog Democrats Thanks to Dan Lillback of the Cincinnati Tea Party
192
Voter record Special Needs
Determine Precinct if not in Voter Record Use ZIP codes and Google maps to identify precincts. Need four digit extensions for ZIP codes. Can get from US Post Office web site with addresses. Determine Phone numbers if not in Voter Record Use …
193
Flyer – Issues vs. Constitution
194
incumbent Representatives out Of Touch
57% Would Like to Replace Entire Congress Just 25% of voters nationwide would keep the current batch of legislators Just 14% give Congress good or excellent review for their overall performance 74% trust their own economic judgment more than that of Congress 75% say members of Congress are more interested in their own careers Source: August 30, 2009 Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
195
Re-election – 90% vs. Expected 50%
More than 90% of Congress routinely gets reelected 50% say “rigged” election rules explain high reelection rules for Congress When the Constitution was written, the nation’s founders expected that there would be a 50% turnover in the House of Representatives every election cycle. Source: August 30, 2009 Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
196
Republicans are a “damaged brand”
69% of GOP Voters Say Republicans in Congress Out of Touch With The Party Base ( May & August, 2009 Rasmussen national telephone survey.) Just 21% of GOP voters believe Republicans in Congress have done a good job representing their own party’s values. 28% of respondents had positive feelings about the Republican Party (August 25th Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll) Compared with 42% for Democrats.
Similar presentations
© 2025 SlidePlayer.com Inc.
All rights reserved.