1. The Science Budget in 2018 and Beyond: Update and Outlook
Matt Hourihan
June 21, 2018
For the AAAS S&T Policy Forum
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

6. Challenges in Budget Execution?
The cautionary tale of ARPA-E
GAO: The administration “withheld from obligation $91 million of budget authority in violation of the Impoundment Control Act.”
Legislators certainly seem to have noticed…
Regular continuing resolutions
Every year since 1997
Uncertainty = delayed hiring, reviews, awards, contracts, new starts, potentially scaled-back funding
Can mean negative impacts on universities, contractors, postdocs and students
Short-term versus long-term planning
Eventual spending crunch: “use it or lose it mentality”
Public and private costs, risks, inefficiencies

7. ????

11. Traditional Areas of Conflict Since FY 2010…
Climate and Environment
USGS: - 10%
EPA S&T: -27%
NOAA Climate Research: -39%
However:
NASA Earth Science: +17%
DOE environmental research roughly flat since FY 2010
Energy
Renewables, efficiency, fossil mostly lagging behind discretionary
Now around 3-8% below FY10 levels
However:
Office of Nuclear Energy: +24%
Office of Electricity: +30%
ARPA-E: +76% above FY11 levels
Hubs have survived so far…
Manufacturing Programs
NIST Industrial Technology Services -30% (due largely to termination of Technology Innovation Program in 2012)
EERE Advanced Manufacturing Office: near-double FY 2010 levels; manufacturing institutes have survived to date
DOD manufacturing programs also appear to have grown (especially manufacturing institutes)

15. mhouriha@aaas.org 202-326-6607 http://www.aaas.org/rd @MattHourihan
For more info…

16. (extras follow)