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Md Zia Uddin and MIZUNOYA Takeshi

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1 Md Zia Uddin and MIZUNOYA Takeshi
Impact of Road Intersection on Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gases Emission on Dhaka-Chittagong National Highway Md Zia Uddin and MIZUNOYA Takeshi Graduate School of Life and Environmental Sciences University of Tsukuba, Japan 15 January 2018

2 BANGLADESH GHG contribution per capita < 0.35%2
BACKGROUND BANGLADESH Total Population Million COUNTRY PROFILE Total Area 147,570 km2 GDP per capita $1384 Annual GDP $ billion Current market price ( )1 GHG contribution per capita < 0.35%2 1Ministry of Finance, 2016 2MoEnvironment and Forests, 2015

3 Roads and Highways Department ROAD NETWORK3
BACKGROUND Dhaka-Chittagong National Highway NH1 217.0km Roads and Highways Department ROAD NETWORK3 National Highway ,813 km Total Roads ,302 km DHAKA Figure 1: Composition of RHD Road Network CHITTAGONG 3http://

4 BACKGROUND Dhaka-Chittagong National Highway (NH1) is crucial to the Bangladesh Economy 81% of Bangladesh’s total export earnings from Ready-made-garment (RMG) industry through the Port of Chittagong using the NH15 Chittagong port handles 92% of all of the country’s imports and exports with the bulk of this trade being transported by road using the NH1 with few or no alternatives5 Prospective route for Regional Connectivity (Bangladesh-Bhutan-India-Nepal (BBIN) and Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar (BCIM) 5Routh, S.K., Superintending Engineer, Roads And Highways Department, Bangladesh, PPTX on Dhaka Chittagong Expressway on PPP Basis Chittagong Stakeholders’ Meeting, (2013)

5 Figure 2: Yearly Traffic Growth Rate4 (Average 10.30%)
BACKGROUND Figure 2: Yearly Traffic Growth Rate4 (Average 10.30%) 4Ullah et al., (2013) and the author

6 Figure 3: Vehicle wise Traffic Growth on NH14
BACKGROUND Figure 3: Vehicle wise Traffic Growth on NH14 4Ullah et al., (2013) and the author

7 Figure 4: Energy Consumption Supported by Different Sources6
BACKGROUND Figure 4: Energy Consumption Supported by Different Sources6 6 Sources: Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, 2015. The 2015 Global Climate Legislation Study – Bangladesh.

8 Figure 5: Sector wise CO2 contribution in Bangladesh (Year 2012)7
BACKGROUND Figure 5: Sector wise CO2 contribution in Bangladesh (Year 2012)7 7 Sources: WRI CAIT 2.0, 2015; FAOSTAT, 2015 Note: Percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding

9 about 1.96 % of the country’s GDP
BACKGROUND Bangladesh imported million ton of petroleum fuel costing US $1.99 billion8 about 1.96 % of the country’s GDP 16 % of current account balance Total consumption of petroleum is about million ton (MT)8 2.03 million ton is for transport sector 8Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation, (2009)

10 Figure 6: Road sector fuel demand under Business-as-Usual scenario9
BACKGROUND Figure 6: Road sector fuel demand under Business-as-Usual scenario9 9Alam et al., (2013)

11 BACKGROUND CO2, NOx, SOx CO2, NOx, SOx Figure 7: The existing Dhaka-Chittagong National Highway

12 Rationale PROBLEM STATEMENT Frequent delays through traffic intersection, road side GHG emission, temperature rise etc. Travel times from Dhaka to Chittagong by truck average 7hrs with an average speed of 35km/hr

13 Calculating total delay time for vehicles at an intersection
METHODOLOGY Calculating total delay time for vehicles at an intersection Calculating cruise time for non-intersection road section Calculation of fuel loss for AADT based on vehicle speed during the loss time Calculating GHG emission for different driving condition Comparing GHG emission for engine type during the stopping time (vehicle idling)

14 v Study Area Layout Plan Dhaka-Chittagong National Highway Number of Traffic Congestion Hotspots5 Study Area length km Major traffic congestion hotspots 5Routh, S.K., Superintending Engineer, Roads And Highways Department, Bangladesh, PPTX on Dhaka Chittagong Expressway on PPP Basis Chittagong Stakeholders’ Meeting, (2013)

15 BACKGROUND CO2, NOx, SOx CO2, NOx, SOx Table 1: Time and Distance covered during before, at and after crossing the intersection Time (Second) Distance (meter) Perception reaction 2.5 20.833 Deceleration 2.13 (avg) 8.858 Complete Stopping 66.0 Incremental delay 2.74 (avg) Acceleration 2.78 (avg) 11.593

16 ts+ti = stopping time + incremental delay ta = acceleration time
RESULT LOSS TIME td = deceleration time ts+ti = stopping time + incremental delay ta = acceleration time Figure 8: Distance-Time Graph

17 RESULT LOSS TIME INCREASES Figure 9: Velocity-Time Graph

18 Time Loss/10 intersection
RESULT Table 2: Total Time Loss and Fuel Loss Calculation for Traffic in 2022 (without project) Vehicle Mode Number of Vehicle Time Loss/10 intersection Total time loss Velocity Fuel efficiency Fuel Loss Nos hr/veh hr/year kmph km/liter liter Motor Cycle 351,139 0.198 69,525.6 30.0 52.5 39,728.92 Scooter / Tempu 731,917 144,920 42 103,513.95 Car / Jeep 1,477,909 292,626 10 877,877.80 Micro / Pickup 1,805,257 357,441 8.33 1,287,302.42 Mini Bus / Coaster 727,851 144,115 5.0 864,687.07 Bus 839,099 166,142 3.33 1,496,770.76 Truck 2,515,826 498,134 3.125 4,782,082.92 Trailer 196,525 38,912 2.62 445,557.05 Toll Free 653,252 129,344 1,481,036.51 Total 1841,158 11,378,557.42 11RHD Road User Cost

19 Time Loss/10 intersection
RESULT Table 3: Total Time Loss and Fuel Loss Calculation for Traffic in 2022 (with project) Vehicle Mode Number of Vehicle Time Loss/10 intersection Total time loss Velocity Fuel efficiency Fuel Loss Nos hr/veh hr/year kmph km/liter liter Motor Cycle 147,479 0.205 30,233.1 60.0 52.5 34,552.12 Scooter / Tempu 307,405 63,018 42 90,025.77 Car / Jeep 620,722 127,248 10 763,487.66 Micro / Pickup 758,208 155,433 8.33 1,119,563.01 Mini Bus / Coaster 305,697 62,668 5.0 752,015.73 Bus 352,421 72,246.4 3.33 1,301,736.99 Truck 1,056,647 216,613 3.125 4,158,963.03 Trailer 82,540 16,920.8 2.62 387,499.62 Toll Free 274,366 56,245 1,288,052.97 Total 800,625 9,895,896.91 11RHD Road User Cost

20 13.03% Reduction of Fuel Loss
RESULT 56.52% Reduction of Travel Time 13.03% Reduction of Fuel Loss Figure 10: Comparison of Travel Time Loss and Fuel Loss

21 RESULT Table 4: Effect of Driving Condition Change on CO Emission
Project Case (AADT) Mode of Driving CO Rate* (mg/sec) Time (sec) Emission (tons/year) Total (tons/year) Effect Without Project (25476) Cruise 10 2.50 2.32 19.22 (-) 41.74% Deceleration 7.5 2.13 1.49 Idle 1.5 68.74 9.59 Acceleration 22.5 2.78 5.82 With Project (10700 using NH1) 2.5 0.98 11.39 5.15 1.51 68.41 4.01 5.56 4.89 *Source: Frey et al. (2001)

22 RESULT Table 5: Effect of Driving Condition Change on NO Emission
Project Case (AADT) Mode of Driving NO Rate* (mg/sec) Time (sec) Emission (tons/year) Total (tons/year) Effect Without Project (25476) Cruise 1.25 2.50 0.84 1.96 (-) 58.16% Deceleration 0.5 2.13 0.10 Idle 0.1 68.74 0.64 Acceleration 1.5 2.78 0.39 With Project (10700 using NH1) 2.5 0.12 0.82 5.15 68.41 0.27 5.56 0.33 *Source: Frey et al. (2001)

23 RESULT Table 6: Effect of Driving Condition Change on HC Emission
Project Case (AADT) Mode of Driving HC Rate* (mg/sec) Time (sec) Emission (tons/year) Total (tons/year) Effect Without Project (25476) Cruise 0.6 2.50 0.14 2.10 (-) 50.00% Deceleration 0.4 2.13 0.08 Idle 0.25 68.74 1.60 Acceleration 1.1 2.78 0.28 With Project (10700 using NH1) 0.6  2.5 0.06 1.05 5.15 68.41 0.67 5.56 0.24 *Source: Frey et al. (2001)

24 Figure 11: Effect of Expressway Project on Emission Reduction
RESULT Figure 11: Effect of Expressway Project on Emission Reduction 12Frey et al., (2013)

25 RESULT Table 7a: Calculation of Engine wise AADT for BAU Scenario
Without Project With Project AADT (veh/day) Vehicle composi tion Engine wise AADT (veh/day) Vehicle compositio n after Diversion MFI 25476 53.63% 13663 10700 5738 EFI 46.37% 11813 4962 Table 7b: Emission on Vehicle Idling at BAU Scenario Mechanical Fuel Ignition (MFI) Electric Fuel Ignition (EFI) Emissions Rate* (gm/hr) AADT Without project (ton/year) With project (ton/year) CO 35 13663 33.33 5738 14.00 20 11813 16.47 4962 6.92 HC 23 21.90 9.20 6 4.94 2.07 NOx 48 45.71 19.20 86 70.80 29.74 PM 4 3.81 1.60 1 0.82 0.35 CO2 4484 4636 *Source : Khan et al., (2006)

26 RESULT Figure 12: Comparison of CO2 Emission Reduction for Engine Type

27 Estimation of Social Cost of GHG
FUTURE WORK Estimation of Social Cost of GHG Economic Analysis

28 “…providing relief from
congestion, pollution and accidents free corridor to the users”


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