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Use of EDWG Data by the LTPT

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Presentation on theme: "Use of EDWG Data by the LTPT"— Presentation transcript:

1 Use of EDWG Data by the LTPT
WECC Staff January 15, 2016 Western Electricity Coordinating Council

2 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
What is the LTPT? The LTPT - Long Term Planning Tool: Is a capital expansion tool 20 year study horizon Evaluating potential energy future Western Electricity Coordinating Council

3 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
LTPT LTPT comprised of: SCDT-Study Case Development Tool NXT-Network Expansion Tool Western Electricity Coordinating Council

4 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
SCDT SCDT - Study Case Development Tool Produce Study Case Optimized study case representing potential “energy future” Comprised of reduced nodal network model Transmission expansion candidate lines Transmission capital cost Minimum cost generation optimization-decision factors, constraints Western Electricity Coordinating Council

5 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
NXT NXT - Network Expansion Tool Relieves candidate lines for four system conditions Heavy Summer, Light Spring, Light Fall, Heavy Winter, oveloaded, loss of load etc Optimized transmission network expansion Mitigating engineering constraints Grid cost components applicable to study case Western Electricity Coordinating Council

6 LTPT Process Workflow Perform Modeling
No Yes Define Scenarios to be examined in narrative Parameterize Scenarios / Sensitivities Does Parameterization affect Scenario narrative? Are results reasonable? Select ‘no regrets’ investments; decide other recommendations Compare Scenario results based on pre-determined Metrics Are sensitivities of Scenarios required? Define Metrics to be used to evaluate Scenario/Sensitivity results Western Electricity Coordinating Council

7 10-Year & 20-Year Planning Comparison
Attribute 10-Year Studies 20-Year Studies Tool Production Cost Model Capital Expansion Model Objective Minimization Production Cost Capital Cost Focus Capacity additions and specific projects, planned and in progress Understanding potential “energy futures” and decisions needed to achieve those futures Model decides to Dispatch Generation Build Gen and Transmission Load From balancing authorities w/ stakeholder adjustment Resources Stakeholder specific Stakeholder specific and LTPT optimized Transmission Time Granularity Hourly / Sub-hourly Annual / Seasonal Load Durations Interdependence Starting point of 20-Year Informs 10-Year Western Electricity Coordinating Council

8 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
EDWG Data in LTPT EDWG Data in LTPT Transmission route finding input No Siting More realistic cost estimate Environmental Risk Line weighting-Financial Element Western Electricity Coordinating Council

9 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Risk Weightings EDWG Risk Category Weightings Think of the weighting similar to miles Western Electricity Coordinating Council

10 Traversing the geospatial landscape
Staying in the fairway. Avoiding hazards. Minimizing strokes.

11 Overlay EDWG and Transmission Candidate Cooridors
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

12 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Optimize Corridors Build cost surfaces Bend corridor routing to minimize environmental impact. Western Electricity Coordinating Council

13 Transmission Models and Assumptions
Start with TEPPC 2024 Power Flow Model Delineate load and generation hubs. Perform Network Reduction, preserving interface and CCTA transmission lines. Define aggregation zones delineated by WECC Paths. Define list of monitored lines based on aggregation zones. Define transmission technology types and characteristics. Define list of candidate corridors based on tiered rules. Optimize corridor routing Western Electricity Coordinating Council

14 Economic Models and Assumptions
Fuel Prices Henry Hub per EIA Annual Energy Outlook (converted to 2014 dollars) Differentials by state Progress multipliers per E3 Capital Cost Tool/Report Resource Types & Costs Capital Cost: E3 Capital Cost Tool (“E3 Tool”), TEPPC approved Future types & Progress multipliers Vintage per E3 Tool Simplified LCOE Model - E3 Tool Policy CO2 Price: $37.11/MT Per stakeholder input – Metric Definition Task Force (MDTF) No PTC, Solar ITC reduced to 10% Per E3 forecast of federal policy Coal constraints per stakeholder input Transmission Costs Per TEPPC Capital Cost Update: B&V analysis/report and tool, with stakeholder review/approval Includes Transmission and Substation Costs Cost Factors Include: Equipment Terrain ROW AFUDC Breakers Transformers Voltage Compensation LCOE per E3 “levelization calculation” (E3 Captial Cost Tool) EIA – U.S. Energy Information Administration AEO – Annual Energy Outlook DG – Distributed Generation RPS – Renewable Portfolio Standard NREL – National Renewable Energy Laboratory PTC – Production Tax Credit ITC – Investment Tax Credit Western Electricity Coordinating Council

15 Focus on Inter-regional needs
Western Electricity Coordinating Council

16 Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Tool Enhancements Introduction of Corridor Library Parameterized Goals Parameterized Constraints Co-optimization across seasonal and load level conditions Improved reduced network model Western Electricity Coordinating Council


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