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National Income and Price Determination

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1 National Income and Price Determination

2 Disposable Income – DI A. Personal income after taxes B. Consumption + Savings = Disposable Income

3 pro·pen·si·ty prəˈpensətē/ noun noun: propensity; plural noun: propensities an inclination or natural tendency to behave in a particular way

4 Average Propensity to Consume
Percentage of total income that is consumed APC = III. Average Propensity to Save Percentage of total income that is saved APS = APC + APS = 1 Consumption income savings income

5 Let’s work a sample problem
C + S = DI DI C S APC APS $1500 $1540 1600 1620 1700 1800 1780 1900 1840 2000 1940 2100 2020

6 Let’s work a sample problem
C + S = DI DI C S APC APS $1500 $1540 -40 1600 1620 1700 1800 1780 1900 1860 2000 1940 2100 2020

7 Let’s work a sample problem
C + S = DI DI C S APC APS $1500 $1540 -40 1600 1620 -20 1700 1800 1780 20 1900 1840 60 2000 1940 2100 2020 80

8 Let’s work a sample problem
Consumption income APC = DI C S APC APS $1500 $1540 -40 1.027 1600 1620 -20 1700 1800 1780 20 1900 1840 60 2000 1940 2100 2020 80

9 Let’s work a sample problem
Consumption income APC = DI C S APC APS $1500 $1540 -40 1.027 1600 1620 -20 1.013 1700 1 1800 1780 20 .989 1900 1840 60 .968 2000 1940 .97 2100 2020 80 .962

10 Let’s work a sample problem
savings income APS = OR APC + APS = 1 DI C S APC APS $1500 $1540 -40 1.027 -.027 1600 1620 -20 1.013 1700 1 1800 1780 20 .989 1900 1840 60 .968 2000 1940 .97 2100 2020 80 .962

11 Let’s work a sample problem
APS = OR APC + APS = 1 savings income DI C S APC APS $1500 $1540 -40 1.027 -.027 1600 1620 -20 1.013 -.013 1700 1 1800 1780 20 .989 .011 1900 1840 60 .968 .03 2000 1940 .97 2100 2020 80 .962 .038

12 Marginal Propensity to consume
A. Marginal = extra B. proportion of any change in income that is consumed C. MPC = change in consumption change in income V. Marginal Propensity to Save A. proportion of any change in income that is saved B. MPS = change in saving C. MPC + MPS = 1

13 Savings = DI - C Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook
= change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 390 410 405 430 420 450 435 Savings = DI - C

14 Savings = DI - C Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook
= change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 390 410 405 430 420 450 435 Savings = DI - C

15 Savings = DI - C Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook
= change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 390 410 405 5 430 420 10 450 435 15 Savings = DI - C

16 APC = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 390 410 405 5 430 420 10 450 435 15 Consumption Disposable income APC =

17 APC = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 390 410 405 5 430 420 10 450 435 15 Consumption Disposable income APC =

18 APC = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 390 1.0 410 405 5 .99 430 420 10 .98 450 435 15 .97 Consumption Disposable income APC =

19 APS = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 390 1.0 410 405 5 .99 430 420 10 .98 450 435 15 .97 savings Disposable income APS =

20 APS = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 390 1.0 410 405 5 .99 430 420 10 .98 450 435 15 .97 savings Disposable income APS =

21 APS = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 390 1.0 410 405 5 .99 .01 430 420 10 .98 .02 450 435 15 .97 .03 savings Disposable income APS =

22 MPC = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 - 390 1.0 410 405 5 .99 .01 430 420 10 .98 .02 450 435 15 .97 .03 ___consumption Disposable income MPC =

23 MPC = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 - 390 1.0 .75 410 405 5 .99 .01 430 420 10 .98 .02 450 435 15 .97 .03 ___consumption Disposable income MPC =

24 MPC = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 - 390 1.0 .75 410 405 5 .99 .01 430 420 10 .98 .02 450 435 15 .97 .03 ___consumption Disposable income MPC =

25 MPS = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 - 390 1.0 .75 410 405 5 .99 .01 430 420 10 .98 .02 450 435 15 .97 .03 ______savings___ Disposable income MPS =

26 MPS = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 - 390 1.0 .75 .25 410 405 5 .99 .01 430 420 10 .98 .02 450 435 15 .97 .03 ______savings___ Disposable income MPS =

27 MPS = Disposable income
Sample Problem – From page 161 in your textbook = change in (1) GDP = DI (2) Consumption C (3) Savings (S) – (2) DI - C (4) APC (2)/(1) C/DI (5) APS (3)/(1) S/DI (6) MPC (2)/ (1) C/ DI (7) MPS (3)/ (1) S/ DI $370 $375 -5 1.01 -.01 - 390 1.0 .75 .25 410 405 5 .99 .01 430 420 10 .98 .02 450 435 15 .97 .03 ______savings___ Disposable income MPS =

28 Investment spending (Ig) Government purchases (G) Net exports (Xn)
VI. Multiplier A small change in: Consumption (C) Investment spending (Ig) Government purchases (G) Net exports (Xn) leads to an even bigger change in GDP

29 leads to an even bigger change in GDP
VI. Multiplier A small change in Investment spending Consumption Net exports Government purchases leads to an even bigger change in GDP Multiplier determines how large the change will be Multiplier = ___1___ 1 - MPC _1__ MPS

30 Let’s review and go through an example - Fill in your handout as we go
Disposable Income APC (as a % or fraction) -- The average of what people will APS (as a % or fraction) -- The average of what people will APC + APS will always = consume. save. one

31 Marginal Analysis: What happens when a NEW unit is added?
consume. MPC = What % of new DI people will MPS = What % of new DI people will MPC + MPS will always = save. one

32 Assume new marginal income is created – a $1000 tax cut
Assume new marginal income is created – a $1000 tax cut SO – everyone has an extra $1000 of DI MPC = 90% MPS = 10% Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000

33 WOW! $1,000 How much will I spend?
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000

34 I’m going to buy that new $900 guitar I wanted and save the rest
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% I’m going to buy that new $900 guitar I wanted and save the rest Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100

35 I just sold a $900 guitar! What should I do with the money?
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% I just sold a $900 guitar! What should I do with the money? Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100 Second person gets $900

36 I’m going to buy my wife the diamond earrings she wanted.
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% I’m going to buy my wife the diamond earrings she wanted. Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100 Second person gets $900 $810 $90

37 How should I spend my extra cash?
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% How should I spend my extra cash? Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100 Second person gets $900 $810 $90 Third person gets $810

38 First person to get the $1000 $900 $100
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100 Second person gets $900 $810 $90 Third person gets $810 $729 $81

39 First person to get the $1000 $900 $100
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100 Second person gets $900 $810 $90 Third person gets $810 $729 $81 Fourth person gets $729 $656.10 $72.90

40 First person to get the $1000 $900 $100
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100 Second person gets $900 $810 $90 Third person gets $810 $729 $81 Fourth person gets $729 $656.10 $72.90 Fifth person to gets $656.10 $590.49 $65.61 Total so far of the original $1000

41 First person to get the $1000 $900 $100
MPC = 90% MPS = 10% Person MPC MPS First person to get the $1000 $900 $100 Second person gets $900 $810 $90 Third person gets $810 $729 $81 Fourth person gets $729 $656.10 $72.90 Fifth person to gets $656.10 $590.49 $65.61 Total so far of the original $1000 $ $409.51

42 NOTICE For each person getting $1,000, several consumption events will occur. How long will the consumption pattern continue? The spending multiplier Formula is used to estimate the number of times the pattern will repeat __1___ _1_ 1 – MPC MPS

43 THEREFORE . . . If the MPC is .9, what is the multiplier?

44 THEREFORE . . . If the MPC is .9, what is the multiplier?
__1___ __1__ _1_ 1 – MPC Multiplier = = = = 10

45 THEREFORE . . . SO - How many new dollars of consumption will be created if society receives $1 million? __1__ _1__ _1_ 1 – MPC = Multiplier = = = 10 Multiplier x initial change in GDP = TOTAL change in GDP 10 x 1 = $10

46 What if the MPC is .5? If the MPC is only .5 what is the multiplier?

47 What if the MPC is .5? If the MPC is only .5 what is the multiplier?
__1___ __1__ _1_ 1 – MPC Multiplier = = = = 2

48 What if the MPC is .5? SO – how many new dollars of consumption will be created if society receives $1million? Multiplier x initial change in GDP = TOTAL change in GDP 2 x $1 = $2 million

49 Finish the rest of the work on the handout and we will go over the answers.

50 VII. Aggregate demand adjective adjective: aggregate 1. formed or calculated by the combination of many separate units or items; total.

51 VII. Aggregate demand A. The amounts of real output that buyers collectively desire to purchase at every possible price.

52 VII. Aggregate demand A. The amounts of real output that buyers collectively desire to purchase at every possible price. B. Curve is downward sloping showing an inverse relationship between price and GDP 1. slope is NOT a consequence of the law of demand 2. demand curve represents ONE good 3. when the price of that ONE good goes up people switch to a substitute. 4. Switch to a substitute does not change AD since TOTAL spending remains the same

53 C. Downward slope is caused by 3 things
1. Real balances effect (wealth effect) a. a higher price level reduces purchasing power b. the public is poorer in real terms c. spending is reduced

54 Downward slope is caused by 3 things
1. Real balances effect (wealth effect) 2. Interest Rate Effect a. people need more money b. public increases cash holdings c. reduces funds available for others to borrow d. interest rates go up 1. Reduces investment spending 2. Increases savings which reduces spending

55 C. Downward slope is caused by 3 things
1. Real balances effect (wealth effect) 2. Interest Rate Effect 3. Foreign purchases effect a. U.S. prices rise compared to foreign prices b. foreigners buy fewer U.S. goods c. Americans buy more foreign goods

56 D. Movement along the AD curve
1. caused by a change in price level 2. movements along a fixed aggregate demand curve represent changes in real GDP

57 E. Shift in the curve or demand shock
Rightward shift shows increase in AD Price level Real GDP

58 E. Shift in the curve or demand shock
Rightward shift shows increase in AD Leftward shift shows decrease in AD Real GDP

59 The same formula works for AD AD = C + I + G + Xn
Remember this formula? Instead of X – M we used Xn The same formula works for AD AD = C + I + G + Xn When part of the formula changes the curve will shift

60 E. Shift in the curve or demand shock
Rightward shift shows increase in AD Leftward shift shows decrease in AD Shifts caused by a change in the determinants of AD a. Consumer spending - C 1. Consumer wealth - increase in wealth causes increase in spending 2. Consumer expectations – expectations of a raise will increase spending 3. Household indebtedness – if debt rises consumers will temporarily cut spending 4. Taxes – cut in taxes means more DI and more spending

61 b. Investment spending - Ig
1. Interest rates – increase in interest rates lowers spending 2. Expected returns – expected high returns on investment leads to increased spending c. Government spending - G d. Net export spending - Xn 1. National income abroad – foreigners making more money will buy American goods 2. Exchange rates – if the dollar depreciates – a lower value of dollars and higher value of Euro encourages foreigners to buy

62 You Decide In each situation decide if the action will cause an increase, decrease or no change in AD. Always start at curve B and determine which curve (if any) will be the new demand curve

63 Congress cuts taxes AD New curve - C

64 Investment spending decreased
AD New curve - A

65 Government spending increases
AD New curve - C

66 Stock market collapses; investors lose billions
AD New curve - A

67 AD Practice

68 Your textbook draws AS as one curve
FYI Your textbook draws AS as one curve INSTEAD We will draw two curves

69 THEN – put both curves on the same graph

70 VIII. Aggregate Supply Shows the level of real domestic output firms will produce at each price level SRAS curve is upward sloping showing a positive relationship between price and output SRAS SRAS

71 Short Run Curve 1. costs of production are fixed in the short run a. Wages are biggest production cost b. Wages are inflexible or “sticky” As price rises producers produce more a. BECAUSE Price – cost = profit b. Increased price means increased profit

72 3. Movement along the curve caused by change in price

73 4. Shift in the curve or Supply Shock
Leftward shift – decrease in SRAS Rightward Shift – increase in SRAS Changes in factors other than price shift curve Change in input a. price of resources b. wages Changes in productivity

74 You Decide! Based on the situation decide:
Which component of AS is affected Input prices OR productivity Will AS increase or decrease Which curve will the economy be at after the shift

75 Unions are effective so wages increase
What determinant is affected? Input prices AS will Resulting curve AS1

76 OPEC successfully increases oil prices
What determinant is affected? Input prices AS will Resulting curve AS1

77 Computer technology brings new efficiency to industry
What determinant is affected? productivity AS will Resulting curve AS2

78 Improved schools have increased the skills of American workers
What determinant is affected? productivity AS will Resulting curve AS2

79 SRAS Practice What people think Economists dream about
What Economists really dream about

80 A. Real GDP demanded equals real GDP supplied
IX. Equilibrium A. Real GDP demanded equals real GDP supplied Price Level SRAS PL1 AD1 Y1 Real GDP

81 A. Real GDP demanded equals real GDP supplied
IX. Equilibrium A. Real GDP demanded equals real GDP supplied B. Shift AD curve OR demand shock 1. negative demand shock shifts curve left a. Lower output b. Lower equilibrium price Price Level AS P1 P2 AD1 AD2 Y2 Y1 Real GDP

82 A. Real GDP demanded equals real GDP supplied
IX. Equilibrium A. Real GDP demanded equals real GDP supplied B. Shift AD curve OR demand shock 1. negative demand shock shifts curve left a. Lower output b. Lower equilibrium price 2. positive demand shock shifts curve right a. Higher output b. Higher equilibrium price Price Level AS P2 P1 AD2 AD1 Real GDP Y1 Y2

83 C. Shift SRAS curve OR supply shock
1. price level and output move in opposite directions 2. negative supply shock shifts left - stagflation a. Lower output b. Higher price

84 C. Shift SRAS curve or supply shock
1. price level and output move in opposite directions 2. negative supply shock shifts left - stagflation a. Lower output b. Higher price 3. positive supply shock shifts right a. Higher output b. Lower price

85 Equilibrium Practice!

86 X. Long Run Aggregate Supply A. Vertical
B. LRAS crosses horizontal axis at the economy’s potential – or at full employment GDP C. In the long run price level has no effect on AS 1. all inputs are flexible 2. inflation or deflation has the same effect on ALL prices by the same proportion Real GDP

87 Long Run Equilibrium Where short run equilibrium and LRAS curve intersect The economy self corrects

88 E. From short run to long run 1. If economy is on SRAS only
a. not producing at the potential or full employment GDP a AD Full employment GDP

89 E. From short run to long run 1. If economy is on SRAS only
a. not producing at the potential b. Inflationary or recessionary gaps are created e AD Inflationary Gap

90 E. From short run to long run 1. If economy is on SRAS only
a. not producing at the potential b. Inflationary or recessionary gaps are created e AD recessionary Gap

91 E. From short run to long run 1. If economy is on SRAS only
a. not producing at the potential b. Inflationary or recessionary gaps are created c. Inflation or recession causes wages to adjust d. SRAS shifts accordingly to close the gap SRAS 1 b a AD

92 F. LRAS shifts to right over VERY LONG run
1. Increase in quantity of resources 2. Increase in quality of resources 3. Technology progress Real GDP


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