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State Climate Office Intel Update
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 6/7/2018
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Divisional Precipitation Anomalies and Rankings
May 2018 (46th Driest) Mar-May 2018 (37th Driest) -0.78” 37th -0.79” 33nd -0.82” 40th -1.24” 27th -0.22” 57th -1.02” 31st -0.57” 45th -0.15” 65th 0.02” 68th -0.42” 50th -0.24” 54th -1.03” 31st -0.55” 51st -0.18” 63th -0.53” 46th -0.61” 44th -0.61” 40th -1.07” 36th Negative numbers indicate drier than long-term ( ) average. Lower rankings indicate historically drier conditions on record (124 years total).
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Divisional Temperature Anomalies and Rankings
May 2018 (7th Warmest) Mar-May 2018 (50th Coolest) 6.1F 117th 6.3F 119th -1.2F 45th -0.1F 56th 6.6F 120th 0.7F 73rd 5.9F 117th -0.8F 48th 6.7F 121st -0.8F 50th 6.3F 119th -0.8F 50th 5.3F 112th -0.7F 50th 5.6F 116rd -0.9F 47th 6.7F 120th -1.1F 48th Negative numbers indicate cooler than long-term ( ) average. Lower rankings indicate historically cooler conditions on record (124 years total).
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30-Day Precipitation Total Accumulation % of Normal (NDAWN Images)
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Long Term Precipitation % of Normal
60 Days 90 Days (NDAWN Image) (HPRCC Image)
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(% Change from previous week)
Cumulative % area (% Change from previous week) None 19% (0%) D2 11% (-2%) D1 53% (0%) DO 81% (0%)
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Drought Change One-week Change 4-week Change
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Drought Severity and Coverage Index (Statewide)
329 (Aug 8, 2006) 295 (Aug 8, 2017) 145 (-3) Drought Severity and Coverage Index = ADO + 2AD1 + 3AD2 + 4AD3 + 5AD4 (Akyüz, 2007) Where: A is a % of the state covered under the corresponding D-severity
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Accumulated Drought Severity and Coverage Index (Statewide)
9496 (+145) 9,530 10,642 9653 19,319 2116 1714 *Numbers indicate the area under the DSCI Index Curve *Akyuz (2017)
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Soil Moisture and Bare Soil Temperature
Soil Moisture Departure from Normal 5-week Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) (40mm = 1.6”)
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Grassland Productivity Forecast (May-July)
*These three maps show the forecasted percent change in grassland production compared to a county’s 34-year average. USDA Northern Plains Climate Hub:
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7-day GFS Forecast* Thu 1am, Jun7 through Thu 1am, Jun14
*College of DuPage Next Generation Weather Lab (Displayed with permission)
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14-day GFS Forecast* Thu 1am, June7 through Thu 1am, Jun21
*College of DuPage Next Generation Weather Lab (Displayed with permission)
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Medium Range Forecast Week 3-4 Precipitation Week 3-4 Temperature
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3-Mounth Outlook: June-August
Precipitation Temperature CPC Seasonal Outlooks (NOAA)
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