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Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/10/2017

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Presentation on theme: "Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/10/2017"— Presentation transcript:

1 Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/10/2017
Drought Conditions Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/10/2017

2 Prelude to Drought 2017 for ND
Period Precipitation Ranking Fall 2016 14th Wettest Winter 6th Wettest September through February 9th Wettest 6-mo Period March 2017 48th Driest April 2017 34th Driest May 2017 15th Driest Spring 2017 9th Driest Spring June 14th Driest July 11th Driest March-July 3rd Driest 5-mo Period

3 Precipitation Accumulation Since March 1 in Select Locations in ND (Ranking)
Precipitation Totals Since March 1st Weekly Change Fargo 15th Driest (Record History: 137 years) +4 Grand Forks 28th Driest (Record History: 125 years) -7 Bismarck 13th Driest (Record History: 143 years) Williston 13th Driest (Record History: 124 years) +3 Minot 7th Driest (Record History: 113 years) -2 Bowman 5th Driest (Record History: 103 years)

4 7-Day Rainfall total

5 30-Day Rainfall Total Accumulation % of Normal

6 90-Day Rainfall Total Accumulation % of Normal

7 (% Change from previous week)
Cumulative % area (% Change from previous week) D1 82% (0) D2 62% (0) DO 100% (+3) <1% (-3) D4 8% (0) D3 43% (-1)

8 Drought Change 1 Week 8 Weeks

9 State Coverage and Intensity (Time Scale)
*Drought Severity and Coverage Index = DOx1+D1x2+D2x3+D3x4+D4x5 *Akyuz (2007)

10 State Coverage and Intensity

11 7-day Forecast Thu 7am, Aug 10 through Thu 7am, Aug 17

12 Medium Range Forecast 8-14 Day Precipitation 8-14 Day Temperature

13 3-Mounth Outlook (September through November)
Precipitation Temperature

14 Drought Outlook

15 Drought Long-term Impact

16 Drought Long-term Impact

17 Crop Conditions in Drought

18 Drought Impact Poor Emergence in D3. Oliver County on July 11. By Schmidt, Richard, NDSU Extension. Sunflower Seed Field in NE Mercer County. 10 Days ago by Allen Schlag, NWS


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