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The Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-sectors

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1 Technology Industry / Finnish Economic Situation and Outlook March 2015

2 The Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-sectors
Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry ABB, Ensto, Microsoft Mobile, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala… Metals Industry Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Norilsk Nickel, Outokumpu, Outotec, Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB Mechanical Engineering Abloy, Cargotec, Prima Power, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso, Meyer Turku, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Stala, Valmet, Valtra, Wärtsilä... Information Technology Affecto, Basware, Bilot, CGI, Codebakers, Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto… Consulting Engineering A-insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Finnmap, Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll, Rejlers, SITO, SWECO, WSP… 2

3 The Technology Industry in Finland
The Technology Industry in Finland Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry Data communications equipment, electrical machinery, medical technology products Turnover (2014): 15.1 billion euros Personnel (2014): Metals Industry Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings Turnover (2014): 9.2 billion euros Personnel (2014): Mechanical Engineering Machinery, metal products, vehicles Turnover (2014): 27.2 billion euros Personnel (2014): Information Technology IT services, applications and programming Turnover (2014): 10.0 billion euros Personnel (2014): Consulting Engineering Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure Turnover (2014): 5.0 billion euros Personnel (2014): 3

4 The Technology Industry – the Most Important Sector in Finland
50 % of total Finnish exports. 75 % of private-sector R&D investment. Almost 280,000 employed directly in the sector, 700,000 employed in total, equalling about 30% of the entire Finnish labour force. The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries has over 1,600 member companies.

5 Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland

6 Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2013
Total goods exports 24.8 billion euros* Western Europe 11.4 billion € 46.1 % Central and Eastern Europe 4.9 billion € 19.6 % North America 2.2 billion € 8.8 % Middle and Central East 0.7 billion € 2.8 % Africa 0.5 billion € 2.1 % Asia 4.1 billion € 16.5 % South and Middle America 1.0 billion € 4.1 % *) In addition to goods exports the sector exports services worth about 11 billion euros. Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland

7 Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland
Seasonally adjusted turnover index. Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland

8 Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
Seasonally adjusted turnover index. Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland

9 Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: IV,2014 / IV,2013 IV,2014 / III,2014 Export: -1 % -11 % Domestic: +16 % -16 % Combined: +4 % -12 % *) Excluding metals industry and game industry companies. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2014

10 Million euros, at current prices
Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: / / Export: +10 % +1 % Domestic: +34 % +2 % Combined: +16 % *) Excluding metals industry and game industry companies. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

11 Tender Requests* Received by Technology Industry Companies in Finland
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 “Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey, latest information January 2015.

12 Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: IV,2014 / IV,2013 IV,2014 / III,2014 Export: -14 % -10 % Domestic: +29 % - 3 % Combined: -9 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2014

13 Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: / / Export: -5 % 0 % Domestic: +40 % -3 % Combined: -1 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

14 Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: IV,2014 / IV,2013 IV,2014 / III,2014 Export: +23 % -14 % Domestic: +27 % -36 % Combined: +24 % -20 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2014

15 Million euros, at current prices
Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: / / Export: +21 % +1 % Domestic: +54 % +2 % Combined: +28 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

16 Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: IV,2014 / IV,2013 IV,2014 / III,2014 Export: +17 % +39 % Domestic: +22 % +66 % Combined: +21 % +62 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2014

17 Million euros, at current prices
Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland Million euros, at current prices Combined 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: / / Export: +6 % +3 % Domestic: +21 % +8 % Combined: +18 % +7 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

18 Value of New Orders in the Information Technology in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: IV,2014 / IV,2013 IV,2014 / III,2014 Combined: -2 % +9 % *) Excluding game industry companies. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information October-December 2014

19 Value of Order Books in the Information Technology in Finland
Million euros, at current prices 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Change: / / Combined: +13 % +3 % *) Excluding game industry companies. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest information

20 Personnel in the Technology Industry
Some of employees affected by temporary or part- time lay-offs Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey

21 Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by Branch
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey

22 Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey

23 Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel
Individuals per year Salaried employees Blue collar employees Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland

24 Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees
Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics Finland

25 Situational Overview and Outlook
Situational Overview and Outlook - Finland is in the grip of structural change. Development remains uneven between companies. - Turnover in Finland in 2014 increased slightly compared to Turnover totalled EUR 66.5 billion. In the pre-crisis year 2008 it was EUR 86 billion. - The monetary value of new orders reported between October-December 2014 was 4 % higher than in the corresponding period in 2013, but 12 % lower than in the preceding quarter. - At the end of December, the value of order books was 16 % higher year-on-year, and slightly above the value reported at the end of September. - The turnover of technology industry companies in the beginning of 2015 is expected to be slightly higher than in the corresponding period year earlier. - Since 2008, personnel numbers in Finland have shrunk by 50,000 employees, totalling 276,000 on average in 2014.

26 Weak Demand Continues in Main Export Markits in 2015

27 Industrial Production Volume
Source: Macrobond

28 Industrial Production Volume in EU Countries
Source: Macrobond

29 Weak Growth in Manufacturing Industry in Eurozone in Early 2015
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) 50 = no change from previous month Latest information February 2015. Source: Markit

30 Russian Economy is in Negative Circle
Purchase Managers’ Index in manufacturing and services sectors in Russia 50 = no change from previous month Latest information February 2015. Source: Markit

31 Global Economy is Expected to Grow by 3.5% in 2015
GDP growth in 2015, % China India Rest of Latin Am. Middle East and Africa Mexico Average growth: +3.5% Rest of Asia Rest of Eastern Europe North America Russia Western Europe Brazil Japan The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2014 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), %. Source: IMF (January 2014) 31

32 Export Demand for Technology Industry in Finland Will Grow by 2
Export Demand for Technology Industry in Finland Will Grow by 2.0 % in 2015 GDP growth in 2015, % Rest of Latin Am. China India Rest of Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa Mexico Rest of Asia North America Average growth: +2.0% Brazil Russia Western Europe Japan The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2013, % Source: IMF (January 2015), Board of Customs 32

33 Exports from EU Countries to Russia is Falling
Source: Macrobond

34 Russia’s Share of Technology Industry Exports Will Decline Again to the Level of Approximately Five Per Cent % *) Soviet Union up to 1991. Source: Finnish Customs

35 Breakdown of World Industrial Production
% Purchasing power parity adjusted shares. Source: Maddison (Historical Statistics), IMF and ETLA

36 Industrial Production Development by Year
Source: Macrobond

37 The Big Challenge for Finland after 2008

38 Finnish Exports up to EUR 30 Billion Short of Annual Target Level
Export of goods and services by quarter, billion euros, at current prices 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Working day and seasonally adjusted index. Latest information October-December 2014. Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts

39 Finnish Exports Lagging Behind Competitors
Source: Macrobond

40 The Share of Industry in GDP in Finland 1900-2013
*) During industry covers also mines, energy, water and refuse collection sectors. Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts

41 Finland’s Industrial Production and Exports Will not Regain the Level of 2008 with the Present Production Capacity Finland’s production capasity has decreased over 20 % -21% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Working hours and seasonally adjusted time series. Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts, Industrial volume index

42 Growth of Public Debt and Tax Rate Out of Control
Increased cost burden requires cuts to public sector Source: Macrobond

43 Industrial Investments Should be Increased
Industrial fixed and R&D Investments in Finland Million euros, at current prices Source: Statistics Finland, Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey (June 2014)

44 Upswing of Investments Required in Finland
Companies’ fixed investments Index, 2005=100 Source: OECD, Economic Outlook 2014

45 Turning Point of Productivity Development in Finland in 2008 After 2008 Finland has lost considerable volume production in electronics, forest and machinery industries** **) The structure of current industry does not enable the similar productivity development as during the years *) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows (the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked. Value added = turnover – purchasing of materials and services Value added = labour costs + rents + depreciations + profits Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts

46 Unit Labour Costs at the National Economy Level
Labour costs / productivity, including the effective exchange rates 2005,I =100 Finland’s cost competitiveness declines Finland’s cost competitiveness improves 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 *) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 20 to 30 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy. Latest information III/2014. Source: European Central Bank

47 Compact of Growth and Jobs Has at the Most Slight Effect on Finland’s Cost Competitiveness Finland’s relative unit labour costs compared to Germany Source: Confederation of Finnish Industries

48 What should be done? Support the renewal of the industry
Taxes should support growth and investment in Finland Support decision making in companies related to compensation and working time No new European nor national burdens on companies, which are deteriorating the competitiveness

49 Long-Term Outlook and Challenges
Global Structural Change Set to Continue Apace Industrial production and services will relocate to rapidly developing economic areas Strong growth, large markets, cheap labour and increasing expertise will increase the attractiveness of these regions. Competition over Skills and Raw Materials Set to Increase Due to an increase in retirement, the sector’s annual recruitment need in Finland will rise considerably in the coming years. The availability of reasonably-priced energy also threatens to become an investment bottleneck in Finland Combating Climate Change A challenge as costs are set to grow faster than in competitor countries An opportunity for new environmental and energy technologies

50 The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries

51 The Federation Of Finnish Technology Industries Strategy 2014 –2015
A Pioneer Advancing Technology Finland! Competitiveness and renewal Competitive business environment Innovation to drive international operations Expertise and competences to drive growth and employment Efficiency and new business through digitalisation Reform of labour markets Export-sector to drive revival of cost competitiveness Increase in company-specific solutions Strike-free environment Engine of growth and success

52 Competitiveness – Renewal – Reform of labour markets
Operational model 2014 Advancing Technology Finland Competitiveness – Renewal – Reform of labour markets Industrial Policy Innovation Environment Digitalisation and growth Labour Markets CEO Jorma Turunen Eeva-Liisa Inkeroinen Sanna Rauhansalo Mervi Karikorpi Jukka Viitasaari Coordination of public affairs Energy politics Sustainability Logistics Business law Innovation, research and education policy Innovation networks and business development Foresight Collaboration between industry and educational institutions ICT 2015 Internet of things Cyber security activities Real Time Economy Labour market policy Collective agreements Economic forecasts Guidance and training on employment issues Mechanical Engineering Ilkka Niemelä Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry Jukka Viitasaari Metals Industry Kimmo Järvinen ( >) Information Technology Consulting Engineering Matti Mannonen Branch Networks Ilkka Niemelä Branch groups Branch associations Security of supply SMEs and Regional Activity Eeva-Liisa Inkeroinen Regional Activity and Services Eeva-Liisa Inkeroinen SME Committee Aluetoimistot Regional Offices Yrittäjävaliokunta Piiriyhdistysyhteistyö Cooperation with district associations Communications Nora Elers Communications Nora Elers PR Image and brand Website and publications Finance and Administration Esko Keskinen Teknologiainfo Teknova Oy HR Finance Information management Technology Industries of Finland Centennial Foundation Laura Juvonen

53 The Federation’s Member Companies 2013
Number of enterprises 1,612 Number of personnel 186,723 1–249 employees 500–999 employees 250–499 employees 1000– employees Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries

54 The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2013
Number of enterprises 1,463 Number of personnel / 1–19 employees 50–99 employees 20–49 employees 100–249 employees Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries

55 Technology Is Everywhere
55

56 The Technology Industry is also about Services
56

57 Segmentation of Member Companies The ‘segmentation model’ is used for developing member services
Multinational enterprises in Finland Finnish blue chip enterprises Finnish internationalis ing enterprises Small local enterprises Units in Finland are part of a multinational enterprise with headquarters situated outside Finland, foreign ownership > 50% The enterprise’s headquarters and/or roots are in Finland, but its operation is very international and its area of expertise broad A Finnish enterprise that has international operations and/or the ability and resources to grow internationally The enterprise operates in Finland and often at a local level. Its activities are usually focused on a certain area of expertise Share of total membership 14% (200 companies), 17% of employees Typical size of enterprise 160 employees Examples: ABB, AGCO, Fujitsu, IBM, Logica, Microsoft, Norilsk Nickel Share of total membership 1% (11 companies), 30% of employees Typical size of enterprise 5,200 employees (in Finland) Examples: Cargotec, KONE, Konecranes, Metso, Nokia,Outokumpu, Tieto, Wärtsilä Share of total membership 1 % (11 companies), 30 % of employees Typical size of enterprise 5 200 employees (in Finland) Examples: Cargotec, KONE, Konecranes, Metso, Nokia,Outokumpu, Rautaruukki, Tieto, Wärtsilä Share of total membership 24 % (345 companies), 35 % of employees Typical size of enterprise employees Examples: Basware, Ensto, F-Secure, Hollming, Polar, Ponsse, Suunto Share of total membership 24% (345 companies), 35% of employees Typical size of enterprise employees Examples: Basware, Ensto, F-Secure, Hollming, Polar, Ponsse, Suunto Share of total membership 60% (860 companies), 17% of employees Typical size of enterprise 35 employees Examples: Hakaniemen Metalli, Hellmanin Konepaja

58 The Federation Promotes Entrepreneurship
The Federation - creating a competitive business environment Promotes the interests of SMEs Supports expansion abroad Influences legislation Influences trade and industrial policy Promotes a competitive tax system Sub-sector and specialist groups Manage sub-sector specific questions

59 Working to Improve the Attractiveness of the Sector
The Federation Provides information on jobs and training within the sector for teachers, parents and young people Promotes collaboration between companies and schools and universities Works to enhance the image of the sector.

60 The Federation Is Here to Serve
Provides labour market services and strives to reshape working life: Guidance on employment issues Training and coaching Collective bargaining Improving productivity Influencing EU decision-making Publishes professional literature, economic forecasts and statistics and arranges seminars Provides legal services

61 Sub-sectors

62 Mechanical Engineering
55 per cent of personnel employed in Finland 70-80 per cent of sales from the EU and neighbouring areas Urbanisation, and expansion in the rapidly developing economies the motor for growth Company presence in these areas to continue to increase Increased R&D investment and higher automation in production required to improve competitiveness High skilled and educated personnel needed to replace retiring employees fixed-investment products: machinery, metal products, vehicles

63 Electronics and the Electro-technical Industry
Strong commitment to R&D in many fields over 10 per cent of turnover Exports account for over 80 per cent of sales Industry plays a vital role in the development of the internet of things (sensors collecting data) Competitiveness of enterprises in Finland dependent upon: availability of university-level experts effective commercial exploitation of research finding the right niche data and communications equipment, electrical devices, and instruments

64 The Metals Industry Rapidly growing economies maintaining high demand for metals and metal-based solutions. Exports account for 80 per cent of sales Competitiveness of enterprises in Finland dependent upon: the availability of a sufficiently skilled workforce keeping up research of a high standard reasonably-priced energy a competitive business environment in the EU, especially regarding climate and environmental policy reliable and reasonably-priced logistics Steel products, non-ferrous metals, metal based solutions, castings

65 Information Technology
Thanks to digitalisation, demand for IT solutions is growing in all sectors of society IT solutions are needed for example in gaming industry, clean tech and health technology Finnish IT sector’s clients predominantly Finnish Growth of the sector in Finland requires a new customer-oriented approach from the sector’s enterprises education of the existing customer base new customers growth in the size of enterprises strong internationalisation skilled workforce IT solutions and services

66 Consulting Engineering
Companies are experts and designers in investment and development for industry, society and construction Competitiveness in Europe is good, global markets require new approaches Consulting engineering services are an important part of industrial company networks Over 60 percent of the employees have university degree education Competitiveness of the sector require education and expert knowledge international expertise and networking investments and innovative solutions procurement emphasis on expertise and quality Knowledge intensive services for industry, society and construction


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