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All expressed opinions are of the authors

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1 All expressed opinions are of the authors
Reliability of estimates in socio-demographic groups with small samples D.Buono & A.Bikauskaite 15 March 2017, NTTS, Brussels All expressed opinions are of the authors

2 Why interested in SAE? European regional policies defining the variables of interest Small sample sizes by some breakdowns Reliable data breakdown demanded by policy makers and customers

3 Indicators of interest: ARPT

4 Estimation methods

5 tools and methods used Empirical Bayes (EB) method based on the nested error model Package: sae.R Functions: direct ebBHF pbmseBHF Hierarchical Bayes (HB) method based on the Fay-Herriot model Package: hbsae.R fSAE fSAE.Area

6 Application: Target and data
Target: Calculate direct and indirect at-risk-of-poverty rate estimates by socio-demographic breakdowns Data sources: Survey on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) and Census data of some EU countries in 2011 Sample: divided in 18 disjoint socio-demographic groups of small and large sizes Auxiliary variables: unit level information on economic activity status and highest level of education attained

7 Application: Results

8 Learnings and future work
SAE techniques improve reliability of estimates Solves the issue of no respondent above/below the threshold Increase data availability Further investigation is needed to assess the most appropriate estimator Enlargement of number auxiliary variables Harmonization of practices Extension to additional countries and socio-demographic groups


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