1. The Federal R&D Budget: Process and Perspectives
Matt Hourihan
October 30, 2017
For the American Institute for Medical and Biological Engineering
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

2. The Federal Budget is Kind Of a Big Deal
“Politics is who gets what, when, and how.” - Harold Lasswell
“Budgeting is about values, and it’s about choices.” – Rep. Rosa DeLauro
Every dollar in the budget has its claimants!
Negotiation between competing interests (and their proxies) in a decentralized system
Negotiation = tradeoffs
Major impact for R&D and innovation: most basic research, and most university research, is federally funded

3. Phase 4: Execute the fiscal year’s budget (not shown)
Budget Process in Regular Order (a.k.a. “how it’s supposed to work”): Three Years, Four Phases
Phase 4: Execute the fiscal year’s budget (not shown)
Arranged by fiscal year (October 1 to September 30)

4. The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 1: Internal agency discussions and planning
Strategic plans, staff retreats, program assessments
OMB is present throughout
Agencies deliver budget justifications to OMB (early fall)

5. Plans, Goals, Evaluations, Constituents
Agency Budgeting
Coordination and Top-Down Guidance
One Agency’s R&D Budget
Plans, Goals, Evaluations, Constituents
Decentralized planning and scientific input

6. The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 2: OMB performs multi-stage review, responds to agencies (“passbacks”)
Agencies and agency heads can and do negotiate
Budget proposals are finalized in January
President presents the proposed budget to Congress early February

9. The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 3: Congress gets involved
Receives and reacts to President’s budget, holds hearings
Approves budget resolution (simple majority)
Writes and passes appropriations

10. Natural Resources Cmte
House
Budget
Cmte
Natural Resources Cmte
Approps Cmte
Subc on Interior + Env
Subc on Energy + Water
Energy + Commerce Cmte
Senate
Energy and Nat Res Cmte
Env and Pub Works Cmte
And many others…
Also revenue (tax) committees (House Ways and Means, Senate Finance)

11. Natural Resources Cmte
House
Budget
Cmte
Natural Resources Cmte
Approps Cmte
Subc on Interior + Env
Subc on Energy + Water
Energy + Commerce Cmte
Senate
Energy and Nat Res Cmte
Env and Pub Works Cmte
Budget Committees

12. The Budget Resolution Established by 1974 Congressional Budget Act
Overall framework
Discretionary spending
Also revenue, deficit, and total spending targets
Also non-binding recommendations from majority
Isn’t law and can’t change law, but can set up reconciliation instructions
The budget resolution is a political document
(and therefore, often not passed!)

14. Two Spending Categories: Discretionary vs. Mandatory
Mandatory Spending (aka Direct Spending)
Mostly entitlements, mostly on “autopilot”
Potential for high political sensitivity = “third rail”
New spending requires new legislation from the authorizing committees
Discretionary Spending:
Adjusted annually through appropriations bills via the appropriations committees
Easy (nondefense) targets?
i.e. Sequestration
Vast majority of federal R&D is discretionary

17. Natural Resources Cmte
House
Budget
Cmte
Natural Resources Cmte
Approps Cmte
Subc on Interior + Env
Subc on Energy + Water
Energy + Commerce Cmte
Senate
Energy and Nat Res Cmte
Env and Pub Works Cmte
Appropriations Committees

18. From Budget to Appropriations Committees
Budget Resolution limits  Approps Committees  Subcommittees [302(b) allocations]
These caps remain in place all the way to floor, but can be revised as needed
Twelve Appropriations Subcommittees
Eight responsible for >$1 billion of R&D
Led by “Cardinals”
Committee Chairs: Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Sen. Thad Cochran (MS)
Ranking Members: Rep. Nita Lowey (NY), Sen. Patrick Leahy (VT)
Appropriators will often have their own priorities
All politics is local
“President proposes, Congress disposes”
Getting bills that can pass

19. Labor, HHS, Education Subcommittee
House
Senate
Chair
Tom Cole (OK)
Roy Blunt (MO)
Ranking Member
Rosa DeLauro (CT)
Patty Murray (WA)
Deep divisions over public health programs, education, DOL
Everybody likes NIH lately
House: +3.2% (+$1.1 billion)
Senate: +5.6% (+$2.0 billion)
Especially Alzheimer’s research
F&A changes prohibited, Fogarty protected
Includes 21st Century Cures funding
Others:
BioShield and BARDA flat
IES flat or trimmed
CDC cut
Opioids funding

20. Energy & Water Subcommittee
House
Senate
Chair
Mike Simpson (ID)
Lamar Alexander (TN)
Ranking Member
Marcy Kaptur (OH)
Dianne Feinstein (CA)
Tradeoffs: Balancing basic research and facilities, labs, tech portfolio, NNSA; also Army Corps, Bureau of Reclamation
NNSA prioritized
Office of Science: flat in House, +3% in Senate
ASCR boosted in both (exascale, facilities)
BES: facilities prioritized over research
Variation on Fusion Science
Applied tech: Mixed reductions
ARPA-E zeroed in House
Very mixed for EERE, Fossil, Nuclear, grid
Hubs, manufacturing institutes, other research centers mostly preserved

21. Commerce, Justice, Science Subcommittee
House
Senate
Chair
John Culberson (TX)
Richard Shelby (AL)
Ranking Member
Jose Serrano (NY)
Jeanne Shaheen (NH)
Tradeoffs: Balancing Justice, Commerce, NASA, NSF; smaller bills this year
NSF: Cut by ~2% in both
House: no funding for vessels; physical and biological disciplines targeted on floor
Senate: research, EHR trimmed
NASA: recent priority, but modest this year
Variation in Science Directorate funding; Exploration favored; Education protected
NOAA: Sea Grant, most research protected
Climate research cut by 19% in House
Major differences re: Polar Follow-On
NIST: Senate more generous; labs fare better than industrial innovation programs
Census: boosted by 4%, but is it enough?

22. The Federal Budget Cycle
Approps committees write/approve 12 appropriations bills
Bills have to pass both chambers
Can be amended (always subject to caps)
Funding changes or policy riders
Differences are resolved in conference committee
Can be filibustered

23. Other Legislative Appropriations Tools
Continuing Resolutions
…with depressing regularity
Uncertainty? New starts?
Omnibus
Or minibus, or megabus, or cromnibus, or…
Supplementals
i.e. Zika, Ebola, Hurricane Sandy
Also war funding
Not subject to spending caps

24. The Federal Budget Cycle
Gov’t is usually working on 3 budgets at any given time
(However, presidential transitions complicate things)

25. Looking Ahead FY18 spending caps: Where do we end up?
House and Senate have budget resolutions, but…
Will need to work with Senate Democrats on any deal to change the caps
FY18 appropriations:
CR in place until December
House finished, Senate close
Will the White House ultimately go along with any of this?
Signaled willingness to sign House omnibus
Implications of other policy issues: tax reform, border wall, healthcare, etc?

33. Progress to Date On R&D-Relevant Spending Bills
House Floor
Senate Committee
Agriculture X
Defense
Commerce, Justice, Science
Energy & Water
Homeland Security
Interior & Environment
Labor, HHS, Education
Milcon, Veterans
State
Transportation, HUD

36. mhouriha@aaas.org 202-326-6607 http://www.aaas.org/rd
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