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Federal R&D in FY 2017 Matt Hourihan October 3, 2016

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1 Federal R&D in FY 2017 Matt Hourihan October 3, 2016
For the ASU DARPA Young Faculty Awardees AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

2 The Federal Budget is Kind Of a Big Deal
“Politics is who gets what, when, and how.” - Harold Lasswell “Budgeting is about values, and it’s about choices.” – Rep. Rosa DeLauro Every dollar in the budget has its claimants! Negotiation between competing interests (and their proxies) in a decentralized system Major impact for R&D and innovation: most basic research, and most university research, is federally funded

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16 From Budget to Appropriations Committees
Budget Resolution limits  Approps Committees  Subcommittees [302(b) allocations] These caps remain in place all the way to floor, but can be revised as needed Twelve Appropriations Subcommittees Nine subcommittees responsible for at least $1 billion of R&D Approps led by “Cardinals” Committee Chairs: Rep. Hal Rogers (KY), Sen. Thad Cochran (MS) Ranking Members: Rep. Nita Lowey (NY), Sen. Barbara Mikulski (MD) Appropriators will often have their own priorities “There are three parties: Democrats, Republicans, and appropriators” “President proposes, Congress disposes”

17 Defense Bill Over $500 billion
House Senate Chair Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ) Thad Cochran (MS) Ranking Member Pete Visclosky (IN) Dick Durbin (IL) Over $500 billion Tradeoffs: balancing force modernization, readiness, personnel costs, near-term versus long-term RDT&E (and medical research) Offset Strategy What to do about war funding?

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19 Agency Highlights: NIH
$33.1 billion program level (+$825 million, +2.6%) OR $31.3 billion program level (-$1 billion, -3.1%) Of the $1.825 billion in mandatory spending: $825 million for cancer research, BRAIN Initiative, Precision Medicine Remaining $1 billion to keep all other ICs flat 17.5% success rate in FY17

20 Labor, HHS, Education >$150 billion
House Senate Chair Tom Cole (OK) Roy Blount (MO) Ranking Member Rosa DeLauro (CT) Patty Murray (WA) >$150 billion Deep divisions – especially Obamacare Usually one of the hardest to pass, thus usually one of the last out of the gate Everybody likes NIH lately Especially Alzheimer’s research Cancer moonshot? Success rates?

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22 Commerce, Justice, Science
House Senate Chair John Culberson (TX) Richard Shelby (AL) Ranking Member Mike Honda (CA) Barbara Mikulski (MD) ~$55 billion Tradeoffs: Balancing Depts. of Justice and Commerce (including NOAA and NIST), NASA, NSF Among science programs, NASA’s star is somewhat ascendant NSF: Modest year all around Social and geo science funding? Facilities?

23 Looking Ahead Good approps progress but regular order broke down, because of course it did CR through Dec. 9 Included Zika funding And full-year MilCon Next: omnibus (?) negotiations, to lead to legislation in late fall March: Debt ceiling. Ugh. FY 2018: Sequester-level spending returns, maybe

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25 For more info…


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