1. International Futures: Choices in the Face of Uncertainty
Barry B. Hughes

2. Chapter 2: Global Change
Types of Growth:
Exponential Growth
S-Curve
Bell Curve
Linear Threshold Change

3. Demographic Change also known as global population growth
grows at annual rate of 2.0 percent
usually follows the shape of the S-shape curve

4. Economic Change
listed in terms of gross world product (goods and services)
exhibits an exponential pattern of growth
geographic region and economic sector

5. Change in Energy physical energy feeds the human economy
takes on the shape of a bell-shaped curve
fossil fuels one of our main resources
U.S. oil production continues to decline

6. Change in Agriculture and Food
ethical questions being asked
gross national product
calories per capita daily
global food production rates

7. Environmental Change human impact on the environment
dangers of carbon dioxide
the rainforests and what is happening to it

8. Technological Change takes on the pattern of an envelope curve
exhibits exponential patterns
transportation speeds and their advancements

9. Sociopolitical Change
changes that affect the lives of individuals and in social organizations
GNP, again
education
urbanization, or inter-human contact