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Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Spring 2017 Room 150 Harvill Building 9:00 - 9:50 Mondays, Wednesdays.

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Presentation on theme: "Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Spring 2017 Room 150 Harvill Building 9:00 - 9:50 Mondays, Wednesdays."— Presentation transcript:

1 Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Spring 2017 Room 150 Harvill Building 9:00 - 9:50 Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays. Welcome

2 A note on doodling

3 Schedule of readings Before next exam (February 10)
Please read chapters in OpenStax textbook Please read Appendix D, E & F online On syllabus this is referred to as online readings 1, 2 & 3 Please read Chapters 1, 5, 6 and 13 in Plous Chapter 1: Selective Perception Chapter 5: Plasticity Chapter 6: Effects of Question Wording and Framing Chapter 13: Anchoring and Adjustment

4 Homework Assignment 7 & 8 Please complete the worksheet by hand
Please complete the memorandum Due: Friday, February 3rd

5 Homework Assignment 7 & 8 Please complete the worksheet by hand
Please complete the memorandum Due: Friday, February 3rd

6 By the end of lecture today 1/30/17
Use this as your study guide By the end of lecture today 1/30/17 Characteristics of a distribution Central Tendency Dispersion Measures of variability Range Standard deviation Variance Memorizing the four definitional formulae

7 Lab sessions Everyone will want to be enrolled
in one of the lab sessions Labs continue this week

8 Project 1 - Likert Scale - Correlations - Comparing two means (bar graph)
Questions?

9

10

11 Overview Frequency distributions
The normal curve Mean, Median, Mode, Trimmed Mean Standard deviation, Variance, Range Mean Absolute Deviation Skewed right, skewed left unimodal, bimodal, symmetric

12 Frequency distributions
The normal curve

13 Some distributions are more
Variability What might this be? Some distributions are more variable than others Let’s say this is our distribution of heights of men on U of A baseball team 5’ 5’6” 6’ 6’6” 7’ 5’ 5’6” 6’ 6’6” 7’ Mean is 6 feet tall What might this be? 5’ 5’6” 6’ 6’6” 7’

14 Dispersion: Variability
Some distributions are more variable than others 6’ 7’ 5’ 5’6” 6’6” A The larger the variability the wider the curve tends to be The smaller the variability the narrower the curve tends to be B Range: The difference between the largest and smallest observations C Range for distribution A? Range for distribution B? Range for distribution C?

15 84” – 71” = 13” Wildcats Basketball team:
Tallest player = 84” (same as 7’0”) (Lauri Markkanen and Dusan Ristic) Shortest player = 71” (same as 5’11”) (Parker Jackson-Cartwritght) Fun fact: Mean is 78 Range: The difference between the largest and smallest scores 84” – 71” = 13” xmax - xmin = Range Range is 13”

16 No reference is made to numbers between the min and max
Baseball Fun fact: Mean is 72 Wildcats Baseball team: Tallest player = 77” (same as 6’5”) (Kevin Ginkel) Shortest player = 68” (same as 5’8”) (Justin Behnke and Cody Ramer & Zach Gibbons) Range: The difference between the largest and smallest score 77” – 68” = 9” xmax - xmin = Range Range is 9” (77” – 68” ) Please note: No reference is made to numbers between the min and max

17 Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team
Deviation scores Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team Diallo is 0” Diallo is 6’0” Diallo’s deviation score is 0 6’0” – 6’0” = 0 Diallo 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4”

18 Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team
Deviation scores Diallo is 0” Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team Preston is 2” Diallo is 6’0” Diallo’s deviation score is 0 Preston is 6’2” Preston Preston’s deviation score is 2” 6’2” – 6’0” = 2 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4”

19 Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team
Deviation scores Diallo is 0” Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team Preston is 2” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Diallo is 6’0” Diallo’s deviation score is 0 Hunter Preston is 6’2” Mike Preston’s deviation score is 2” Mike is 5’8” Mike’s deviation score is -4” 5’8” – 6’0” = -4 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4” Hunter is 5’10” Hunter’s deviation score is -2” 5’10” – 6’0” = -2

20 Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team
Deviation scores Diallo is 0” Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team Preston is 2” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” Diallo’s deviation score is 0 David Preston’s deviation score is 2” Mike’s deviation score is -4” Shea Hunter’s deviation score is -2” Shea is 6’4” Shea’s deviation score is 4” 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4” 6’4” – 6’0” = 4 David is 6’ 0” David’s deviation score is 0 6’ 0” – 6’0” = 0

21 Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team
Deviation scores Diallo is 0” Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team Preston is 2” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” Diallo’s deviation score is 0 David Preston’s deviation score is 2” Mike’s deviation score is -4” Shea Hunter’s deviation score is -2” Shea’s deviation score is 4” David’s deviation score is 0” 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4”

22 Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team
Deviation scores Diallo is 0” Let’s build it up again… U of A Baseball team Preston is 2” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4”

23 Standard deviation: The average amount
Deviation scores Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4”

24 Standard deviation: The average amount
Deviation scores Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4”

25 How far away is each score from the mean?
Diallo is 0” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” Preston is 2” Deviation scores (x - µ) Deviation scores: The amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean (x - µ) How far away is each score from the mean? Mean Diallo Deviation score Mike Preston Shea (x - µ) = ? Hunter Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” Diallo How do we find each deviation score? (x - µ) Preston Hunter Diallo Mike Preston Find distance of each person from the mean (subtract their score from mean)

26 How far away is each score from the mean?
Diallo is 0” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” Preston is 2” Deviation scores (x - µ) Deviation scores: The amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean (x - µ) How far away is each score from the mean? Mean Diallo Deviation score Preston Shea (x - µ) = ? Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” Remember It’s relative to the mean Based on difference from the mean

27 How far away is each score from the mean?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Deviation scores (x - µ) Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” How far away is each score from the mean? Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 Mean David is 0” Add up Deviation scores Diallo Preston Σ (x - µ) = ? Shea Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” How do we find the average height? N Σx = average height How do we find the average spread? Σ(x - x) = 0 Σ(x - µ) N = average deviation Σ(x - µ) = 0

28 How far away is each score from the mean?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Deviation scores (x - µ) Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” How far away is each score from the mean? Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 Mean David is 0” Diallo Preston Σ (x - µ) = ? Shea Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” Square the deviations Big problem Σ(x - x) 2 2 Σ(x - x) = 0 Σ(x - µ) N Σ(x - µ) 2 Σ(x - µ) = 0

29 Writing Assignment: Let’s try two problems

30 Standard deviation (definitional formula) - Let’s do one
This numerator is called “sum of squares” Each of these are deviation scores _ X - µ _ 1 - 5 = - 4 (X - µ)2 16 Step 1: Find the mean _ X_ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 45 Step 2: Subtract the mean from each score Step 3: Square the deviations Step 4: Find standard deviation

31 Standard deviation (definitional formula) - Let’s do one
This numerator is called “sum of squares” Each of these are deviation scores _ X - µ _ 1 - 5 = - 4 2 - 5 = - 3 3 - 5 = - 2 4 - 5 = - 1 5 - 5 = 0 6 - 5 = 1 7 - 5 = 2 8 - 5 = 3 9 - 5 = 4 (X - µ)2 16 9 4 1 60 Step 1: Find the mean _ X_ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 45 ΣX = 45 ΣX / N = 45/9 = 5 Step 2: Subtract the mean from each score Step 3: Square the deviations Step 4: Find standard deviation This is the Variance! a) 60 / 9 = b) square root of = Σ(x - µ) = 0 This is the standard deviation!

32 Standard deviation - Let’s do one
Definitional formula How many kids? Step 1: Find the mean X - µ_ 3 - 3 = 0 (X - µ)2 _ X_ 3 2 1 4 8 Step 2: Subtract the mean from each score (deviations) Step 3: Square the deviations Step 4: Add up the squared deviations Step 5: Find standard deviation Σ(x - µ) = 0 Σx = 30 Σ(x - µ)2 = 38

33 Standard deviation - Let’s do one
Definitional formula How many kids? Step 1: Find the mean X - µ_ 3 - 3 = 0 2 - 3 = -1 1 - 3 = -2 4 - 3 = 1 8 - 3 = 5 (X - µ)2 1 4 25 _ X_ 3 2 1 4 8 = 30 = 30/10 = 3 Step 2: Subtract the mean from each score (deviations) Step 3: Square the deviations Step 4: Add up the squared deviations Step 5: Find standard deviation Σ(x - µ) = 0 Σx = 30 Σ(x - µ)2 = 38 This is the Variance! a) 38 / 10 = 3.8 b) square root of 3.8 = 1.95 This is the standard deviation!

34 Thank you! See you next time!!


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