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Jungwei Fan Yves Lussier The University of Arizona
Word-of-Mouth Innovation: Hypothesis generation for supplement repurposing based on consumer reviews Session #S106 Jungwei Fan Yves Lussier The University of Arizona
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Disclosure The authors and their spouses/partners have no relevant relationships with commercial interests to disclose. AMIA | amia.org
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Motivation Economy in discovering new use of existing substances
Consumer reviews are massive but overlooked in repurposing Systematic mining methods to facilitate: Identifying repurposable candidates Generating biological hypotheses AMIA | amia.org
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Why dietary supplements?
68% of Americans use dietary supplements 66% of those users between age plan to use more Diversely affecting health: minerals, vitamins, amino acids, enzymes, herbals and botanicals Popular source for searching “analogues” of already repositioned chemicals (e.g., sildenafil) AMIA | amia.org
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Why consumer reviews? Huge consumer base
e.g., Amazon.com has >300 million users and $136 billion net sales Wide coverage of health products 19,619 Multi & prenatal vitamins 42,519 Herbal supplements 12,370 Weight loss products Currency of the data Constantly growing Reflecting what people use AMIA | amia.org
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Methods Regex-screened 2,982,326 Amazon reviews on health and personal care products \\b((unexpected|unintended|unanticipated|surprising)\\s+ (effects?|benefits?))\\b Manually analyzed the TPs and FPs Biological hypothesis generation by looking up databases: Diseases – GWAS Catalog Supplements – Comparative Toxicogenomics Database (CTD) AMIA | amia.org
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Analysis of the matched
Category Count (%) Example TP 77 (45.6%) Arginine helped quit smoke by putting off desire for cigarettes Non-dietary 76 (45.0%) Heart rate monitor, electric toothbrush, etc. Neutral (or debatable) effect 10 (6.0%) Enhanced flavor, lost appetite… Unspecified effect 6 (3.4%) “If you do a little research you may find some surprising benefits to xylitol” Among the true positives, there were five substance-effect associations supported by more than one review. For example, unexpected weight loss from using products of vitamin B2. Although infrequent, those irrelevant cases indicate the regex-based approach may still pick up some noise. AMIA | amia.org
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TP examples Product Unexpected effect Hair regrowth tablets
Everyone around me was being bit (by mosquitos) and I wasn't bit once Ashwagandha extract capsule Took away the negative symptoms of IBS (with constipation) of which I have suffered for 33 years Inositol powder A significant reduction in the number of heart palpitations I have Resveratrol capsule A rather stubborn bout of eczema on my feet cleared up after being there for two years By inspecting the true positive reviews and product information, we found that about a half of the consumer-claimed “unexpected” benefits might actually be expected. Given the subjective nature, it is not uncommon that the reviewers were surprised due to lack of domain knowledge or just did not pay attention to the product labels. Ashwagandha extract capsules (marketed as a general healthy herb supplement) Inositol powder (marketed for liver function support) Resveratrol (marketed as general healthy juice capsule) AMIA | amia.org
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Biological underpinning?
Ashwagandha IBS Gene ID: Symbol: CAT Gene ID: Symbol: SPATA5 Gene ID: Symbol: GFAP Gene ID: Symbol: HES6 Gene ID: Symbol: HSPA2 Gene ID: Symbol: PER2 Gene ID: Symbol: HSPA9 Gene ID: Symbol: PCDH15 Gene ID: Symbol: NCAM1 Gene ID: Symbol: KDELR2 Gene ID: Symbol: SOD1 AMIA | amia.org
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Biological underpinning?
Figure 1 illustrates a couple of the GO Biological Process terms between SOD1 (ashwagandha) and PER2 (IBS), with information-theoretic similarity scores computed using our previously published method. For GO Molecular Function terms, we also observed overlaps such as protein binding (GO: ) shared between PER2 (IBS) and HSPA9 (ashwagandha). AMIA | amia.org
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Consumer reviews as innovation driver
Systematic integration of consumer experience with scientific knowledge bases to inspire pharmacogenomics Useful signals existed in consumer reviews way before formal studies/publications Probiotics and sleep improvement (2013 2016) Recombinant hGH and cognitive enhancement (2006 2013) Patentable ideas may exist in consumer reviews and not reported by research literature Resveratrol for treating eczema In 2013, a consumer reported eczema was resolved by dietary resveratrol, which does not seem to have been reported in literature. Interestingly, a US patent was filed in 2001 for external use of resveratrol for treating exfoliative eczema, acne, and psoriasis. Due to less stringent regulation, this example suggests that supplement-based intellectual property could be nimbly registered as soon as a promising effect is found. AMIA | amia.org
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Potential model of citizen science
Encourage lay people to help research studies Diverse products, many consumers, and constant monitoring Supplement repurposing as “crowd-sourced observational trial” Informatics to help !! Data integration Semantic harmonization Workflow automation Consumer engagement/training An interesting observation was how some consumers described in reviews that they tested the effect via self-controlled experiment, i.e., verifying the effect by stopping use and resuming again. This suggests that, with moderate scientific training, we could further improve the quality of data collected from general consumers. AMIA | amia.org
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Limitations The review curation was done by only one annotator
Did not perform formal evaluation with a reference standard Some reviews were anecdotal by nature and of varying quality dependent on the consumer’s background Multi-ingredient supplements posed challenges in pinpointing the exact active element that caused the effect AMIA | amia.org
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Conclusion Proof-of-concept study exercised a workflow of mining unexpected benefits from massive consumer reviews 45.6% of the 169 mined reviews contained user-claimed unexpected benefits from dietary supplements Some of the cases demonstrated potential value for driving repurposing innovation The hypothesis enrichment derived informative (possible) functional association between a supplement and a disease AMIA | amia.org
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AMIA is the professional home for more than 5,400 informatics professionals, representing frontline clinicians, researchers, public health experts and educators who bring meaning to data, manage information and generate new knowledge across the research and healthcare enterprise. AMIA | amia.org
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Email me at: fanj@email.arizona.edu
Thank you! me at:
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