1. Mapping and Gap Analysis
Summarised Preliminary Results

2. Macroeconomic Context of Early Recovery
Growth impact estimates lowered – but still substantial (Output losses of ≈2% of GDP est. in current year due to floods)
Yields of key crops boosted (wheat, sunflower, canola, sugarcane)
Fiscal impact absorbed with relative ease due to foreign exchange inflow and re-appropriation of PSDP and ADP
Vulnerability of affected population has increased (53% of HHs reported % decline in household incomes)
Spike in flood-related food inflation for several months
Possibly increased persistence of food + overall inflation

3. Priority Areas for Early Recovery
Regeneration of agricultural economy – Kharif crop and the next Rabi
Provision of shelter to the most vulnerable in the worst affected areas
Restoration of public sector infrastructure and services
Continued focus on the most vulnerable

4. Purpose of Gap Analysis
Sector-wise and Theme-wise disaggregated data on ER needs, response so far, and Gaps
Financial data about ER needs and updated funding pledges and receipts
A Strategic Early Recovery Plan

5. Principles for Prioritisation in Gap Identification
Relevance (Concentration on ER, excluding relief, longer term reconstruction and development)
Focus (Concentration on the most vulnerable sections of the affected population)
Capacity (Availability of Human and Physical resources nationally)
Timeliness (Possible for implementation before the end of 2011)

6. Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs and Prioritised Needs (US$)
Sector/Theme
Total ER Needs
Prioritised ER Needs
Food & Agriculture
436,700,000
176,550,000
Housing
349,190,565
174,595,282
Non Farm Livelihoods
85,930,552
15,234,155
Community Infrastructure
92,005,877
11,323,000
Governance
13,536,000
8,536,000
Education
38,298,486
Health & Nutrition
86,365,884
49,000,000
Water & Sanitation
138,454,000
106,630,000
Gender
500,000
Protection
14,000,600
Environment
21,000,000
5,020,500
Disaster Risk Reduction
10,665,000
TOTAL
1,138,496,364
610,353,023

7. Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs and Prioritised Needs (US$)

8. Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs among Sectors (US$)

9. Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs among Thematic Areas (US$)