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Reviewing the 2016 Election Stephen J. Farnsworth, Ph.D.

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Presentation on theme: "Reviewing the 2016 Election Stephen J. Farnsworth, Ph.D."— Presentation transcript:

1 Reviewing the 2016 Election Stephen J. Farnsworth, Ph.D.
University of Mary Washington @drsfarnsworth

2 How the US Voted, 2016 Versus 2012 Race & Gender
Percent of ‘16 Electorate Clinton Obama Change from ’12 70 White African American Latino Asian American Male Female [2016 Overall Results: Clinton 48 Trump 47.8] [2012 Overall Results: Obama 51 Romney 48] Note: Positive changes are movements towards Clinton and negative changes are away from Clinton Source: Edison Research national exit poll of 24,537 election day and early voters.

3 How the US Voted, 2016 Versus 2012 Income and Religion
Percent of ‘16 Electorate Clinton Obama Change from ’12 36 Less Than $50,000 Income $50,000-99, $100,000 or more Protestant Catholic Jewish Something else None Born again? 26 Yes No Source: Edison Research national exit poll of 24,537 election day and early voters.

4 How the US Voted 2016: Education & Key Issues
Percent of ‘16 Electorate Clinton Trump 18 High School or Less Some College, Associate Degree College graduate Post-graduate study Most Important Issue 52 Economy Immigration Terrorism Foreign Policy Source: Edison Research national exit poll of 24,537 election day and early voters.

5 How the US Voted 2016: Candidate Qualities & Future Expecatations
Percent of ‘16 Electorate Clinton Trump Candidate Qualities that Matter Most 39 Can bring needed change Cares about people like me Has good judgment Has right experience Expect Life for the next generation to be 37 Better Same Worse Source: Edison Research national exit poll of 24,537 election day and early voters.

6 Candidate Evaluations
Q: Who is more honest and trustworthy _______? Clinton Trump October September Source: Washington Post polls of roughly 1,000 adults during the time periods indicated. Q: Percentage of voters who say ____ describes each candidate. Clinton Trump Honest Well-qualified Hard to Like Reckless Source: Pew Research Center Survey of 2,583 adults, October 20-25, 2016.

7 The Key States: 2016 Versus 2012 Electoral Votes Clinton Obama Change from ’12 Last R 29 Florida Pennsylvania Ohio Michigan * Wisconsin Arizona Virginia New Hampshire *State not called, but Trump leads Source: Edison Research national exit poll of 24,537 election day and early voters.

8 US Public Preferences for U.S. Policy, 2016
Top Priority Important 1. Strengthening the nation’s economy 2. Defending country from future terrorist attacks 3. Improving the educational system 4. Improving the job situation 5. Make the Social Security system financially sound 6. Reducing health care costs 7. Make the Medicare system financially sound 8. Reducing crime 9. Reducing the budget deficit 10. Dealing with problems of poor/needy people 11. Dealing with the issue of immigration Strengthening the U.S. military Source: The results here are from a nationwide telephone survey of 2,009 U.S. adults conducted January 7-14, 2016 by the Pew Research Center.

9 International Concerns of Trump & Clinton Supporters
% of Supporters of Trump/Clinton saying ___ is a Major Threat to the US Trump Clinton Islamic militant group in Iraq & Syria, known as ISIS 91 76 Cyber attacks from other countries Large number of refugees leaving Iraq & Syria 74 40 Global economic instability Rapid international spread of infectious diseases China’s emergence as a global power Tensions with Russia Climate Change Source: Pew Research Center. The 2016 results here are from a nationwide telephone survey of 2,008 U.S. adults conducted April , 2016.


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