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Use of Near-Real-Time Data for the Global System

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Presentation on theme: "Use of Near-Real-Time Data for the Global System"— Presentation transcript:

1 Use of Near-Real-Time Data for the Global System

2 GMES Atmospheric Environment Service
MACC – Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate Integrates space-based and in-situ observations of atmospheric composition with state-of-the art atmospheric modelling Provides monitoring and forecasting services for atmospheric composition Helps Europe to respond to climate change and poor air quality

3 provide data & information on
GMES Atmosphere Services related to the chemical and particulate content of the atmosphere Weather services Atmospheric environmental services Climate forcing by gases and aerosols Long-range pollutant transport European air quality Dust outbreaks Solar energy UV radiation • • • Environmental agencies provide data & information on

4 MACC Users MACC mostly provides services targeted on specialized users
Downstream service providers Environmental Agencies Scientists Policy Makers Space Agencies

5 MACC Project Structure

6 MACC Daily Service Provision
Air quality Global Pollution Aerosol UV index

7 Computational approach
Input data Weather, constituents, emissions, land and ocean conditions

8 Computational approach
Input data Weather, constituents, emissions, land and ocean conditions Model

9 Computational approach
Input data Data assimilation Model

10 Computational approach
Model E Model D Model C Model B Model A Model G Input data Data assimilation Model Forecast

11 Global data assimilation
Based on ECMWF’s “Integrated Forecasting System” - IFS CO2 , CH4 and aerosols have been incorporated in the IFS and data assimilation has been developed for AIRS and IASI radiances, SCIAMACHY retrievals, MODIS aerosol optical depth, … GOSAT … IFS also carries O3, CO, NO2, SO2 and HCHO Chemical production and loss come from a coupled CTM, either MOCAGE, MOZART or TM5 Data for assimilation come from GOME, GOME-2, IASI, MIPAS, MLS, MOPITT, OMI, SBUV/2, SCIAMACHY, … Chemistry modules are being built fully into IFS

12 NRT meteorological observations
Meteorological (ECMWF operations) Radiances Atmospheric motion winds Bending angles Radar backscatter GPS bending angles Ozone

13 NRT composition observations
Ozone (O3) EUMETSAT MSG SEVIRI EUMETSAT METOP GOME-2 ESA ERS-2 GOME (KNMI) ESA ENVISAT SCIAMACHY (KNMI) NOAA SBUV-2 NASA AURA OMI/MLS Carbon monoxide (CO) EUMETSAT/CNES METOP IASI (EUMETSAT and CNRS) NASA TERRA MOPITT (NCAR)

14 NRT composition observations
Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) EUMETSAT METOP GOME-2 (EUMETSAT and KNMI) NASA AURA OMI (KNMI) Sulphur dioxide (SO2) ESA ENVISAT SCIAMACHY (BIRA) Aerosol optical depth NASA AQUA/TERRA MODIS

15 Forecasting desert dust events
MACC successfully forecasted high desert dust aerosol loads over the Mediterranean 2 days ahead of time. MACC’s desert dust warning index will be a helpful tool for forecast and health authorities. (Image credit: Jeff Schmaltz, MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA GSFC)

16 Real-time aerosol forecast
MACC dust aerosol optical depth

17 Science Support MACC provides support to scientific aircraft observation campaigns by forecasting constituent concentrations around the proposed flight track. This way, scientists can anticipate what they will likely measure. Carbon monoxide plume from East Asia reaching the Arctic region for a proposed HIPPO campaign flight (red line).

18 Estimating Greenhouse Gas Fluxes
MACC assimilates observations from both satellites and in-situ networks to monitor atmospheric concentrations of CO2 and CH4. Atmospheric CO2 analysis Inferred changes to CO2 fluxes These atmospheric analyses are then used to infer information about the underlying surface fluxes relative to the prior assumptions.

19 Validation of aerosol against AERONET data

20 Site dominated by biomass burning
Validation of aerosol against AERONET data Site dominated by dust Banizoumbou, Niger Site dominated by biomass burning Alta Floresta, Brazil Without assimilation of aerosol data AERONET AERONET MACC total MACC total MACC dust MACC organic PM Aerosol Optical Depth at 550nm With assimilation of MODIS AOD July Aug Sept 2003 July Aug Sept 2003

21 Towards full operations
Consolidate and improve analysis and forecasting systems establish basic operational processes for near-real-time running increase horizontal resolution to 80 km global, 25 km or less regional refine other aspects of the analysis and forecasting systems Monitor the quality of products on a systematic basis Supplement migrated production lines with new services Liaise with agencies to obtain the observations we need Liaise with users to supply the products they need Establish funding and governance for full operations from 2012


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