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¿Qué hay más allá de las trisomías más comunes?
Diagnóstico prenatal no invasivo ¿Qué hay más allá de las trisomías más comunes? Carmina Comas 25 Congreso Nacional SEMEPE. Madrid, octubre 2016 Department of Obstetrics, Gynaecology and Reproduction of Hospital Universitario Quirón Dexeus
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Background Other genetic inhereted disorders Microdeletions cf-DNA MS
Non invasive prenatal screening (NIPS) Background Lo 1997 Devaney 2011, Clausen 2014 Chiu 2011, Ehrich 2011 Palomaki 2012 Canick 2012 Mazloom 2013 Sequenom 2014 Yaron 2015 Lench 2013, You 2014 Lo 2010, Kitzman 2012 Other genetic inhereted disorders cf-DNA MS Microdeletions Trisomy 21 Twins X,Y Rare autosomal trisomies Whole genome Fetal sex Fetal Rh status Trisomy 18,13
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Background 2011 Commercialization
Non invasive prenatal screening (NIPS) for fetal aneuploidies Background NIPT is offered to > 60 countries in six continents. Primer mercat es USA (65%), despres Europa. 2011 Commercialization Global availability NIPT for main autosomal trisomies Allyse M et al. NIPT: a review of international implementation and challenges. International Journal Women’s Health 2015:7;
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Consensus 2016 Update statment
Non invasive prenatal screening (NIPS) for fetal aneuploidies Update statment ACOG/SMFM’s Practice Bulletin 163 May 2016 ACOG/SMFM’s Committee Opinion Sept 2015 ISPD’s Position Satement April 2015 ASHG’s Policy Statement March 2015 “Informing all pregnant women that NIPS is the most sensitive screening option for traditionally screened aneuploidies” Gregg AR et al. NIPS for fetal aneuploidy, 2016 update: a position statement of the ACMGG. Genet Med 2016 On July 28th, the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) released a statement supporting the use of noninvasive prenatal tests (NIPT/NIPS) as an optimal, initial option to screen for specific genetic conditions, such as Trisomy 21, during pregnancy for all women, regardless of maternal age. Growing consensus regarding NIPS for fetal aneuploidies. Fact: meta-analisis de Gil y Nicolaides 2015: Screening for T21 by cfDNA in singletons is significantly superior to all other traditional strategies Condition n DR (%) FPR (%) singletons Trisomy 21 1051 99.2 0.09 Trisomy 18 389 96.3 0.13 Trisomy 13 139 91.0 Gil MM et al. Analysis cfDNA in Maternal Blood in Screening for Aneuploidies: Updated meta-analysis. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2015;45:
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What else? ¿Are expanded panels currently supported by clinical evidence as screening tests for routine care?
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Implications of testing for additional conditions
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Implications of testing for additional conditions Fetal sex Fetal Rh status Paternity (SNPs) First applications Mild phenotype Higher failure rate Lower DR and higher FPR 50% sex CA are mosaics High incidence of maternal mosaicisms Other than 45,XO: indication for testing?? Sex CA Trisomies 9, 16, 22 Additional FPR 0.1% each High IU lethality, IUGR Screening for lethal conditions suspected by US non justified No currently interventions Low clinical utility > 10w Not recommended (ACMG 2016) Rare autosomal trisomies Few conditions Lower prevalence Lower PPV High FPR Few experience Difficult counselling Microdeletions Total and cffDNA higher Trophoblastic apoptosis Confliciting results Future algorithms to estimates risks Currently no clinical utility Prediction of APO Technically faisible Clinically unpractical Genome wide sequencing NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies: Implications of testing for additional conditions using the currently available technology First applications Fetal sex: The presence of cell-free circulating Y chromosome DNA sequences in the plasma of pregnant women was first described in Since that report, many groups worldwide have validated the initial finding that Y chromosome sequences can be amplified and used to identify male fetuses. The research has been extended using a variety of methodologies, sex-specific markers, and sample types across all gestational ages. In countries such as the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, France, and Spain, this testing has already transitioned to routine clinical care despite the absence of a formal assessment of its performance. More recently, companies have begun offering this technology directly to the consumer over the Internet. The tests are marketed for nonmedical use to curious parents-to-be with promises in some cases of accuracy as high as 95% to 99% at as early as 5 to 7 weeks’ gestation. Noninvasive prenatal determination of fetal sex using cffDNA provides an alternative to invasive techniques for some heritable disorders. In some countries this testing has transitioned to clinical care, despite the absence of a formal assessment of performance. Sensitivity and specificity for detection of Y chromosome sequences was greatest as GA avanza, but technically faisible from 6-7weeks. Fetal Rh status: in some parts of Europe, to determine fetal rhesus D status (y identificar los fetos rH+) and prevent rhesus D negative mothers from unnecessary prophilactic treatment Paternity: to determine A noninvasive paternity test using informatics-based analysis of single-nucleotide polymorphism array measurements accurately determined paternity early in pregnancy. Productes directament ofertants al consumidor (sense prescripcio medica) RARE AUTOSONAL TRiSOMIES (associated to non viable pregnancies) Trisomies 9, 16, 22 (T16 la mes frecuent AC postconcepcio, T22 non viable except mosaicisms): causa frecuent d’ avortament precoç Additional FPR 0.1% (casa una) High IU lethality, IUGR ( sobretot mosaic 22) No currently interventions to reduce risks or to prevent Screening for lethal conditions (que generen FP) suspected by US non justified (idem per T13 i 18) Low clinical utility > 10w Not recommended by ACMG 2016 PREDICTION OF APO (PE, PP, CIR,…) Several studies have reported that in women with established PE, the plasma or serum concentrations of both total and fetal cell-free (cf)DNA are higher than in normotensive controls and the increase is particularly marked in those with severe PE. These findings have been attributed to accelerated apoptosis of trophoblastic cells resulting from placental ischemia and reduced clearance of the cfDNA from the maternal circulation in women with PE. However, data are conflicting as to whether these altered levels precede the onset of the disease, and a recent systematic review was unable to draw definitive conclusions regarding the potential value of fetal cfDNA in the prediction of PE (Martin 2014). Further studies will be addressed to calculate a parametric statistical algorithm and to estimate a proper posterior risk of the disease by means of fetal DNA alone or combined with other markers GENOME WIDE SEQUENCING Actualmente ya se pueden detectar enfermedades genetica AD de origen paterno
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NIPS for sex CA?
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Sex CA Background Impact Current situation NIPS
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Sex CA Background Full and mosaic numerical abnormalities interfering with normal sexual development 45,X; XXY; XXX Prevalence 1/272 MA dependent Impact Variable and mild phenotype Undiagnosed Social or cognitive deficits Fertility problems Current situation Not detectable by traditional screening Incidental finding of IT Difficult counseling and decision making TOP 36% (≠80-96% T21) Decreasing trend of TOP (EUROCAT) NIPS NIPS makes possible to screen for Lower accuracy DR 90% FPR 1% PPV 48% Relevant difference as a screening test Option for IT with a low PPV (>50% FP) 45,X: High lethality, abnormal US Ethical questions Sex discordances 1% Definition Full and mosaic numerical abnormalities interfering with normal sexual development 45,X (Turner Sd) and sex-chromosomal trisomies (XXY, XXX) (Klinefelter y triple X sd) Prevalence 1/272 (Turner 1.5% pregnancies, frequent cause of miscarriage firts trimester) MA dependent (mes frecuent a major edat) Not detectable by traditional screening Impact on general health Variable and mild phenotype Frequently remain Undiagnosed Fertility problems (sols ser la causa del dco) Normal QI Current situation Incidental finding of IT (fins ara) Difficult counseling and decision making TOP 36% sex trisomies (a diferencia de: 80-96% T21) Decreasing trend of TOP (EUROCAT data 2013), associat a un millor assessorament NIPS Now NIPS makes possible to screen for Lower accuracy than for T21,18 (TD menor, mes F+, baix VPP) Relevant difference as a screening test Option for IT with a low PPV (>50% del high risk son FP) 45,X: High lethality, si sobreviuen: frequent abnormal US Ethical questions
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Fetal sex discordances
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Sex CA: discordances (≠) ≠ Fetal sex discordances ♀ ♂ 1% SNPs method 99-100 Counting method Grati FR. Implications of fetoplacental mosaicism on cfDNA testing.Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2016; ♀ ♂
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Sex CA: Arguments PROS and CONS
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Sex CA: Arguments PROS and CONS Pros NIPS technically available Individual demand Already diagnosed by IT Potential benefits Early management (fertility preservation) Prenatal diagnosis of genitalia abnormalities (sex discordance) Scientific recommendations AIUM, ACOG 2013: only if medicaly indicated ISMG 2014: recommended in high-risk ACMG 2016: inform the availability to all Cons Limited data of performance Lower DR High cumulative FP Low PPV Error 0.7% Maternal conditions revelead Mosaics 45,X Discordance TNI/US/TI Maternal cancer Ethical concerns Psychosocial harm Loss of equity for access (cost) Sex selection ESHG/ASHG 2015: not recommended ACOG 2016: if requested Pros NIPS technically available Individual demand Already diagnoses by IT Potential benefits: Early management (ex: fertility preservation) + prenatal dco anomalias genitales por discrepancia entre sexo por TNI y eco (solo se detectan el 24% de las anomalias de desarrollo sexual prenatalmente (3 casos Lynch Prenat Diagn 2016): 1 caso de Disgenesia gonadal+T21, 2 casos hipospadias severo) + Smith-Lemli-Opitz. Si discrepancia SEXO TNI/ECO: dco por TI Current US guidelines recommend evaluation of fetals ex: Scientific recommendations: AIUM, ACOG 2013: in multiple prengancies and when medically indicated Israelita Society medical Genetic 2014: recommended in high-risk; ACMG American College Medical Genetics 2016: inform the availability to expand NIPT to sex CA all pregnant women Cons Limited data of performance Lower DR High cumulative FP Low PPV Reported error of NIPT in sex CA is 0.7% (45X, 47XXX, 47 XYY) Mosaicisms (placentaris o fetals) o materns (frecuents Turners en mosaic no descoberts) Discordancia entre NIPS i Cariotip del 8.5% degut a un cariotip matern anormal no conegut Es recomana cariotip matern sempre en cas de alt risk per sex CA at NIPS Maternal conditions revelead Mosaics 45,X Maternal cancer Ethical concerns Psychosocial harm (estignatitzacio, parental bonding, sobreproteccio, baixa autoestima…) Equity for access due to the cost Sex selection (not avoidable in female fetuses, tb amb TI pero encara es facilita mes si el test es de cribratge) Scientific recommendations: for sex CA ESHG/ASHG 2015: not recommended ACOG 2016 if requested
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NIPS for Microdeletions?
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Rational for screening
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions Submicroscopic deletion leading to a monosomy of a chromosomal segment too small to be detected by conventional karyotype (<5Mb) Microdeletion Submicroscopic duplication leading to a segmental trisomy too small to be detected by conventional karyotype (<5Mb) Milder phenotype Microduplication Larger deletions and duplications that should be visible by conventional karyotype (>5Mb) Subchromosomal changes Depending on size and location Clinical relevance Current screening (T21,18,13 and sex CA) detects 82% of CA (Gap 18% CA missing) Rational for screening Microdeletion Submicroscopic deletion leading to a monosomy of a chromosomal segment too small to be detected by conventional karyotype (<5Mb) Microduplication Submicroscopic deletion leading to a segmental trisomy too small to be detected by conventional karyotype (<5Mb) Milder phenotype Subchromosomal changes Larger deletions and duplications that should be visible by conventional karyotype (>5Mb) Clinical relevance Depending on size and location Rational for screening Current screening (T21,18,13 and sex CA) detects 82% of CA (in AC samples)
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Justify prenatal screening
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Arguments PROS Prevalence 1.7% (1/60) Wapner 2012 Recommendation: “Microarray should be offered always when IT” ACOG 2013 22q11del >1/1000 (1/992) Grati 2015, Gross 2016 The most common human deletion 2nd cause CHD Commercial panel 5 microdeletions ≈1/1000 Severity Wapner 2014 Can be more severe than whole CA or T21 Panel of conditions with relevant mortality and morbidity No risk factors Wapner 2014 Non dependant of MA Normal US Benefit from early intervention Handleman 2000, Cheung 2014 Proof-of-principle studies Counting methods Jensen 2012, Srinivasan 2013, Fan 2012 SNPs methods Wapner 2014 Arguments PRO: why NIPS for general population should be considered: Prevalence 1,7% structurally normal pregnancies (Wapner 2012, 2014): 1.7% (1/60) pregnancies have clinically relevant subchromosome events In support of this: Recommendation ACOG 2013: microarray should be offered always when IT (independentment de la EM) 22q11del >1/1000 (Gross 2016) Prevalence 22q11 del: 1/992 (low risk) Grati 2015 The most common human deletion syndrome 2nd cause CHD (after T21) This prevalence challenges the concept of “low risk” pregnancies: Suggests offering NIPT microdel to screen general population may be appropiated Severity Can be more severe than whole CA/T21 Seleciona un panel de condicions de tamany >3Mb (limit inferior actualment detectable) de morbilitat I mortalitat significativa. Aquest panel de 5 microdel representa el 6-11% del total. No risk factors Non dependant of MA (a diferencia de otras aneuploidias asociadas a no-disyuncion) Normal US (except 22q11del i monosom 1p36) Benefit from early intervention: Rationale to screen: early detection improves prognosis Justify prenatal screening Proof-of-principle studies : para detectar microdel y microdup - en metodo de contaje: requiere high sequence reads (deletion sd affects <1% genoma), deep of sequencing very high, high incidence of VOUS - Targeted SNPs (Wapner 2014): permite distinguir si la delecion procede del cromosoma materno o paterno , facilita el asesoramiento cuando se trata de genes imprintados (identical chromosome 15 deletion, Prader Willy or Angelman sd) (depends on the informative SNPs in each critical region, not appropiate for egg donors)
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Microdeletions: Arguments PROS
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Arguments PROS Incidence out of Live Births Incidence 5 microdel panel /1000 5 microdeletions Panel Down Syndrome Prevalence Maternal Age <29 years prevalence 5 microdel >> T21 Figure 1: Incidence of conditions out of Live births 22q11del: mes frequent que T18 y 13 ( I a mes son letals, menor importancia de cara al cribratge prenatal, tampoc cumpleixen criteris de cribratge classics) Incidencia global 5 microdel testadas: 1/1000 (superior a la incidencia de SD en gestantes jovenes) Figure 2: Risk of T21 increases with maternal age. Risk of Microdeletions is consistent across all ages. Younger women (<29 años) have a higher risk of a microdel than T21
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>93% >99% Microdeletions: Proof-of-principle Sensitivity
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Proof-of-principle 469 samples tested SNPs PlasmArt PPV 5% Sensitivity Specificity 22q11.2 Deletion 45/47 95.7% (CI: %) 419/422 99.3% (CI: %) Prader-Willi 15/16 93.8% (CI: %) 453/453 100% (CI: %) Angelman 21/22 95.5% (CI: %) 447/447 1p36 1/1 ( %) 468/468 Cri-du-Chat 24/24 (CI: %) 444/445 99.8% (CI: %) >93% >99% Proof-of principle with targeted SNPs methodology: Wapner 2014 469 samples tested PlasmArt (artificial plasma mixtures) due to low prevalence (Include 70% of the causal mutations in this panel) + Aquest panel de 5 microdel representa el 6-11% del total PPV 5% Proof-of principle requieres clinical validation studies. Wapner et al. Expanding the scope of NIPT: Detection of fetal mycrodeletion syndromes. AJOG 2014
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Microdeletions: Clinical validation
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Clinical validation VPP 22q11.del Deep of read Regular 18% High 42% US Normal 5% Abnormal 89% VPP 22q11.del 60% 100% Upgrade August 2016 22q11del: DR 95.7% + PPV 44% Adjusted risk score from 1/19 to 1/5 Less FPR (/6) PPV 20% (x4) A diferencia de los estudios de validacion clinica del NIPS para aneuploidias, hay pocos estudios en microdeleciones. 3 estudios actuales en microdel in clinical practice. Diferencias. Gross: SNPs retrospective High risk 0,5% N TP:11 PPV 18% regular DOPR (4,9% si US normal, 89% si US abnormal-high risk referrals)) PPV 42% resequencyng at a higher deep of read HDOR in high-risk results, keeping the same DR but lowering F+ to 0,12% (similar to PPV of addition T18,13 in conventional screening, or PPV of 45,X0) Helgeson 2015 (incluye tambien 3 microdel mas: 4p-, 8q-, 11q-) MPS (contaje masivo, no selectivo) High risk 0,03% N TP:14 PPV % Newest data from Panorama: Upgrade August 2016 NIPT microdel panel (refining the test strategy): all + high risk samples are reanalyzed at a higher DOR + incresing the algorithm quality control confidence threshold. Large clinical cohort presented at ESHG 2016 and ISPD 2016 Upgrade August 2016 No impact on DR (22q11del DR 95,7% 3Mb) 22q11del PPV 44% 22q11del Adjusted risk score from 1/19 to 1/5 Overall Less FPR (x/6) Overall PPV 20% (x4) From Natera, presented at ESHG and ISPD Congress 2016
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1/20 2/3 1/5 Microdeletions: PPV PPV: TP/T + FP DR: TP /T PPV cfDNA
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: PPV PPV: TP/T + FP DR: “What percentage of fetuses affected are detected” PPV: “What percentage of fetuses is truly affected when the test is positive?” DR: TP /T PPV cfDNA Combined* T21 T18 T13 45X n 222 154 29 21 18 TP 184 140 27 8 9 FP 38 14 2 13 83% 91% 93% 38% 50% Gross SJ et al. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2016;47:177-83 Gross 2016: 6 primers mesos d’ experiencia clinica (primer article). n=21948 samples. 95 high risk for 22q11del (0.5%): Dco confirmacion x TI prenatal en 57% (follow-up available 88%). VPP 18% (1 de cada 5). Prevalencia microdeletion 22q11: 1/1000. Test SNPs cubreix el 87% de totes les 22q11del. VPP 18% (range 11-47%); VPP 89% si te anomalies ecografiques pre-test, i 5% si no te anomalies ecografiques. Prevalencia 22q11 del 1/946 (higher than estimated in RN). Opcio per incrementar VPP de 22q11del: resequencing high risk sampler at a higher deepth. Llavors el VPP puja a 42%. 1/20 2/3 1/5 Dar P, et al. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2014;211:527.e1-17.
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Overall DR <<< 100% in all methods
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Considerations Size imbalance (3Mb) FF DNA base composition (GC) Factors affecting accuracy Adjustement for GC content Increasing DOR Deep of sequencing Additional normalizing of data Selection of the most informative sequences Use of probabilistic statistical model for computing LR of imbalance Algorithm refinements False negatives: Variant partial deletions Alternative genetic mechanisms False positives: Fetoplacental discrepancies Maternal CA: mall partial imbalances, rare mosaicism (T8) Non-pathogenic CNV close to critical region Aneuploid vanishing twin Maternal malignancy Limitations Microarray (no FISH) High risk 22q11del at NIPS 22q11del Factors affecting accuracy Size imbalance (alrededor de 3Mb limite inferior con la tecnologia actual) (22q11del tienen este tamaño, resto de PW, Angelman, Cri du chat, 1p36 del tienen deleciones mayores, mayor TD) FF DNA base composition (contenido GC aumenta la sensibilidad) Ej 22q11del: TD según FF Algorithm refinements Adjustement for GC content Increasing DOR Deep of sequencing Additional normalizing of data Selection of the most informative sequences Use of probabilistic statistical model for computing LR of imbalance Limitations False negatives: Genetic variants (Variant partial deletions que no incluyen la zona critica) Alternative genetic mechanisms (point mutations, inversions, DUP,…) False positives: Fetoplacental discrepancies: menos frecuentes que en aneuploidias, pero desconocemos frecuencia (ej: marcadores, rearrangements aparentmente balanceados pero que tienen un 8% de riesgo de desequilibrios relevantes), no hay datos actualmente Small partial maternal imbalances Rare maternal mosaicism (T8), non-pathogenic CNV in proximity to the 22q11del region (2 casos FP, Mather Prenat Diagn 2016) Aneuploid vanishing twin Maternal malignancy Overall DR <<< 100% applicable to all methods Overall DR <<< 100% in all methods Dugoff et al. Prenat Diagn 2016;36:1-8
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Microdeletions: Arguments CONS
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Arguments CONS Yaron Y et al. Obstet Gynecol 2015;126:1095-9 Microdel included in regular panel (algunos incluyen tambien Sd Horschhorn por del 4p) Low prevalences Detection if >3Mb (current limit for the detection): 15% of Di George are smaller (sols detecta el 85% de casos), aixo explica el low VPP (5%) y alta TFP 0.8% (sol 22qlldel) Other causal etiopatogenesis of the conditions (DUP, mutations, inversions,…) Regular panel > 3Mb 5 microdel: only detects 70% of the causal conditions Aspecto practico a recordar: Si alto riesgo 22q11del at TNI (o dco de CC en eco prenatal): Array es la prueba de eleccion (no FISH, utilizada historicamente para este dco, porque deleciones mas pequeñas o de otras regiones podrian no ser detectadas). (FISH solo detecta deleciones en la region LCR22A a LCR22B). 7% de CC con cariotipo y FISH normales tienen otras CNV patogenicas (en array). DiGeorge syndrome: Only detects 85% of the causal conditions Regular panel: Only detects 70% of the causal conditions Only 6-11% of overall conditions
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Firm conclusions not possible
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Lessons to be learned > pregnancies Incomplete data (prevalence, clinical referral details, US findings, cytogenetic confirmation, pregnancy outcome) Still lack of basic performance (S and NPV) Firm conclusions not possible Lessons from Newborn Screening Application New proposal 2011, USA Advisory Committee on Heritable Disorders in Newborns and Children PCR 22q11del as universal screening in newborns Rejection Performance screening test not assessed Unclear impact of testing Benefit of early treatment not demonstrated No evidence-based All applicable in prenatal screening + Potential harms Miscarriage after confirmatory IT Postnatal phenotype difficult to predict TOP unaffected cases may occur 22q11del only partially fullfills these criteria Have a severe phenotype ? Have a consistent natural history ? Excellent performance screening test ? Be common Criteria for screening for a health condition Overall > pregnancies, But we still lack basic performance, studies cannot evaluate S and NPV in clinical practice (principla limitacion: falta de seguimiento, no podemos detectar F- porque fenotipicamente los RN son normales a diferencia de las tris. Autosomicas) LESSONS FROM NEWBORN SCREENING APPLICATION 2011, USA: solicitud per incorporar 22q11del en el screening universal del RN, basat en una PCR afegida al panel de condicions cribades (Committee on Heritable Disorders in Newborns and Childs) Advisory Committee on Heritable Disorders in Newborns and Children PCR 22q11del as universal screening in newborns Rejection: Reasions Performance screening test not assessed Unclerar implact of testing Benefit of early treatment not demonstrated No evidence.based All these arguments are still applicable in prenatal screening Potential harms Miscarriage after confirmatory IT Postnatal phenotype difficult to predict TOP in unaffected cases may occur CLASSICAL CRITERIA FOR SCREENING FOR A HEALTH CONDITION Be common ok Have a severe phenotype ? Variable Have a consistent natural history ? Variable Excellent performance screening test: Validations studies more difficult than for T21, accuracy not well defined, genetic variants 22q11del >3Mb 87% additional genetic mechanisms Ethical Implications in cases inherited CONCLUSION: 22q11del: only partially fulfills the criteria
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Microdeletions: Arguments PROS and CONS
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Microdeletions: Arguments PROS and CONS Pros Significant high prevalence Severity No risk factors Benefit from early intervention Hypocalcemia Critical CHD Need for delivery at 3 center Preventing “postnatal diagnostic odyssey” Opportunity for TOP Proof-of – principle PPV similar to FTS No previous screening test Personal utility Familiar utility Cons Prevalence Limited conditions tested (6-11%) Only 70% of causal conditions Similar risk pre and post test (1.7% and 1.6%) Technical accuracy More challenging Clinical validity: not demonstrated Variable DR 60-99% High FPR (cumulative) (0.8-3%) Clinical utility: not demonstrated Low PPV Low penetrance/expressivity Disadvantages from early diagnosis Benefit not demonstrated prospectivelly Excess of medicalization ? Negative postnatal effects Complex and unreallistic prenatal counseling Doesn’t feet criteria for screening PROS Benefits of early diagnoses and intervention (neonatal hypocalcemia as a cause of mental retardation, critical CHD –DA dependent- preventing postnatal “diagnostic odyssey”, nneds for delivery at a terciary hospital, option for TOP … PPV: Low PPV (depend de la performance i prevalencia), 5% , similar a FTS tradicional No previous screening test (detected only as incidental findins) Opportunity for TOP Personal utility (in high risk patients that decline IT despite US abnormalities: “knowledge as an end in itself”) (aunque estaria indicado un array no desean riesgo de aborto) Familiar utility: 10% (up to 28%) 22q11del are inhereted from a mildly affected parent (ventajas; estudio familiar, 50% recurrencia,…) CONS Prevalence Limited conditions tested (Aquest panel de 5 microdel representa el 6-11% del total) Only 70% of causal conditions Similar pre and post-risk (residual risk); panels NIPTS 6-11% of all microdel/dup sd.; a priory risk 1,7%; post-screening o residual risk 1,6% High FPR (cumulative): cumulative effect on FPR (due to low specificity): 0,8% only 22q11del Up to 1% (5 microdel panel) and 3% (all conditions in extended panel) Variable DR: 60-99% Performance depends on deletion size. 3Mb lower limit for detection using current technology 15% 22q11del <3Mb Other causes Technical accuracy (Validez analitica (technical accuracy) (capacidad tecnica) More challenging Technically more challenging: Non pathogenic CNV near critical regions may cause F+ for clinical syndromes (ex: 22q11 o 15q11 regions), present in <0.1% normal population ; Benigh CNVs amongst controls is a major cofounder and needs to be bioinformatically corrected/inter-individual variation in genomic CNVs in controls DNA samples is a major confounder Limitations technology: Counting (<1% genoma, exceptionally high DOS, VOUS in non targeted) and SNPs (non informative, eggs donnors) Clinical validity Validez Clinica (TD,Esp): not demonstrated: Solo hay proof of principle, not clinical validation Variable DR 60-99% High FPR (cumulative) (0.8-3%) Clinical utility: not demonstrated Utilidad clinica (VPP, VPN) Low penetrance/expressivity (difficult decision for TOP, ethically more complex than T21) (difficult to counsel phenotypic consequences of a particular genotype) Disadvantages from early diagnoses Excess of medicalization ? Negative postnatal effects: negative effects on bonding and parental behaviour Complex prenatal counseling Benefits of intervention: pendiente de demostracion prospectiva Complex prenatal counseling (is realistic??) (high confusion for clinitians and patients) We are not currently ready Not feet classical criteria for screening
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Current consensus at 2016 Public health perspective
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies: Routine prenatal screening for microdeletions Current consensus at 2016 Scientific societies Current status Near future None endorses routine NIPS for microdeletions Still in its infancy Refined strategies Evolving nature of the technology Cost reduction Some advice explicity against it Cost/benefit analysis Not ready for wide-scale implementation Some inconsistences ACOG, ISPD, ESHG, ASHG, HGSA,AACG,BSGM,CMGS Insufficent evidence Public health perspective Limited utility Clinical perspective Appropiate pretest counseling Appropiate counseling resources Sufficient justification? Personal utility Routine NIPS for microdel/microdupl sd. is currently premature and should be only offered only under a research protocol Recommendations scientific societies None endorses routine NIPS for microdeletions Some advice explicity against it Some inconsistences (ex: ACOG recomienda SSD, con un VPP del 2% pero no recomienda expanded NIPT por VPP superior) Current status Still in its infancy Evolving nature of the technology Not ready for wide-scale implementation Near future Refined strategies (results at a lower FF, for smaller deletions, selection of more informative sequences or probes) Cost reduction Cost/benefit analysis Public health perspective: Insufficent evidence Clinical perspective: Limited utility Personal utility: Appropiate pretest counseling Appropiate counseling resources Sufficient justification? Routine NIPS for microdel/microdupl sd. is currently premature and should be only offered under a research protocol until we understand its true S and Sf, technical and biological variables that impact the accuracy, relevance to phenotypic penetrance
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NIPT for the entire fetal genome?
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NIPT for the entire fetal genome
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies NIPT for the entire fetal genome From August 2015 The most advanced information available from a NIPT Genome-wide events >7Mb + other selected microdeletions <7Mb* Level of information previously offered only from karyotype analysis * Performance dependent on sequencing depth, FF and size of event August 215 (Sequenom): The MaterniT™ GENOME offers the most scientifically-advanced information available from a noninvasive prenatal test (NIPT). The MaterniT GENOME test offers a novel capability of noninvasive testing, identifying > 95% of genome-wide deletions or duplications ≥ 7 Mb. This enables the most comprehensive fetal chromosomal test currently available noninvasively. Detection of Genome-wide events >7Mb (del o dupli, similar than karyotype)(S 95% Sp >99.9%) + other selected microdeletions<7Mb* * Performance dependent on sequencing depth, FF and size of the event Similar technology but deeper sequencing, simulated sensitivity metrics, in silico modeling using ISCA database (International Standards for cytogenetic Arrays), n clinical samples 448
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Arguments PRO and CONS CONS PROS More difficult/unrealistic counseling
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Arguments PRO and CONS “Just because you can, does not mean you should” Catherine Russell More difficult/unrealistic counseling More difficult reproductive choices Implications for close relatives Ethical principles (beneficence, autonomy, justice) Violation of child’s right to open future Protection interests and autonomy rights future child “Just for information” justified??? Recommendations from scientific societies NOT NOW CONS “Why not?” Hilary Duff More difficult/unrealistic counseling Just because you can, does not mean you should” Catherine Russell (Jazz singer) More difficult reproductive choices Implications for close relatives Ethical principles (beneficence, autonomy, justice) Violation of child’s right to open future Protection interests and autonomy rights future child “Just for information” justified??? Recommendations from scientific societies NOT NOW Why not?” Hilary Duff Looking for everything Why only disorders included in conventional prenatal screening? Autonomy paradigm Inconsistences of recommendations from scientific societies PROS Looking for everything Why only disorders included in conventional prenatal screening? Autonomy paradigm Inconsistences of recommendations from scientific societies
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Recommendations and guidelines
NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies Recommendations and guidelines Scientific society Sex CA Microdeletions Israel SMG 2014 Recommended in high-risk for CA - ESHG/ASHG 2015 Not recommended ISPD 2015 As an option ACOG 2016 Only if requested (level B) SMFM 2016 ACMG 2016 Only information HGA, AACG, BSGM, CzMGS, PHG Foundation Level B of evidence: limited or inconsistent evidence Sex CA: Inconsistences Microdeletions: Not recommended Genome-wide CNV: Not recommended currently (if this level of information is desired: TI+array) Majority Inconsistences Not supported Sex CA: Inconsistences Microdeletions: Not recommended Genome-wide CNV: Not recommended
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NIPS beyond fetal aneuploidies
Conclusions Only letal or serious congenital childhood onset disorders Sex CA and microdeletions NOT INCLUDED Contemporary approach recognizes individual values and choices In locations where expanded NIPT is available, women need to be informed Current scope of prenatal screening for fetal abnormalities Looking for everything: Why NOT? Not all we technically can: WE CAN, BUT WE SHOULDN’T What the scope of prenatal screening should be? For fetal abnormalities (autonomy-aimed screening) For conditions relevant to a healthy outcome of pregnancy for mother and child (prevention-aimed screening) Prenatal screening for different purposes All chromosome abnormalities Mendelian disorders Fetal genome scan Genetic risk profiles for multifactorial disorders Fetal personalized medicine Future scenario (“omics era”): broad-scope NIPT Current scope of prenatal screening for fetal abnormalities Only letal or serious congenital childhood onset disorders EX: Sex CA and microdeletions NOT INCLUDED/Justified currently Contemporary approach recognizes individual values and choices In locations where expanded NIPT is available, women need to be informed What the scope of prenatal screening should be? 2 enfoques: Looking for everything Why NOT? Not all we technically can WHY NOT ALL? Prenatal screening for different purposes 2 objetivos de cribado: For fetal abnormalities (autonomy-aimed screening) For conditions relevant to a healthy outcome of pregnancy for mother and child (prevention-aimed screening) EX: Rh, Preeclampsia, pretermino, CIR Future scenario (“omics era”): broad-scope NIPT All chromosome abnormalities Fetal genome scan Mendelian disorders Genetic risk profiles for multifactorial disorders Fetal personalized medicine
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