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Brandon Dobell bdobell@williamblair.com, 312-364-8773
October 2016 Brandon Dobell
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Backdrop For Disruption – 6 Consumer Behavior Trends
Immediacy: Consumers expect things to happen faster, more accurately, and in a more user-friendly and automated way; the advent of mobile and apps has amplified this concept. (Instacart, Amazon Prime [one- click ordering], Grub-Hub) No information/privacy concerns: Consumers amenable to putting their personal information online, which we believe will accelerate (and eventually cement) significant migration to self-service in real estate. (Facebook/Instagram, retail beacons, online mortgage applications, trusted traveler programs) Customization/curation: Consumers expect information to be customized or curated for their specific needs and wants, while extraneous information, redundant processes, or unorganized touch points carry the risk of alienating the consumer (Pinterest, Twitter, Houzz) Mobile: Computing power in phones and tablets, shared workspaces, telecommuting, accurate geo- locating software, and other factors will continue to drive mobile adoption, in our opinion. (Expedia, OpenTable, Zillow, Uber) Ratings/feedback loops: Consumers tend to rely on reviews and ratings as a key factor when deciding to purchase a product or service, and we see no difference as it relates to selecting an agent. (Yelp, Amazon/Alibaba reviews, Facebook) Sharing economy: Consumers have become increasingly comfortable sharing rather than owning, be it cars, apartments, office space, or even clothes. Just a few years ago, it would have been hard to believe the amount of sharing (information, products, etc.) that is now commonplace in today’s economy. (Uber, Airbnb, Zipcar, Rent The Runway)
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Big Picture Trends Shaping Real Estate
“Moneyball”—predictive analytics for real estate Regulation – consumer protections in particular but also for banks/lenders Who owns the data/content? Breaking old models—separating transaction management from the advisor/broker Urbanization, & the intersection with the sharing economy The industry remains one of the last large, consumer-facing industries to undergo radical transformation since the proliferation of handheld smart devices that have enabled a new set of expectations for the typical consumer
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Residential Real Estate Pain Points
Consumers Agents Brokerages / Franchisees Efficient search process (not seeing what you don't want to see…but missing something that might be the right fit) Marketing/ advertising Lead routing Commissions paid versus value provided by agents Which potential buyers/sellers are real (or not)? Listings management Tours and walk-throughs Transaction management Consistent service across agents, offices, franchises What is the right price? Listing syndication/ marketing Agent recruitment/retention Choosing the right agent Mobile Listing Process Source: William Blair
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Rental Market Pain Points
Consumers Property Owners and Managers Complete and accurate availability, pricing information for local markets Differentiation from competing properties In-person visits Efficient, measurable use of marketing and advertising spending Application process Diligence on prospective tenants Deposit, rental payment process Onboarding new tenants Package receipt Revenue maximization (price and occupancy) Service requests and confirmations Expense controls Property upkeep Vendor management Source: William Blair
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Commercial Real Estate Pain Points
Owner Occupier Broker Financier / Investor How do I find the right tenants? How do I find the right space? How do I find new customers/win deals? Collateral value/risk management Should I sell the building? What should I pay and what terms can I expect? Getting clients the best price (listings) Cash flow expectations What are the going rent rates and terms? Workplace efficiency/ design Client retention/value-added services Tenant credit quality Accounting systems Negotiating deals for and with clients Supply dynamics What is my building worth/should I sell? Transaction management/CRM Rent rates Should I manage the property or facility? Relative cap rates/ portfolio management How can I lower my expenses/bills? Deal sourcing Source: William Blair
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Huge Industries, Not Much Market Cap
$34B in Technology Market Cap $39B in “Services” Market Cap
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Disclosures
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