1. UCET Management Forum 8 th March 2016 Presentation by Prof John Howson Director, TeachVac www.teachvac.co.uk

2. Teacher numbers in the short term? School numbers are on the increase – new schools: UTCs/Studio schools/ genuine free schools and new schools due to pupil numbers Pupil numbers – on the increase Demand for graduates – on the increase at the present time, but slowing global economy might help if service sector slows Attractiveness of teaching as a career – working conditions; salary; status A National Teaching Service Education as an export industry and a global profession Funding changes – VAT saving for Sixth Form Colleges; NI & Pension increases

3. Teacher numbers in the long term? Demand Will peak mid-2020s Earlier in the primary sector Later in secondary schools and in sixth forms even later still Change to funding formula – winners and losers

4. Source DfE at RSA Conference New entrants to postgraduate initial teacher training by subject and phase, 2015/16

21. History