Educating The Adult Workforce An Economic and Demographic Necessity Presented by 03 November 2011 Dr. James L. Applegate Vice President, Lumina Foundation

The Big Goal To increase the percentage of Americans who hold high-quality degrees and credentials to 60 percent by 2025.

278,000 graduates per year, every year A 6.3% annual increase Current production yields 112,000 additional graduates per year The gap = 166,000 graduates per year nationally What Must The U.S. Do To Reach the Big Goal?

Definition of Success Participation Completion Attainment

WHY IS ACHIEVING THE BIG GOAL IMPORTANT?

Canada/Japan Korea Massachusetts Minnesota North Dakota/Iowa/Connecticut Colorado New Hampshire/Nebraska South Dakota/Illinois/Pennsylvania/Vermont Wisconsin/Washington/Hawaii Virginia/Kansas/Rhode Island Indiana/CA/DE/NC/MI/ID Florida/Oregon/South Carolina/Maine Wyoming/Georgia Mississippi/Alabama KY/TN/OK/AZ/AK/TX New Mexico Nevada Louisiana/West Virginia Arkansas Ireland Finland Netherlands/Switzerland Greece Luxembourg Poland/Chile Germany United States Norway/New Zealand France/Israel Iceland Hungary US states 25 to 34 year olds Missouri/Montana/Ohio New York New Jersey Maryland United Kingdom/Australia/Denmark Belgium/Sweden Spain Estonia Slovenia Utah

Hamilton Porter/Johnson Monroe Hendricks Tippecanoe Lawrence/Fulton/Daviess/Jennings Indiana counties 25 to 34 years old (population over 20,000) Boone Adams LaGrange White/Fayette Bartholomew Owen/Cass Warrick/Hancock Canada/Japan Korea Ireland Netherlands/Switzerland/Finland Greece Luxembourg/France/Israel Poland/Chile Germany/Hungary United States Norway/New Zealand Iceland Portugal United Kingdom/Australia/Denmark Belgium/Sweden Spain/Estonia Slovenia Austria/Slovak Republic/Czech Republic Mexico/Italy Turkey

Income by level of education Source: US Census, Current Population Survey master’s bachelor’s associate high school Less than high school

Unemployment by level of education Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2008

Unemployment by level of education Source: US Census, Current Population Survey Recession of November 73 to March 75 High school dropout Bachelor’s Some college High school graduate Recession of January 80 to July 80 Recession of July 81 to November 82 Recession of July 90 to March 91 Recession of March 01 to November 01 Recession of December 07 to present

Percent of layoffs that are permanent Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC

Qualified students have the opportunity to go to college College is necessary Source: Public Agenda and National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education

HOW DO WE ACHIEVE THE BIG GOAL?

To Succeed We Must Focus On 21 st Century Students Of the 17.6M undergrads now enrolled: 43% attend two-year institutions 37% are enrolled part-time 32% are working full-time 25% are over the age of 30 Only 15% attend 4 year colleges and live on campus

35.8 million working-age adults have attended college but don’t have a degree.

To Succeed We Must Close the Gaps

Source: College Going vs. Completion of BA or Higher, Latino (Age 25-29) NCES, The Digest of Education Statistics 2009, Table 201. and Current Population Survey, Table A-2. Percent of People 25 Years and Over Who Have Completed High School or College, by Race, Hispanic Origin and Sex: Selected Years 1940 to

Source: Some Americans Are Much Less Likely to Graduate From College Year Olds with B.A. or Higher (2008) White 37% African American 21% Latino 12% Current Population Survey, Table A-2. Percent of People 25 Years and Over Who Have Completed High School or College, by Race, Hispanic Origin and Sex: Selected Years 1940 to 2009.

Source: Growth Differs Substantially by Group Population Division, Population Projections, U.S. Census Bureau. Released Millions Data for all races exclude Hispanics.

Source: Some Americans Are Much Less Likely to Graduate From College B.A. Rate by Age 24 (2008) Young People from Highest Income Quartile 77% Young People from Lowest Income Quartile 10% Postsecondary Education Opportunity, “Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartiles, 1970 to 2008.

Scaling Effective Practice Public Policy Advocacy Public Will Building To Succeed at Scale We Must Find Catalysts for Change

Design and Implement a 21 st Century System for 21 st Century Students 1.Create partnerships and collaborate for collective impact (state and regional) 2.Focus on pathways aligned with future workforce needs 3.Infuse technology to expand capacity, improve quality, and reduce costs 4.Create “Adult Learner Focused Institutions” (ALFI)

Design and Implement a 21 st Century System for 21 st Century Students 5.Support accelerated, competency based certificates/degrees (quick wins) 6.Employ prior learning assessments 7.Redefine the vision of ABE 8.Redesign developmental education 9.Develop comprehensive benefits programs

Design and Implement a 21 st Century System for 21 st Century Students 10.Set goals, design metrics, measure progress, reward performance 11.Lead courageous conversations about results 12. Support disruptive innovation

Christensen, C.M., et al. Disrupting College.

Educating Adults As If Their Lives (and Nebraska’s Future) Depended On It