Tennessee Higher Education Commission Tennessee Promise: Fall 2015 Update Emily House Tennessee Higher Education Commission Joint Meeting of SBE and THEC January 27, 2015

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Points of Interest Characteristics of Tennessee Promise students –Who is participating in the program? Composition of first-time freshmen class, as compared to prior years –Effect of Tennessee Promise on enrollment, student demographics, etc.

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Jan-Feb 5 First mandatory meeting February 15 FAFSA Completion Deadline Mar-April Second Mandatory Meeting August 1 Community Service Deadline Nov 1 Application Closes 43,105 38,165 31,985 22,500 58,000 Fall 2015: 16,291 enroll Public and Private HS Seniors: ~74,400

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Tennessee Promise Students Where TN Promise students enroll: –85 percent community colleges (and APSU) –13 percent TCATs –2 percent Promise-eligible TICUA institutions Of those who completed all requirements but did not enroll: –Four-year institutions (~1000 at public four-years) –Private/out of state –Did not enroll

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Tennessee Promise Students TN Promise CC students FTF out of HS, Fall 2014 (CCs) FTF at CCs, Fall 2015 FTF at CCs, Fall 2014 Race White74%70%74%69% African Amer14%19%18%19% Hispanic4%5%3%4% Female56% Average ACT Average GPA Financial aid – VERY preliminary ANY Pell53% 55%51% FULL Pell34%40%33%40% Pell covers T&F45%53%44%51% TELS58%48%43%48%

Tennessee Higher Education Commission First-time Freshmen: Enrollment Fall 2015Fall 2014Delta FTF Enrollment TBR CCs21,67917, % TCATs10,4328, % TBR Universities10,97711, % UT7,6117, % TOTAL50,69946, %

Tennessee Higher Education Commission

College-going Rate Changes to college-going rate (CGR) –Approximately 4,000 new entrants into higher education in Tennessee. Most at CCs and TCATs –CGR will likely increase ~5-6 percent, from approximately 57 to 62 percent.

Tennessee Higher Education Commission CGR by state

Tennessee Higher Education Commission CGR by state

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Average ACT by Institution, FTF Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Delta, Fall 14 to Fall 15 TBR Community Colleges Chattanooga State Community College Cleveland State Community College Columbia State Community College Dyersburg State Community College Jackson State Community College Motlow State Community College Nashville State Community College Northeast State Community College Pellissippi State Community College Roane State Community College Southwest Tennessee Community College Volunteer State Community College Walters State Community College TBR Community Colleges Total

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Average ACT by Institution, FTF Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Delta, Fall 14 to Fall 15 TBR Universities Austin Peay State University East Tennessee State University Middle Tennessee State University Tennessee State University Tennessee Technological University University of Memphis TBR Universities Total University of Tennessee University of Tennessee, Chattanooga University of Tennessee, Knoxville University of Tennessee, Martin University of Tennessee Total

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Student persistence Fall-Spring retention: we’ll know soon. –~80 percent of TN Promise students completed their community service by December 1. –Who persists without Tennessee Promise? Similar to TELS program? –Transfer behavior?

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Next Steps Research, research, research –TN Promise students enrolling elsewhere –“Waterfall” – when do students drop off the TN Promise, and where do they end up? –Students enrolling in 2- vs. 4-year institutions –Variation by region, county, high school –Persistence and retention (Fall to spring, Year 1-2)

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Tennessee Promise – Cohort 2 59,621 high school seniors have signed up for 2016 Tennessee Promise –Deadline to sign up was November 2 Similar to Cohort 1 at this point in time –67 percent White –50 percent female –Majority state intention to attend CCs; 10 percent list TCAT as preferred institution.

Tennessee Higher Education Commission Questions? Thank you!