Comments for Hungarian and South Africa’s PRESENTATION Wu Jie Department of Population and Employment National Bureau of Statistics of China 27 – 30 June 2011 New York

Comments for Hungarian 1.Outline 2.Correlation 3.Compare 4.Question

1. Outline Vital statistics data and indicators based on census data Sample surveys as complementary information for vital statistics

2. Correlation( Ⅰ ) Consistent with Principles and Recommendations, including:  Fertility  Projection of the female population  Healthy life expectancy

2. Correlation( Ⅱ ) Correlated but inconsistent:  Information on migration  Unmet need for contraception  Voluntary and involuntary childlessness  Childbearing intention and realization

3. Compare CountriesCensusSurvey Administrative records Hungary √√SES China √√ Household registration and etc.

Difference ( Ⅰ ) The source of total population and other major demographic indicators between two censuses  Projected in Hungary  Estimated through surveys in China

Difference ( Ⅱ ) The purpose and content of surveys  More detailed data and further researches in Hungary  Estimate total population and major population data in China

Questions What’s the situation on administrative statistics ?

Comments for South Africa 1.Outline 2.Correlation 3.Compare 4.Questions

1. Outline Introduction on censuses and surveys Use for vital statistics meet requirement Complement register-based statistics

2. Correlation The specific indicators changes from 1996 to 2011  Births  Deaths  Marriages  Divorces

3. Compare with China CountriesCensusSurvey Administrative records South Africa √√ The civil registration system China √√ Household registration system

The similar with China Some birth, death and marital status items  Number of children surviving, etc Not meet requirement  Seasonal, monthly, quarterly or annul information  Cause of death

The difference Some census items different Three surveys have different items in South Africa The population sample survey items maintain consistency on vital statistics in the past years in China, developing other information

Question How to utilize information from the civil registration system to provide official vital statistics next step?

Conclusion Census and sample survey are important source of vital statistics Census is the base of vital statistics ， providing independent estimates demographic parameters Administrative records are necessary to vital statistics Different data source, different purpose, different use, complementary each other Not balanced between countries

Suggestion Evaluation native vital statistics system (Thailand meeting last year, ESCAP, Rapid Assessment Form ) Country report on vital statistics system organized by UN Build up a project and an evaluation form of different countries to enhance the system

Thank you!