Barnet Insight Commissioning Group Induction

Barnet is a growing, but not at a uniform rate  Barnet is London’s most populous borough home to 367,265 residents in 2015  By 2030, the Barnet population is projected to reach 417,573  Colindale and Mill Hill are projected to rise by a further 79.4% (17,917) and 24.1% (4,875) respectively  Whereas Golders Green is projected to experience the highest rate of growth (113.9% (21,625)), making it the most populous Ward Source: GLA Projections 2013

We have an increasingly diverse and ageing population Ethnic Group Ethnic Composition in 2015 Ethnic Composition in 2030 White61.3%56.4% Black Caribbean1.3%1.2% Black African5.8%6.1% Black Other3.2%3.9% Indian7.5%7.1% Pakistani1.6%1.7% Bangladeshi0.7%0.8% Chinese2.4%2.6% Other Asian9.3%11.6% Other7.1%8.6% BAME38.7%43.6% The 65+ population is projected to grow at over 3 times the rate of other age groups In 2015 Over 50% of 0-4 year olds are BAME compared to just 6.7% of people aged 90+ By 2030 … 43.6% of the population will be BAME up from 38.7% in 2015 Source: GLA Projections 2013

Most areas are getting relatively older, but some faster than others Proportion of Adult Population Aged 65+, 2015Proportion of Adult Population Aged 65+, 2030 Source: GLA Projections 2013 IPC, (Projecting Adult Needs and Service Information) POPPI / (Projecting Adult Needs and Service Information) PANSI Brunswick Park, Hale and Coppetts are ageing faster than other wards Over the next 10 years the number of people with Dementia is projected to increase by 36.9%

Life Expectancy within Barnet by Ward, Life Expectancy at Birth within Barnet by Ward, Source: Public Health England. Barnet indicators. Public Health Outcomes Framework The gap becomes even bigger as you drill down to lower geographical areas In the most deprived areas the three leading causes of excess deaths include CHD, stroke and dementia In Barnet, life expectancy at birth in females (85.0 years) is higher than males (81.9) 10 years difference in life expectancy between wards

Coronary Heart Disease is the No.1 cause of death in men and women Top 10 Causes of Deaths in Females, Top 10 Causes of Deaths in Males, Source: Public Health England Segment Tool 2015 Public Health England. Barnet indicators. Public Health Outcomes Framework

A relatively healthy population on average  There is a significant variation in the prevalence of Coronary Heart Disease and Stroke between wards and practices in Barnet  Child dental decay is the top cause for non- emergency hospital admissions in younger people.  Barnet rates for HPV, flu and pneumococcal (PCV) immunisation and childhood immunisations are lower than the England average  The percentage of diabetic people having all 8 check- ups in Barnet (56%) is below the national average (59.5%) Source: SAroot\data\mpsBarnet12monthsWardTNOstats.xls, SAroot\data\Crime Data to Feb14 PROTECT.xls, SAroot\data\crime_stats_mps_published_toFeb2014.xlsx Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) Emergency hospital admissions for Coronary Heart Disease, standardised admission ratio, 2008/9 – 2012/13 A real story of east and west covering many different dimensions

Community safety in Barnet  Falling Crime rates: from a peak of over 35,000 crimes in 2005, to under 25,000 in the year to February 2014  High rate of residential burglary: Barnet has the 5 th highest rate of Residential burglary out of the 32 London boroughs  Violent assaults (ABH and GBH) have the greatest associated costs, accounting for 29% of the total costs, despite making up just 6.5% of the offences. Source: SAroot\data\mpsBarnet12monthsWardTNOstats.xls SAroot\data\Crime Data to Feb14 PROTECT.xls SAroot\data\crime_stats_mps_published_toFeb2014.xlsx The top 5 wards account for 34% of the total crimes West Hendon:1890 Childs Hills: 1775 Coppetts:1403 Hendon: 1339 Golders Green:1289 Five Wards (All Crime, to Feb 2014)

Pockets of deprivation exist throughout the borough  Barnet is the 10th least deprived borough across London; a slight increase from 2010 where it ranked 9th.  Despite Barnet being a relatively affluent borough, there are pockets of deprivation located throughout the borough. Many of these are located towards the west of the borough. Source: London Health Observatory, Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2015 Deprivation Decile by LSOA

Barnet is a great place to work and invest  The number of businesses in Barnet is growing  In 2013, Barnet had the 3 rd highest business stock; and the 4th highest start up rate in London Source: ONS Annual Population Survey & ONS  Over half of Barnet residents are employed in the top three highest earning occupations

The highest rates of unemployment are in the West of the Borough and in the Age Range Source: ONS Ward Profile NOMIS Labour Market Profile % Unemployment by Ward, 2011

Useful Data Source sites Barnet Information Dashboard NOMIS Labour Market Profile GLA Datastore Office for National Statistics Public Health Outcomes Framework Health and Social Care Information Centre’s (HSCIC)

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