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DRAFT Wisbech PCN Data pack July 2019.

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Presentation on theme: "DRAFT Wisbech PCN Data pack July 2019."— Presentation transcript:

1 DRAFT Wisbech PCN Data pack July 2019

2 Wisbech PCN – summary There are almost 50,500 people registered with Wisbech PCN, with a higher older population compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England. The population is estimated to increase by 2.8% between 2021 and 2026, and remain fairly static to 2031 The PCN has higher proportions of White British and White Other populations compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England Relative deprivation is higher in the PCN compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England. Approximately a quarter of children and a fifth of older people live in poverty It is estimated that there are 520 births a year in the PCN. Birth rates and the proportion of babies born with a low birth weight are statistically similar to the North Alliance, which in itself has a noticeably high birth rate compared to the CCG It is estimated that male life expectancy is around 78.2 years in the PCN and female life expectancy 82.8 years, with both statistically significantly lower than the North Alliance average Recorded obesity in adults is statistically significantly higher than the North Alliance It is estimated that a quarter of adults smoke, which is statistically significantly higher than the North Alliance Estimates of people reporting long-term activity-limiting illness and being in Good or Very Good health are statistically worse than the averages for the North Alliance, which may be a reflection of the relative older population in the area There are almost 515 deaths a year in the PCN, with around a third of these in people aged under 75 years The PCN has statistically significantly high recorded prevalence of CHD, hypertension, stroke, COPD and diabetes compared to the North Alliance averages Overall mortality rates at PCN are currently available. However, at practice level two practices have statistically significantly high all- age all-cause mortality compared to the North Alliance, with these also having a high all-age all-cause premature mortality rate. Mortality rates for circulatory disease are also statistically significantly high in these two practices, with one of these also having a statistically significantly high premature mortality rate for cancer.

3 Demography

4 GP registered population Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG
Wisbech PCN has a notably high older people population compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England. The population of Wisbech PCN is forecast to grow at a slower rate than the CCG as whole. The population is expected to increase by 5.2% between 2019 and 2026 and then stabilise to 2031 Source: GP registered population, April 2019, NHS Digital. Population forecasts based on population distribution at ward level (Apr 19), Mid 2015 based population forecasts Cambridgeshire County Council Age band Wisbech PCN North Alliance Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG England Number % Total 50,424 549,834 983,597 59,759,638 0-4 years 2,669 5.3% 5.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5-14 years 5,390 10.7% 12.5% 11.7% 11.8% Under 18 years 9,566 19.0% 21.6% 20.3% 20.4% 16-64 years 31,697 62.9% 63.4% 65.6% 64.3% 65+ years 10,145 20.1% 17.1% 16.3% 17.4% 75+ years 4,575 9.1% 7.6% 7.3% 8.0% 85+ years 1,312 2.6% 2.2% 2.3% Population forecasts PCN 2019 2021 2026 2031 2036 2019 to 2021 2021 to 2026 2026 to 2031 2031 to 2036 Number % Wisbech PCN 50,424 51,595 53,042 53,185 53,997 1,171 2.3% 1,448 2.8% 143 0.3% 812 1.5% C&P CCG 982,987 1,011,368 1,072,891 1,097,528 1,110,295 28,381 2.9% 61,522 6.1% 24,637 12,767 1.2%

5 Population distribution
Source: GP registered population data by Lower Super Output Area, April 19, NHS Digital Population distribution PCN dominant population

6 ethnic groups compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England averages
Ethnicity Wisbech PCN has higher proportions of population from White British and White Other ethnic groups compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England averages Source: Census 2011 data applied to GP registered population using Census 2011 ethnic group proportions; England data from NOMIS (patients registered at a GP Practice by LSOA, July 2018, NHS Digital) PCN White British White Other Mixed Black Asian: Indian/ Bangladeshi/ Pakistani Asian: Chinese/Other Other Wisbech PCN 86.1% 11.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% North Alliance 80.6% 8.8% 1.9% 1.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 80.0% 9.5% 2.1% 1.3% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% England 79.8% 5.7% 2.3% 3.5% 5.6% 1.0%

7 Deprivation Relative deprivation is higher in Wisbech PCN and each of the constituent practices when compared to the North Alliance, CCG and England Approximately a quarter of children and a fifth of older people live in income deprived households in Wisbech PCN; higher than the averages for North Alliance, CCG and England. Source: C&P PHI derived from Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2015, DCLG and GP registered population data for July 2018 Index of Multiple Deprivation Income Affecting Children Index Income Affecting Older People Index Clarkson Surgery 32.8 25.7% 19.4% North Brink Practice 32.5 25.2% 19.0% Parson Drove Surgery 29.8 22.2% 16.6% Trinity Surgery 35.8 26.7% 20.9% Wisbech PCN 33.2 25.3% 19.3% North Alliance 22.0 19.1% 16.7% C&P CCG 17.2 15.4% 14.3% England 21.8 19.9% 16.2% Index of Multiple Deprivation, 2015, by ward

8 Birth rate per 1,000 female population weight births (under 2,500g)
Births and Fertility Birth rates and low birth weight births in Wisbech PCN are higher, but not statistically significantly higher, than the averages for the North Alliance Note: Relates to Cambridgeshire residents only Source: C&P PHI based on NHS Digital Civil Registration Data, and patients registered at a GP Practice by LSOA, July 2018, NHS Digital (benchmark = North Alliance) Birth rates by ward Estimated Number of live births ( ) Birth rate per 1,000 female population aged 15 to 44 years Low birth weight births (under 2,500g) Wisbech PCN 1,555 67.1 7.3% North Alliance 19,067 65.8 6.9% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 31,348 58.2 6.5% England 1,989,052 62.4 7.4%

9 Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 81.2 84.3
Life expectancy Male and female life expectancies in Wisbech PCN are statistically significantly lower than the North Alliance. Source: C&P PHI based, derived from NHS Digital Civil Registration data and GP registered population data (benchmark = North Alliance), 2013 – 2017 Males (years) Females Wisbech PCN 78.2 82.8 North Alliance 80.4 83.7 Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 81.2 84.3

10 Risk factors

11 compared to the average for North Alliance
Risk factors Recorded prevalence of obesity is statistically significantly higher in Wisbech PCN compared to the average for North Alliance Estimated smoking prevalence is statistically significantly higher in Wisbech PCN Source: Obesity - C&P PHI derived from NHS Digital QOF data for 2017/18 (benchmark = North Alliance) Estimated smoking - C&P PHI derived from the QOF based smoking prevalence estimate from the Public Health England (PHE) National General Practice Profiles at (benchmark = North Alliance) Obesity Estimated Smoking Number % Wisbech PCN 4,758 11.7% 10,810 25.6% North Alliance 43,190 10.2% 88,127 20.1% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 65,496 8.5% 136,560 17.1% England 4,530,447 9.8% 8,301,429 17.2%

12 Long-term activity-limiting illness Good or very good health
Self-reported limiting long-term illness and general health status It is estimated that the proportion of people that reported that they had a long-term activity-limiting illness in the 2011 Census was statistically significantly higher than the North Alliance average It is estimated that the proportion of people that reported that they were in good or very good health in the 2011 Census was statistically significantly lower than the North Alliance average These proportions could be associated with Wisbech PCN having a generally older population than the other areas reported Source: C&P PHI from Census 2011, NOMIS and patients registered at a GP Practice by LSOA, July 2018, NHS Digital (benchmark = North Alliance) Long-term activity-limiting illness Good or very good health Wisbech PCN 22.3% 75.7% North Alliance 16.9% 81.7% Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 15.5% 83.6% England 17.6% 81.4 %

13 Diseases

14 Mortality – all causes There are on average 515 deaths a year in Wisbech PCN, approximately a third are in people aged under 75 year olds North Brink Practice and Trinity Surgery have statistically significantly high all-age all cause mortality rates compared to North Alliance. These two practices also have statistically significantly high premature mortality rates compared to North Alliance. DASR = directly age standardised rate per 100,000 population Source: C&P PHI, from NHS Digital Civil Registration Data and NHS Digital GP registered population data, (benchmark = North Alliance) Note: Wisbech PCN rates are currently unavailable All ages Under 75 year olds Number DASR per 100,000 Clarkson Surgery 697 1038.7 204 360.3 North Brink Practice 1,196 1109.2 362 399.0 Parson Drove Surgery 278 889.7 109 314.2 Trinity Surgery 406 1146.6 164 438.1 Wisbech PCN 2,577 n/a 839 North Alliance 20,875 954.3 6,676 313.5 Cambridgeshire and Peterborough CCG 34,464 901.5 10,385 286.4

15 Mortality (circulatory) Coronary heart disease
Circulatory disease The prevalence rates of CHD, hypertension and stroke are statistically significantly high compared to North Alliance. Circulatory disease all-age mortality rates are statistically significantly high in North Brink Practice and Trinity Surgery compared to the North Alliance, with all practices having statistically similar rates of premature mortality compared to the Alliance. Note: Wisbech PCN rates are currently unavailable. Prevalence data are not available by age i.e. it is not age weighted so differences may be explained by differing age structures DASR = Directly age standardised rate per 100,000 population Source: Prevalence (recorded) - C&P PHI from QOF, NHS Digital, 2017/18 (benchmark = North Alliance) Mortality - C&P PHI, from NHS Digital Civil Registration Data and NHS Digital GP registered population data, (benchmark = North Alliance) Prevalence Mortality (circulatory) Coronary heart disease Hypertension Stroke All ages Under 75 year olds Number % DASR per 100,000 Clarkson Surgery 470 4.0% 2,079 17.7% 328 2.8% 190 285.3 52 92.3 North Brink Practice 806 4.1% 3,454 17.6% 432 2.2% 326 297.4 77 83.9 Parson Drove Surgery 261 3.9% 1,168 144 79 252.1 33 93.1 Trinity Surgery 318 2.6% 1,230 10.0% 180 1.5% 108 319.7 32 94.2 Wisbech PCN 1,855 3.7% 7,931 15.8% 1,084 702 n/a 194 North Alliance 16,636 3.1% 75,523 13.9% 8,735 1.6% 5,267 241.9 1,499 70.9 C&P CCG 26,602 1,122,348 12.6% 14,132 9,004 236.7 2,288 63.9 England 1,827,352 8,141,488 1,030,869 1.8% Not available

16 Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary
Respiratory disease Asthma prevalence is statistically similar to the North Alliance, with variance between practices COPD prevalence is statistically significantly high compared to the North Alliance Mortality rates for respiratory diseases, for people of all ages and under 75 years, are similar to the North Alliance rates Note: Wisbech PCN rates are currently unavailable. Prevalence data are not available by age i.e. it is not age weighted so differences may be explained by differing age structures DASR = Directly age standardised rate per 100,000 population Source: Prevalence (recorded) - C&P PHI from QOF, NHS Digital, 2017/18 (benchmark = North Alliance) Mortality - C&P PHI, from NHS Digital Civil Registration Data and NHS Digital GP registered population data, (benchmark = North Alliance) Prevalence Mortality Asthma Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease All ages Under 75 years Number % DASR per 100,000 Clarkson Surgery 823 7.0% 348 3.0% 98 144.2 29 50.1 North Brink Practice 1,149 5.9% 536 2.7% 166 152.0 41 44.9 Parson Drove Surgery 452 6.8% 154 2.3% 40 142.1 7 18.1 Trinity Surgery 556 4.5% 331 62 181.8 18 51.6 Wisbech PCN 2,980 1,369 366 n/a 95 North Alliance 31,904 10,762 2.0% 3,043 141.2 673 32.4 C&P CCG 57,830 6.0% 16,513 1.7% 4,533 119.9 942 26.8 England 3,463,893 1,113,417 1.9% Not available

17 Long term conditions Diabetes prevalence is statistically significantly higher than the North Alliance Cancer prevalence is statistically similar to the North Alliance average, with three practices having statistically significantly high prevalence All practices have statistically similar all-age cancer mortality rates to the North Alliance, with one practice having a statistically significantly high rate in under 75 year olds Note: Wisbech PCN rates are currently unavailable. Prevalence data are not available by age i.e. it is not age weighted so differences may be explained by differing age structures DASR = Directly age standardised rate per 100,000 population Source: Prevalence (recorded) - C&P PHI from QOF, NHS Digital, 2017/18 (benchmark = North Alliance) Mortality - C&P PHI, from NHS Digital Civil Registration Data and NHS Digital GP registered population data, (benchmark = North Alliance) Prevalence Mortality - Cancer Diabetes (17+ years) Cancer All ages Under 75 year olds Number % DASR per 100,000 Clarkson Surgery 877 8.9% 378 3.2% 190 283.2 77 133.7 North Brink Practice 1,314 8.1% 586 3.0% 319 302.3 140 152.3 Parson Drove Surgery 506 9.2% 231 3.5% 98 286.1 47 130.9 Trinity Surgery 593 6.2% 205 1.7% 109 299.2 63 180.3 Wisbech PCN 3,290 8.0% 1,400 2.8% 716 n/a 327 North Alliance 30,354 7.0% 14,449 2.7% 5,963 269.2 2,745 130.0 C&P CCG 46,573 6.0% 25,700 9,902 259.4 4,411 123.2 England 3,196,124 6.8% 1,593,302 Not available

18 Schizophrenia, bipolar affective disorder
Mental health Prevalence rates of severe mental illness and depression are statistically similar to the North Alliance averages Prevalence rates of dementia and learning disabilities are statistically similar to the North Alliance averages Clarkson Surgery has a statistically significantly high depression prevalence compared to the North Alliance North Brink Practice has statistically significantly high dementia prevalence compared to the North Alliance Note: Wisbech PCN rates are currently unavailable. Prevalence data are not available by age i.e. it is not age weighted so differences may be explained by differing age structures Source: Prevalence (recorded) - C&P PHI from QOF, NHS Digital, 2017/18 (benchmark = North Alliance) Mortality - C&P PHI, from NHS Digital Civil Registration Data and NHS Digital GP registered population data, (benchmark = North Alliance) Schizophrenia, bipolar affective disorder and other psychoses Depression (18+ years) Dementia Learning disabilities Number % Clarkson Surgery 82 0.7% 1,251 12.9% 95 0.8% 72 0.6% North Brink Practice 113 1,299 8.1% 206 1.1% 116 Parson Drove Surgery 29 0.4% 315 5.8% 23 0.3% 32 0.5% Trinity Surgery 56 839 8.9% 52 64 Wisbech PCN 280 3,704 9.1% 376 284 North Alliance 4,010 40,449 9.5% 4,049 2,626 C&P CCG 7,750 68,112 6,551 4,057 England 550,918 0.9% 4,589,213 9.9% 446,548 284,422


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