USING CLIMATOLOGY TO FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO Stan Rose, Meteorologist, National Weather Service, Pueblo, CO.

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Presentation transcript:

USING CLIMATOLOGY TO FORECAST THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO Stan Rose, Meteorologist, National Weather Service, Pueblo, CO

Microburst Winds

Damaging Winds Thunderstorms can produce strong damaging wind gusts up to 100 mph. Cold dense rain cooled air accelerates down from the thunderstorm base and spreads outward along the ground creating strong outflow winds.

Aircraft Induced Lightning

Thunderstorms Ingredients for a Thunderstorm – Moisture – Instability – Lift Sun warms the ground and the air begins to rise (convection) Clouds form and build into thunderstorms as moisture condenses within the rising bubbles of air

NWS Pueblo’s County Warning and Forecast Area

Severe Winds, Southeast Colorado

Time of Severe Weather

Lightning Flash Density

The Monsoon

Annual Lightning Density, Southeast Colorado

Lightning Flash Density COS PUB

Lightning Density: June COS PUB

Lightning Density: August COS PUB

Lightning Density: September COS PUB

Lightning Density: October COS PUB

Lightning Density: 17Z COS PUB

Lightning Density: 18Z COS PUB

Lightning Density: 19Z COS PUB

Lightning Density: 22Z COS PUB

Lightning Density: 01Z COS PUB

Lightning Density: 03Z COS PUB

Lightning Density: March COS PUB

L March 23, pm MDT IR satellite

Radar, 8:48pm

METARs 10 pm MST

July 14, Z

TAFS: For Colorado Springs, Pueblo: August KCOS Z 0812/ KT P6SM FEW100 SCT200 FM KT P6SM SCT100 SCT150 FM KT P6SM VCTS SCT070CB BKN100 FM KT P6SM SCT060 BKN120 KPUB Z 0812/ KT P6SM SCT200 FM KT P6SM SCT120 SCT200 FM KT P6SM VCTS SCT080CB BKN120 FM KT P6SM FEW080 SCT150

THAT’S ALL FOLKS!!

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