US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Steven A. Hughes, PhD, PE Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory US Army Engineer Research and.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Risk Management Introduction Risk Management Fundamentals
Advertisements

Facilities Capital Planning and Management A program management overview prepared for Ferndale School Districts Facilities Planning Committee.
Comparative Emergency Management
PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT
Reliability of the electrical service Business Continuity Management Business Impact Analysis (BIA) Critical ITC Services Minimum Business Continuity Objective.
Developing Navigation Performance Measures Barry Holliday Navigation Program Manager US Army Corps of Engineers Headquarters Washington, DC 14 December.
Module 3 UNIT I " Copyright 2002, Information Spectrum, Inc. All Rights Reserved." INTRODUCTION TO RCM RCM TERMINOLOGY AND CONCEPTS.
US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Overview of Public Law (PL) Advanced Measures Contingency Operations Directorate.
Session 141 Vulnerability to a natural hazard can be defined as to the extent to which people will experience harm and property will be damaged from that.
Hydraulic Screening and Analysis Needed for USACE Review
Sustainment Management Systems
Chapter 2 A Strategy for the Appraisal of Public Sector Investments.
DELIVERING SAFE & RELIABLE OPERATION
Protection Against Occupational Exposure
Foster and sustain the environmental and economic well being of the coast by linking people, information, and technology. Center Mission Coastal Hazards.
US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Consequence Assessment for Dam Failure Simulations Kurt Buchanan, CFM Economist Mapping, Modeling, and Consequences.
PRM 702 Project Risk Management Lecture #28
Long Range Infrastructure Planning The Gilbert, Arizona Experience Kenneth C. Morgan, PE Public Works Director.
US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Prioritizing Investments within the USACE Levee Safety Program Process and Methodology Overview Jason Needham,
Coastal Texas Protection and Restoration Project
WP3: identifying & quantifying the main driving forces of ecosystem changes influencing the aquaculture sector and developing the appropriate environmental.
Regional Flood Plain Management Council April 15, 2015 H-GAC December 2nd.
Security Risk Management
Risk Management - the process of identifying and controlling hazards to protect the force.  It’s five steps represent a logical thought process from.
1 Technological Innovations and Future Vision of Technical Support Louisiana Coastal Protection and Restoration and Mississippi Coastal Improvements Program.
Dam Hazard Consequences Assessment
FEMA’s Coastal Mapping and Management Process. 2 2 Welcome  Background and Coastal study methodologies  Technical Opportunities  Management Opportunities.
Real World Applications of USGS EQ Science: Stacy Bartoletti Degenkolb Engineers Structural Engineers Association of Washington Cascadia Region Earthquake.
Office of Facilities Deferred Maintenance UTSA Strategic Resource Planning Council Deferred Maintenance UTSA Strategic Resource Planning Council March.
Building Strong! 1 US Army Corps of Engineers Regulatory Program Kimberly McLaughlin Program Manager Headquarters Operations and Regulatory Community of.
Module 11 STEPS 4 & 5 Conduct Reconnaissance Study & Report Certification Civil Works Orientation Course - FY 11.
US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Mouth of the Columbia River (MCR) Jetties Laura Hicks Chief, Planning and Project Management Branch Pacific.
Physical Building Audit Physical Building Audit By; Engr.Dr.Attaullah Shah PhD ( Civil) Engg, MSc Engg ( Strs), BSc Engg ( Gold Medalist),), MBA, MA (
A N N I S T O N A R M Y D E P O T Environmental Management System Implementation at Anniston Army Depot April 8, 2004.
HAZUS-MH is a multi-hazard risk assessment and loss estimation software program developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). (animate on.
“ Building Strong “ Delivering Integrated, Sustainable, Water Resources Solutions 1 What is Engineering Risk and Reliability? Why We Use It? Robert C.
Evaluating Investments in Information Technology Shannon Crump December 9, 2002 ISM 6021.
Risk Assessment and Management. Objective To enable an organisation mission accomplishment, by better securing the IT systems that store, process, or.
1 Chapter 5 Project management. 2 Project management : Is Organizing, planning and scheduling software projects.
Research and Development Inland Navigation Research Inland Waterways Conference March 7, 2007 Cincinnati, OH Program Manager: James Clausner HQ Navigation.
NOAA Restoration Center Implementing the Gulf Regional Sediment Management Master Plan …responding to an ongoing emergency, improving responses to new.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Decision Authority l All permit decisions, scope of analysis, 404(b)(1), mitigation, alternatives, jurisdiction -- Corps.
Our Mission MITIGATIONS. MEANING OF MITIGATION MITIGATION IS THE PERMANENT REDUCTION OF THE RISK OF DISASTER MITIGATION IS THE PERMANENT REDUCTION OF.
BUILDING STRONG SM Partnering and Coordination to Accomplish the Navigation Mission.
Session 181 Risk Analysis RISK = LIKELIHOOD X CONSEQUENCE.
THE LOW DOWN ON RISK ASSESSMENT HOW SAFE ARE OUR CITIES?
Why Does NOAA Need a Climate & Ecosystem Demonstration Project in the California Current System? Capabilities and Drivers La Jolla, CA 6 June, 2005.
CHEVRON PIPE LINE COMPANY Risk Based Prioritization Process.
Module 9: Natural Resource Assessment and Damages (NRD)
CORPS OF ENGINEERS REGULATORY PROGRAM PUBLIC INTEREST REVIEW (33 CFR Part 320) August 12, 2005.
USACE Asset Management Risk and Reliability Workshop Condition Index Definitions Primer Allen C. Estes United States Military Academy.
Risk Analysis for Major Rehabilitation. Major Rehabilitation Background  Prior to FY 1992  Funded under Operation and Maintenance, General, Appropriation.
1 An Approach to Levee Assessment and Contingency Planning Presentation to the National Waterways Conference 7 September 2006 Portland, Oregon By Rob Vining.
U.S. Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration 1 Adaptation to Global Climate Change Effects: FHWA Activities AASHTO Subcommittee on.
RISK MANAGEMENT YULVI. Introduction Time Quality Cost Project Constraints Success Introduction.
Information Technology Project Management Managing IT Project Risk.
1 Atchafalaya River and Bayous Chene, Boeuf, and Black, Louisiana Dredged Material Management Plan (DMMP) Kick off Meeting April 13, 2005 Project Manager.
David Moser USACE Chief Economist
Draft Recommendations from the NH Coastal Risks and Hazards Commission Sherry Godlewski Department of Environmental Services Coastal Adaptation Workgroup.
HUMBOLDT BAY SEA LEVEL RISE ADAPTATION PLANNING PROJECT Funded by the State Coastal Conservancy Aldaron Laird Project Planner.
1 Calcasieu River & Pass, Louisiana Dredged Material Management Plan (DMMP) Kick off Meeting February 2, 2005 Project Manager Mireya Laigast, Civil Engineer,
Dr. Mark Gaynor, Dr. Feliciano Yu, Bryan Duepner.
Marine Planning since 2011 Linda Rosborough – Director of Marine Scotland.
DISASTER VULNERABILITY, RISK AND CAPACITY
Continuing Authorities Program
Research Project Overview
Air Carrier Continuing Analysis and Surveillance System (CASS)
Unit I Module 3 - RCM Terminology and Concepts
Working Group on estuaries and coastal zones
A New Concept for Laboratory Quality Management Systems
Presentation transcript:

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Steven A. Hughes, PhD, PE Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory US Army Engineer Research and Development Center Waterways Experiment Station 3909 Halls Ferry Road Vicksburg, Mississippi Coastal Structures Asset Management CHT Workshop Philadelphia, PA – Dec 2006

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Key Point We are starting with a clean slate, and this is an opportunity for us to develop a rational and consistent method for managing O&M expenditures on critical coastal infrastructure. Coastal Structures Asset Management

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory What’s the Problem? Coastal Structures Asset Management The Problem: Tens of Millions $ spent each year repairing structures Most structures are over 50 years old (some <100 yrs!) Not enough funding to cover the necessary repairs The Need: Rational method for assessing and prioritizing maintenance and repair of structures Methodology that is objective, balanced, and fair Useful at District, Division, and Headquarters levels

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Technical Approach Coastal Structures Asset Management Main Tasks Establish PDT of District/Division experts Identify Corps’ critical coastal structures Gather data on critical structures Develop Asset Management Decision Tool Develop improved structure design guidance And now some details…

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management LowModerateHigh Probability of Damage/Failure Consequences of Damage/Failure Low Moderate High e.g., Protected small boat harbor e.g., Major port in earthquake hazard zone e.g., Small inlet on a high wave- energy coast e.g., Major port or important inlet in Hurricane alley e.g., Important facilities that experience occasional severe storms “Usual Suspects”Rarely on the list, but critical

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Develop Asset Management Decision Tool Coastal Structures Asset Management AMDT includes consideration of… Physical state of structure Risk of additional damage or failure if repair is postponed Decreased project functionality Potential for economic loss (Corps, community, commerce) Impact to Corps’ navigation and dredging missions Cost to repair Other?

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Estimate the repair cost and repercussions associated with a damaged or failed structure Determine the risk of additional damage and the associated repercussions if repair is postponed Need some indicator of confidence level in the estimates Low – Based on minimal quantitative information (SWAGs) Medium – Some quantitative estimates and some approximate guesses High – Based on detailed studies and analyses Need proper weighting when summing all the diverse elements of assessing risks and consequences arising from a damaged structure Critical Components for Evaluating Structures

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Intrinsic Nature of a Coastal Navigation Structure General Intrinsic Nature (GIN) Operational Intrinsic Nature (OIN) Structure Related Function Related Economic, social, and environmental impacts directly related to structure damage or failure Direct impact on Corps activities. e.g., Repair cost, loss of life, release of contaminated sediment, increased dredging, morphology change, impact to adjacent shorelines Economic, social, and environmental impacts related to loss of project functionality Direct impact on local, regional, or national commerce and activities. e.g., Unsafe navigation, increased port down-time, decreased community economic growth, decreased tourism, loss of infrastructure, forced relocation

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Intrinsic Nature of a Coastal Navigation Structure General Intrinsic Nature (GIN) Operational Intrinsic Nature (OIN) Economic Repercussion Index (ERI) Social and Environmental Repercussion Index (SERI) Operational Economic Repercussion Index (OERI) Operational Social and Environmental Repercussion Index (OSERI)

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management General Intrinsic Nature (GIN) Economic Repercussion Index (ERI) ERI is a quantitative assessment of foreseeable economic repercussions related to failure of, or damage to, the structure (does not include costs related to loss of functionality) The ERI index consists of… – Structure-related costs ( C SG ): Total cost incurred by the Corps and cost-share partners to return the structure to functional operation. – Project-related costs ( C PG ): Annual project costs incurred by the Corps (and partners) while the structure is in a degraded condition awaiting repair. (Assumes no further structural damage occurs.) – Normalizing factor ( C OM ): FY O&M budget? ERI is calculated as

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management General Intrinsic Nature (GIN) Economic Repercussion Index (ERI) Estimate of C SG (structure-related costs) – Evaluated through detailed studies for actual damage incurred – Estimated a priori for different values of structural condition index – For total failure – updated initial investment (replacement cost) Estimate of C PG (project-related costs) – Evaluated through detailed studies, site investigations, or modeling studies – Annual cost if repair spans multiple years

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management General Intrinsic Nature (GIN) SERI is a qualitative assessment of social and environmental repercussions related to failure of, or damage to, the structure (does not include impacts related to loss of functionality). Three factors are included in the SERI index… – Loss of human lives ( SERI 1 ): Evaluates the possibility and scope of loss of human lives due to a damaged or failed structure. – Environment, historical significance, and cultural heritage ( SERI 2 ): Evaluates damage to the environment and/or historical and cultural heritage due to structure damage or failure. – Social disruption ( SERI 3 ): Evaluates social disruption directly attributable to structure damage Social and Environmental Repercussion Index (SERI)

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Loss of human lives ( SERI 1 ): Remote – Injury to people is improbable. Low – Loss of human life is possible (accidental), but not probable. Few people affected. High – Loss of human life is very probable. Affects a relatively small number of people. Catastrophic – Loss of human life and injury to people is serious and widespread. Regional medical facilities affected.

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Environment and historical/cultural heritage ( SERI 2 ): Remote – Damage is improbable. Low – Damage is slight, and reversible within one year. Losses are of little value. Moderate – Damage is important, but reversible within 5 years, or there is loss of important elements of historical and artistic value. High – Damage to ecosystem is irreversible, and there is loss of important historic and artistic elements. Very High – Irreversible ecosystem damage, extinction of protected species, destruction of protected natural resources, or loss of a large number of important elements of historical or artistic value.

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Social disruption ( SERI 3 ): Low – No signs of any significant social disruption associated with damage or failure of the structure. Moderate – There is minimum social disruption associated with high values of the SERI 1 and SERI 2 indexes. High – There is minimum social disruption associated with a catastrophic value of the SERI 2 index. Very High – There is a maximum degree of social disruption due to a high value of the SERI 2 index.

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Approximation of SERI (SERI index varies between 0 and 1)

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management OERI is a quantitative assessment of foreseeable economic repercussions related to loss of project functionality. Applicable costs consists of… – Loss of income or productivity: ( C EO ) Annual losses directly related to decreased project functionality. Does not directly impact Corps of Engineers budget, but does impact local, regional, or national economies – Loss of potential future development: ( C FO ) Annual costs related to delay of planned development that was expected to boost the economy at local, regional, or national level. Operational Intrinsic Nature (OIN) Operational Economic Repercussion Index (OERI)

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Operational Intrinsic Nature (OIN) Operational Economic Repercussion Index (OERI) OERI is calculated as a fraction of structure repair costs as… Estimate of C EO : – Evaluated through detailed studies – Includes direct economic loss and any additional costs incurred to compensate (e.g., fishing harbor) Estimate of C FO : – Based on actual development in planning stages – Difficult to quantify

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Operational Intrinsic Nature (OIN) Operational Social and Environmental Repercussion Index (OSERI) OSERI is a qualitative assessment of social and environmental repercussions related to loss of project functionality. Three factors are included in the OSERI index are the same as used in the SERI index… – Loss of human lives ( OSERI 1 ): Evaluates the possibility and scope of loss of human lives due to loss of project functionally. – Environment, historical significance, and cultural heritage ( OSERI 2 ): Evaluates damage to the environment and/or historical and cultural heritage due to loss of project functionality. – Social disruption ( OSERI 3 ): Evaluates social disruption directly attributable to loss of functionality OSERI is estimated using the same method as SERI

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Assumes no additional structure damage occurs between the present and the time in the future when repairs are made. Major obstacle is assigning the weighting factors Needs to have an associated indicator of DRI quality Total Damage Repercussions Index

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Coastal Structures Asset Management Probability distribution of DRI values associated with the risk of additional structure damage. Gauges the consequences of NOT undertaking repairs at this time. Essentially an indicator of repair urgency. Uses traditional risk analysis to determine probability (and extent) of additional damage, then assigns an estimate of the DRI index for that damage level. Also carries along an indicator of DRI estimate quality Future Damage Repercussions Index

US Army Corps of Engineers Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Questions? Coastal Structures Asset Management