Dr. Shane Renwick, DVM, MSc, A/Director, Animal Health Science Division, Canadian Food Inspection Agency CAHLN, UCVM June 8, 2010 Foresight for Canadian Animal Health

Fore-CAN: The Project 4 Year R&D Project ( ) funded by Defence Research and Development Canada (DRDC) via the CBRNE* Research and Technology Initiative (CRTI) Protection of Critical Infrastructure, ensure Relevance in future investments, better inform long term capability across government and partner organizations Multi-jurisdictional partnership (CFIA, PHAC, AAFC, OMAFRA, AARD, Dairy Farmers of Canada, Canada’s Veterinary Colleges, & TDV Global, Inc), Australia, UK, US. Over 300 participants from all sectors and many disciplines. 2

Fore-CAN: The Project Project Objectives: 1. Learn about and use foresight methods to anticipate and gain insight into future threats and opportunities 2. Apply insight to guide planning and investments in capabilities, capacities and competencies within the Animal Health Emergency Management (AHEM) environment 3. Share and transfer knowledge. 3

Fore-CAN: The Project Focal Question: Looking out to 2020 and beyond: How do we build a more effective, anticipatory and robust Animal Health Emergency Management system in Canada? 4

Animal Health Challenges of the 21 st Century 5 What next?

7 We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them.

Fore-CAN: Using Foresight What is Foresight? Tool to support the strategic thinking that precedes strategic planning Suited to complex systems with multiple jurisdictions and disciplines Provides tools to assist participants anticipate future threats and opportunities Increasingly used by governments, industry and policy-makers around the globe 9

Fore-CAN: Using Foresight How does Foresight work? Foresight uses carefully-designed systematic methods to helping participants work together to consider a range of plausible futures, not just one… It employs expertise in systems analysis, facilitation, social science, subject matter experts and other disciplines, to help participants think in new ways Foresight does not predict or forecast But it does help to identify plausible links between current events, actions or trends and potential long-term outcomes. 10

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PHASE 3 Developing Priorities Spring PHASE 2 Applying Foresight to AHEM in Canada Spring PHASE 1 Planning, Learning, Community-Building Fore-CAN: Project Organization

14 Recovery & Renewal Prevention Response Preparedness Fore-CAN: AHEM Framework

Fore-CAN: Output 1. Issues & Driving Forces 2. Scenarios3. Systems Maps 4. Foresight Integration Shared Vision 15 Emerging Priorities Pathways to 2025

The Shared Vision.. So Far Animal Health Emergency Management in Vision Key Elements: Effective, collaborative organization and decision-making Coordinated information-sharing and communications Skilled, practiced and surge-capable resources Sound science and innovative new technologies Cohesive regulatory, policy and legal framework Emerging Priorities: Develop leaders Clarify roles and responsibilities Enhance prevention, recovery & renewal Innovate training (virtual training institute) Augment surveillance and intelligence capability and capacity 16 Recovery & Renewal Prevention Response Preparedness

Recent Events: Symposium & Workshop Foresight…Insight…Action” May 11th-12th, 2010 Re-engaged the wider AHEM community to: Learn from key domestic and international speakers Review, assess & validate foresight findings thus far Develop directional vision and priorities for action Outcome: Positive feedback from participants Vision, priorities and pathways to 2025 better defined 17

Early Project Insights: Benefits of a Foresight Approach Forces stakeholders to address future challenges collaboratively 18 Encourages creative thinking and employment of a long-term perspective Encourages multi-disciplinary approaches

Early Project Insights: Early Project Insights: Challenges of a Foresight Approach Can be time consuming and logistically difficult Achieving the required level of detail Applying performance metrics 19

Project Status & Future Steps Project is at the half way mark Transition from “Project” to “Action” Expectation that Partners will transfer knowledge to their own organizations Joint actions under development Prevention, information management, education and training Strategic positioning (anchoring) of Project and Foresight to new initiatives National Farmed AH And Welfare Strategy Growing Forward II (AAFC) One World One Health 20

Questions? 21